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to be decided
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My values (incomplete): lo-fi/lo-resource hedonism, appreciation of the wonderful weirdness of the physical world, .. Just started trying out nostr (oct 2023). Also active on scuttlebutt/SSB. Interests: Linux, sustainability, sortition as political instrument, opensource hardware, Bitcoin, ... Current favorite idea: the world (as in: the sum of all things created by humans) is too complex, as in: more complex than ordinary people need. Ordinary people don't have the time and mental resources to understand an overly complex world. The result is that ordinary people increasingly are unable to make decisions about their lives that actually benefit themselves anymore. In the end, excess complexity benefits mostly the big players/businesses/organisations. To some degree, excess complexity is an intentional strategy of big business. The higher the complexity, the bigger the space for a powerful organisation to find a quirky way of gaming the system for their benefit .. to the detriment of the ordinary people, who _cannot_ game the system. So we need to make societal systems less complex, so that people _can_ make decisions that are good for themselves. If most people cannot understand the world, they are bound to lose. In the end this leads to instable societies and to hatred and violence.

Mal sehen wie lange sie Nuhr noch machen lassen .. er ist ja bestimmt einigen ein Dorn im Auge.

Fällt mir immer schwerer, zur Erheiterung die heute-show, extra3 oder Böhmermann zu schauen .. die haben sich zu sehr aufs Gutmenschentum eingeschossen.

Nuhr finde ich häufig angenehm erfrischend.

" .. fordert geringere Wohnkosten .."

Das ist auch schon so eine trigger-Phrase.

Wohlhabender pseudo-Anwalt-der-armen-Leute fordert, die Welt möge doch bitte irgendwie alles für alle günstiger machen. Tolles Personal haben wir da.

(Könnte natürlich sein, dass er sogar konkrete Handlungsvorschläge hätte, mit denen man seine Forderung seiner Meinung nach am besten erfüllen könnte .. ich spekuliere mal ohne jede Basis, dass solche Vorschläge in typischer MMT-Träumer-Manier etwas mit zusätzlichen staatlichen Ausgaben zu tun hätten .. also mal wieder exemplarische nicht-Politik wären.)

I take that as an insult .. and yet I don't take it seriously :D .. we're on the internet after all.

So I conclude from you posting this, that you distrust these trails.

Just one sceptical thought: let's say there were harmful substances in there. How infinitely widely diffused will they reach the surface? How many tons would a malicious actor have to spray of even the most potent chemical substance to maybe get a physiologically relevant effect.

Without having done any estimates, I'd say it's almost impossible to produce a harmful effect in this way.

You'd basically have to do it like they spray pesticides over crops with small airplanes .. very close to the surface.

Yep, I might also be completely wrong.

Replying to Avatar Brunswick

= The Quiet Citations

They say the pen is mightier than the sword, but few ever consider what it feels like to wield that pen under threat.

When I was first approached, I thought it was a joke. A voice on the phone, clipped and bureaucratic, told me the Times wanted me. Me. I had been writing, teaching, modeling complex economies and balancing equations tighter than a violin string. But this was different. They didn’t want an economist. They wanted a voice. A trusted one. A mask.

“We need someone to help maintain public confidence,” they said. “To shape the expectations of markets, voters, and institutions alike."

They were polite. Firm. Faceless. They flew me to a building in D.C. without an address. I signed something thick and sealed. I remember the man - middle height, eyes like polished slate - who said simply: “There are things you know, and there are things you can never know again.”

I was given the job, the column, the platform. And with it came a different kind of math: one of persuasion, of nudging, of spinning stories in ways that served broader narratives. Sometimes, those narratives aligned with truth. Sometimes, they bent it. And sometimes, they snapped it in two.

But the covenant was clear: break the narrative, and you break yourself. Not just professionally. Personally. Family was mentioned, not with threats, but with implications. I didn't need it spelled out.

I tried to make peace with it. After all, I wasn’t being asked to lie. Not outright. Just to select, to filter, to frame. To keep the herd calm. “The world needs shepherds,” I was told. “You are a shepherd.”

But over time, the weight grew. I watched my words move markets. I watched them justify policies I abhorred, embolden people I considered fools, and obscure truths that cried out for daylight.

And then came the moment.

It was a piece on sovereign debt. I had written that rising deficits were no cause for concern. The data - the real data - told a different story. And as I read the report they gave me to cite, I saw the opportunity. A thought struck me: what if I left the truth intact? Not in my words. In the footnotes.

So I began to link to studies that contradicted my text. Subtly. Sparingly at first. But consistently. To the reader who trusted me, it would pass unnoticed. But to those looking, those doubting, it would glimmer like a vein of ore in a cave wall.

It became my quiet rebellion. I couldn’t shout. But I could whisper. And whispers, if placed right, can echo.

Years passed. They never called me on it. Maybe they didn’t notice. Maybe they did, but knew it didn’t matter. Maybe the game was always more complex than I realized. But I endured. I obeyed in form, and resisted in footnotes.

My readers never knew. Or maybe they did. Maybe that podcast was a gift, not a curse. Maybe, just maybe, some of them saw the breadcrumbs.

