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antifragilemoney
a3c60e070ceaafd2cf3e3d67abe4f943d741e205143f55660ce52659f6052b92
Solutions for today: BTC not fiat, iVPN or Mullvad, Nostr, Debian, CalyxOS, DD-WRT, search.brave, F-droid, Muun or bluewallet, Briar. Read Murray Rothbard. I channel Marty Jones. Just a brown guy trying to make it.

all the speaking guys were bitcoin magazine ppl?

Replying to Avatar nym

Ghost Rider getting ready for a date.

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Replying to Avatar nym

Ghost Rider is getting ready for a date.

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its sad. fast food meat cant qualify as real meat and people are stuffing themselves with it. its like populations of peoples eating old bananas that are over a year old.

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Replying to Avatar Jeff Swann

Let's say a govt is making everything more expensive via monetary debasement. But in the process they are allowing people to go into debt & to pretend to have more than they do.

People become used to, & then dependent, on the things they have that aren't really theirs. They internally identify themselves as a person who has this kind of stuff & who lives this sort of way. They develop a sense of pride in their big house & nice car that they don't own. And this way of being affects (or infects) the majority of people. Most maintain a significant amount of debt that has to be serviced with regular paychecks. And in many ways they are rewarded, life is easier, monetary debasement comes at the expense of savers & the fiscally responsible.

But then when some person or idea threatens the authority of the govt, all those people, with lives built around stuff they don't own, suddenly realize that how they see themselves is built on very unstable ground. And saying or doing what they know to be right actually becomes a threat to the sort of person they believe they are. They built their lives & self esteem & sense of accomplishment around stuff that wasn't theirs. Their sense of self worth is in labels & licenses & things outside of themseves that can all be taken away. Metaphorically speaking, whether wittingly or unwittingly, they made a deal with the devil.

The line between good & evil is the prioritization of what is true vs the prioritization of social status.

"how were we supposed to know?"

what is Unicoin? is it in news or something

Replying to Avatar ⚡️🌱🌙

Today I have been thinking about the future and some demographic challenges facing the world.

I now have a theory that falling birth rates are not connected to rising income / wealth, but are instead a consequence of rising life expectancies.

This is a statistical simplification and so any personal feelings or individual experience is irrelevant in this larger context.

Here goes…

Life expectancy fits the data much better than wealth. It’s why Japan went through japanification long before the richer USA.

I propose that many people do not really desire children until they consider their own mortality or frailty. Once your current age forces you to think about your own mortality you immediately think about children and who will be around you near the end. This is a natural thing to think about. It doesn’t really go away.

At the population level, as life expectancy has increased from 50 to 80, people have greatly delayed this train of thought until much later in life. For most people in the modern world, they never actually consider this train of thought during their years of high fertility.

This then assumes that people today mostly have children as an accident of sex, or because of the (significant) momentum of cultural norms and not really as a functional decision of self interest.

Birth rates aren’t going to 0.00 because there are lots of reasons to have children, but I think the fact that most couples of child bearing age can rationally assume they will live another 50+ years, they are not thinking about their mortality or frailty.

As a result… birth rates are falling everywhere, or rather everywhere that has a life expectancy that is double the female age of fertility.

I think this is a much more satisfying hypothesis about falling birth rates than the idea that richer people choose to not have children. That doesn’t really stack up for household income distributions within a society with a particular life expectancy.

And yes, I understand that life expectancy is also correlated strongly with income and wealth.

I just this this hypothesis is a more realistic fit. What do others think?

I understand this will be an emotional topic for some and not everyone is fortunate enough to realise their preferred choice regarding children. I think most couples have some level of compromise between partners and obviously some couples are just painfully unlucky.

fiat food + fiat culture =

< fertility/births

&

> health complications / mental sadness / etc

JUST DONT HALF-OPEN OR TEAR UP THE NEXT TIME I FOLD OPEN THAT BOX CARTON DRINK!!

Elon has always been about getting data & having surveillence, & when convenient, having control around it.

Just like CCP

Just like big tech

Just like US govt

Replying to Avatar nym

whats your graphic card(s)? is this midjourney?

we'd feel closer to you if we could zap you. add zapp in your nostr profile mr captain america