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Mike Brock
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Unfashionable.

I agree we need to fix incentives. And it's really the only way you can change complex systems. But the problem is, every change to the system, creates new unexpected incentives. So the process of changing incentives never ends.

I think one of the most dangerous ways to think of the future is to assume that human nature is fundamentally good, peaceful and cooperative. And that the only reason there's evil, war and competitive behaviors is due to perverse incentives and corrupt institutions.

There's literally no reason to believe this is true. It's seductive to think it true, because then you can simply focus on fixing those incentives and tearing down corrupt institutions. But it's a false promise to think there's this tied-up box of goodness waiting to escape on the other side.

Some people think this is cynical. I just thinks it's realistic. There is no destination for us. There's only the journey.

We are lonely. But there's no reason to be. Reconnect with your family, your friends, and local community. True happiness lies there.

Yes. I think I was driving myself insane. And I think many people are driving themselves insane. I'm reading a lot of books now. I'm being more disciplined about my media diet. I spend a lot of time contemplating. I really am only opening social media apps every few days now. Can't recommend it more.

I think living in a constant loop of living online and constantly searching for stimulus is one of the things driving society insane.

My new personal thing is training myself to be comfortable with boredom. When I'm feeling bored, I avoid reaching for my phone or go on my computer. I just try to sit with it.

At the end of the day, what haven't NIMBYs ruined?

The Espionage Act of 1917, allows for secret trials and secret evidence. Such things have no place in an open society.

The Sixth Amendment to the US Constitution guarantees a right to a *public* trial. This, the law is unconstitutional on its face, and should be struck down.

"Visually" is a word that is human centric and refers to what the human eye can see. But even among animals, there are species that can see different spectrums spectrums of light. Snakes and bats can see in the infrared spectrum, for instance. Dragonflies have a much wider gamut of visual perception, through the human visible spectrum and into the ultraviolet.

So I would argue that yes, the world can be seen in other ways.

Replying to Avatar Mike Brock

In both his calculation of the nominator and the denominator of his anthropic reasoning. The nominator requires a definition of an "ordinary observer" of which humans supposedly count. But it's not clear what the boundaries of an ordinary observer are in the definition. I don't really have enough time before bedtime to write ten paragraphs on the problem. But to summarize it seems very humanistically chauvinist. (Maybe paste that into Bard or ChatGPT and I'm sure it will know where I'm going with this).

The second problem deals with the assumed boundedness of the number of simulations, which I find problematic. Mainly because Bostrom doesn't seem to be very careful about thinking about how conservation laws will place significant energy constraints on nested simulations.

I don't think a top-level universe lacking conservation laws would be the kind of universe that would permit the minds of physics for life to evolve and build computers with simulations makes any sense, either.

But basically, if you were simulating entire universes within universes, in an ad infinitum nesting as Bostrom suggests, you'd quickly run out of energy to advance the nested simulations in anything resembling an economical way. We're talking about simulating entire universes down to sub-atomic particles, here. There's a real upper bound on the computation-energy budget here.

It turns out, when you take conservation laws into account, we're actually most likely to be living in a universe where no further simulations are possible. And the likelihood we are living in a top-level universe is far higher than in Bostrom (and Musk's) formulation.

That's all assuming we get over the ordinary observer problem.

Psst! It's metaphysical nonsense ...