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tulkooo
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#Bitcoin ❤️‍🔥
Replying to Avatar HODL

Thought experiment.

Option # 1

Let’s say you have 10 bitcoin and we hit 2 million in the next few years.

You’re tempted so you sell it for 20 million dollars.

After taxes you’re be left with 16MM.

Which you use to comfortably generate 1.2MM a year in the tradfi markets.

So you take the money and retire.

Bitcoin crashes 60% back to 800k.

For a few years you feel like a genius. You enjoy your new rich person lifestyle.

You even buy back a few bitcoin. 2 to be exact. 20% of what you used to have.

Then bitcoin rises over the next decade to be worth 50 million per coin.

You’re worth 120 million now. And you decide to sell a little over half a coin and upgrade your lifestyle again to be able to generate an additional 2 million a year.

You’re now on paper worth 120 million, you generate 3.2 million a year (266k a month) and you’ve been largely stress free for the last decade.

Your kids will inherit roughly 1.62 bitcoin from you upon your death.

You have some level of regret about not hodling through, but you’ve been largely stress free and the mental health benefit was worth it in your mind.

Vs.

Option # 2

You have the same 10 bitcoin but you Hodl them.

Your stress levels are persistently higher.

You also decide to retire when Bitcoin hits 2 mil, but you decide to do so in bitcoin terms.

Your plan is to sell a little bitcoin as needed in order to fund your lifestyle.

This is roughly 1-3 million sats a month. Depending on bitcoin price.

Over the course of 10 years you end up selling or spending 2.4 bitcoin and are still left worth 7.6btc when bitcoin reaches 50 million.

Your net worth is 380 million.

You’ve reduced your lifestyle in bitcoin terms down to a million sats a month. (500k) or 6 million per year. You’re 46, Assuming you live until you’re 90 you will pass down 2.32 bitcoin to your kids.

You have no regrets about the way you played it, but your stress was consistently higher and there were a few scary months along the way.

Which option do you choose?

1 or 2?

My stress is now much higher when I have less bitcoin

There will be signs

My new technical analysis for Bitcoin 2025

There will be signs

That's because the value isn't just in the object itself, it's how much we agree the object represents.

So the object can be many things, even as it turns out a string of digital code.

- BlackRock

I'm not going to say anything but there will be signs...

#bitcoin

They want your #Bitcoin, cheap, don't fall for this

I've been running my LN node for like 2 - 3 years and I love it, I use for payments on a daily basis

However I believe the next scaling solution would be easy installation on a computer and creation of subwallets

Basically becoming WoS or Blink for our family, because me, my wife, kids, parents, siblings we don't need a node for each person, one node per family or 2 - 3 families is enough

Today I sent 10€, it was less than 5 digits in SATS, mindblowing to see it in reality

Satoshi can be so fucking proud of himself, I hope he's enjoying all of this with a smile on his face

I pity the fool who trades this bull run

Then again I pity the fool who trades

I've tried Liquid and the fees were so high I immediately swapped everything on chain withdrew 100% of my funds and deleted the app, running a LN node with nostr:nprofile1qqsrf5h4ya83jk8u6t9jgc76h6kalz3plp9vusjpm2ygqgalqhxgp9gpz4mhxue69uhk2er9dchxummnw3ezumrpdejqzyrhwden5te0dehhxarj9ekxzmnyqyt8wumn8ghj7un9d3shjtnwdaehgu3wvfskueq555fk2 is much easier

BTC on chain

BTC lightning

Liquid swap

Tether

Are you kidding me?

This was unimaginable just few years ago