I don’t expect forgiveness. I made choices. But I did what I could within the prison of my byline.

And if you’re reading this now, and you clicked the links, and you saw the seams...

Then maybe, just maybe, I wasn’t alone after all.

Does this have a source?

IMO the major flaw in democracy is .. complexity creep.

I'd say it is a root issue out of which several other issues arise. Make the banking system complex and you'll get a large proportion of people/voters, who can't be expected to understand the principles of it. Now if many voters don't understand the basic principles of something, politicians / rich individuals / large corporations can come up with intentionally (or unintentionally) wrong explanations of the system .. which allows them to exploit those people who don't understand the system.

As I wrote, when you _create_ (take) a snapshot of your btrfs subvolume (which could be mounted to "/" for example) it's quite literally "instant". Only when you want copy/send this snapshot to another filesystem or disk it will take some time, even if you copy/send incrementally, so only the blocks changed since the reference snapshot.

Maybe you're not using a reference snapshot at all? In which case all data (not only the modified blocks) in the current snapshot would have to be transferred.

In any case, happy tinkering 👍

nostr:npub1s277u5rww60te98w9umz6p7pjcxuus96cegdsf4y978qcqvu8jtq88dsym

If restic appears fit for your purpose, then maybe BTRFS isn't the right tool anyway?

Borg Backup (another feature rich and popular backup tool) could also be the right thing for you then.

Not sure, what you mean by "takes the snapshot from zero".

Do you have different subvolumes defined (and mounted) in your BTRFS filesystem for / and /home (plus maybe some more)?

Creating a ro snapshot of a subvolume should be instant. Only if you want to send/receive it somewhere else, should it take time (depending upon the amount of data to be transferred).

Because you inch closer and closer to where you yourself are simply running out of time to enjoy with your very own senses anything your BTC can buy.

And thus - as I see it - the sensorical value someone gets by spending some of their BTC will at some point in time turn almost every hodler into a net seller.

Some people are lucky enough to have enough cash flow to enable a satisfying lifestyle _as well as_ buy/hodl BTC without _ever_ selling any. But I'm pretty sure these people make up a small fraction of all hodlers. All the others will - IMO - turn from buyers into sellers at some point in time.

Replying to Avatar Hanshan

yeah nostr:npub1m5s9w4t03znyetxswhgq0ud7fq8ef8y3l4kscn2e8wkvmv42hh3qujgjl3 has been telling me about that.

essentially the design choices Bitcoin has made incentivizes hodling.

but hodlers don't pay for network security.

its kinda a big problem.

and since bad money chases out good money,

its easy to see a scenario where large, powerful players use violence to monopolize the network,

and issue a shitcoin (Backed By Bitcoin ™) for people to actually use for txs,

while they hoard the actual capital.

And nobody actually wants to SPEND their BTC anyway so there's not a lot of incentive to resist.

but like you say

its uncharted territory.

¯⁠\⁠_⁠(⁠ツ⁠)⁠_⁠/⁠¯

> .. hodlers don't pay for network security ..

This might mostly be true for now. But life (at least today) is finite and at some age and price, many (especially poorer) hodlers are going to spend BTC for goods/services.

Sure, some hodlers will rather pass their BTC on to some heir than just spend it for something. But will all/most do this? Hardly.

I don't entirely disagree .. but I'd describe the situation differently: humanity forms a large interconnected system. And many of the severe problems we face come from the fact, that we allow for too large and powerful organisations (states/companies/..) to first exist and then - even worse - to become corrupted and develop their inherent dynamics.

The problem with too powerful and corrupted organisations is: they have the power to ruthlessly translate and enforce the sum of all the billions of small egoistic behaviors (that are just a fact of human nature so condemning them is meaningless) into horrific actions that none of the individual people, behaving - rightfully so - egoistically, would approve.

Example: the collective push of billions of people for small prices, aggregated and amplified and distorted through powerful organisations, leads to instances of terrible exploitation, like child labor, that (almost) noone would actually want.

All the things in the photo look like significantly more than 20 kcalories total, more like 300-500 kcalories would be my guess.

Also .. complicated things often benefit the huge corporations/organisations (at the expense of the individual) .. because they have the resources to optimize their position in the presence of complicatedness/complexity while the individual often does not.

Well, maybe they'll later on just sue all citizens who bought with KYC to hand over x % of their holdings .. because "the state needs it for bridges, weapons and schools".

The chase for sites with frequent negative electricity prices is on. In theory Germany should be a pretty good candidate with quite regular pv peaks at noon in the summer.

The policy/regulatory side of things may well be a show stopper though. Let's see how well the "Greens" do in the coming elections.

A bit weird that the EIA as well as the article state battery capacity numbers in "GW". Are they just omitting the "h" in "GWh" here?

> When we look at the total battery storage capacity in the United States, it’s evident that the increase in production and utilization is happening at an exponential rate, with 30 GW expected to be reached in capacity by the end of this year and a staggering 970 GW estimated to be reached by 2030, according to the US Energy Information Administration.

The content of what he's saying seems reasonable.

That silly background music, though. Gives the whole thing a vibe of manipulation through the limbic system. Totally off putting to me.