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Kane McGukin
8cbda4ca1b48a2e6a40da6191efb0e4c7e782d18a1889fffa420e1d29068acd3
#Bitcoin + Monetary Innovation. My opinions are my own and not financial advice. Navigating Bitcoin’s Noise 🎙️http://apple.co/3wFbiiq

Unpopular Opinion:

The pressure on parents to fund college education & weddings…

Strains parents' financial security…

Leaving *most* w/ unnecessary anxiety and stress about how to afford life in retirement.

At @btcprague, @saylor highlighted that the S&P's 7.5% annual return is our real inflation rate (M2 expansion-11:26) https://youtu.be/Fi4a7IZ3MXc?feature=shared

nostr:npub1l9m7vr8pzjzshuqglrcku2rz6kky542j7lr7gutvulswkcn5eswsge4ws4 raised this point at Harvard Club's Charlotte #Bitcoin  event (nostr:npub1h8nk2346qezka5cpm8jjh3yl5j88pf4ly2ptu7s6uu55wcfqy0wq36rpev)

While the FED emphasizes that CPI is inflation, CPI really only acts as a (+ or -) stnd dev. *around* inflation.

It is *not* inflation for many reasons,

but... add or subtract CPI from the annual inflation rate (M2's increase/decrease), and you get a number much closer to what we actually pay for goods.

What we pay *is* our inflation rate, regardless of what the FED attempts to claim (CPI).

CPI's the rate of change. Not the metric.

From the Fourth Turning Is Here.

It’s a point noted in several different historical text. Though it seems to feel different, almost unrecognizable, in real-time.

Teach the kids… they’re more important than money.

I will not. Happy to catch up online any time.

Yep. It’s the “signal” Elon just put out this week.

Business people will miss it and think “blockchains” can be used on everything, or completely steer away from them on the whole.

The fringe will continue to drive this next wave of innovation until the products and features are sound enough to move out of dorm rooms, garages, and basements and into the public eye. Meaning they are easy enough for everyone’s grandmother to use.

Personally, I don’t think we are that far off. In this next wave we’ll see how much of the infrastructure has been laid and is ready. The major win, IMO, will come from wallets as they are the lowest hanging fruit at the moment.

https://open.substack.com/pub/kanemcgukin/p/bitcoins-killer-app-already-exist?r=99ex&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web

Replying to Avatar Water Blower

This article will also be the talk I will give at NostrAsia Tokyo.

Traditionally, people (tech & non tech) associate decentralization with blockchains, mostly because blockchains (including Bitcoin, the first ever blockchain) introduced the concept of decentralization to the mass audience.

__Blockchains, regardless of types, are created to solve problems that require global consensus.__

However, most types of applications don't need global consensus. I argue that 99% of the applications don't need global consensus even if they are networked.

Your chat with your friends don't need to be agreed by all computers globally. As long as the participants of the conversation agree on the same chat history, it works.

If you share some files with your colleagues in a collaborative editing software, such as Google Docs or Notion, this file & its editing history don't need a global consensus of all computers. As long as all editors/commenters/viewers can agree on the same file, it works.

Besides chat and office software, most softwares just doesn't need global consensus.

__Global consensus, at its core, is to address problems around limited resource, such as Bitcoin's limited quantity of money.__

Most softwares is just not about limited resources at all. This is why building decentralized applications on top of blockchains don't work in general. They are solving the wrong problem with the wrong tool.

Nostr solves the missing part of decentralization infrastructure. I am not saying that the current implementation of Nostr is the true and only solution. But its philosophy, generic relays + specific clients, is the right way to go.

There are 3 major areas of decentralization problems:

1. Identity

2. data manipulation

3. data preservation

### Identity

Nostr's private key + public key makes it possible to locally verify identity with algorithms instead of relying on centralized servers to tell you if this person is this person, in contrast to OAuth.

### Data Manipulation

Because of No.1, all clients can independently create & manipulate data without needing to communicate with servers.

### Data Preservation

Relays only act as the long term storage layer and communication layer instead of the authority of business logic.

A normal relay is vastly simpler than traditional cloud-first server software. Therefore,

1. it's cheaper to develop. The best relay, `strfry`, is only developed by a single person with only 15K lines of code, yet it's more useful than most centralized cloud software.

2. It's cheaper to operate.

3. Because business logic developers don't need to write server code anymore, it's much faster for them to release their features.

We can call this decentralization, or we can call this local-first software. The key takeaway here is, by reducing useless server code, we can save money, save time, and create better software so that the whole society benefits from it. Some of us can probably get rich because we save so much money, even if we operate in a 100% fiat way.

### What's the opportunity for us?

Because most people, especially decision makers in most companies, still think __decentralization__ == __blockchain__ and they fear the regulation complexity of blockchains, they are blind to see this other part, the major part in fact, of decentralization.

They will miss a huge opportunity to reduce cost and boost productivity.

Therefore, our opportunity is to build better software & services in a much more efficient way and actually beat them in the fiat world. We don’t even need to unleash the superpower of zaps.

Absolutely agree and this is the “signal” Elon just released in his Twitter post (can’t call it X). About this years efficiency added to the platform.

Things you don’t think you need to post are probably the most important posts 👇👇.

The rate at which ice baths (among numerous others) is making rounds is *proof* of how much social media *controls* our lives.

If we’ve picked up 10-20 new habits (fads) in a couple of years, it’s more *important* that we start monitoring our use of social media.

Sound business models is the way.

It will be nice to see the game of marketing for hype, to collect and sell users go away.

Tired of evaluating software (demos) and seeing the same old VC pitch deck.

1. We are global 24x7 company having grown from xxx to x,xxx in 3 yrs

2. Here’s our top logos and we’ve taken x rounds of funding and xxx VC has a war chest behind us that we’ve plowed in to development and building a world class product… (never said, but the reality - the latest investor is the one w/ the most desire to flip in 1-2yrs).

3. And finally, you get to hear 10 minutes on what the thing actually does.

Talk about a rug pull after pumping your bags (talking your book).

Wow. And this market supposedly has “regulators”.