ea
SpacemanSpiff
ea3803f4e4c45f3dd3f18b2dfe2a60871c85228d2c2a1bb4012b96997d2d908c

At some point a red state governor will tell the feds "come and get him" after one of these lawfare overreaches. And he'll order the National Guard in to prevent forceful extradition, setting up a standoff. I expect if Trump loses and they throw the book at him, DeSantis could make that call. The obvious move is to do it before Harris is inaugurated so she has plausible deniability and the feds have an escape hatch if the optics go bad.

Trudeau (Castreau version) was the first true degen to harness parliamentarianism + far left media to gain power over a G20 country despite relatively minimal popular support. If he is any indicator, UK/Germany/France/Netherlands can expect a decade+ of this.

Keep eating those blue pills Andrej. I hear they can be injected now.

Intetestingly, I have found that primary sources do handle assumptions and uncertainly reasonably well, buy then corporate media reports worst case scenarios without the nuance. Similar to when nostr:npub1a2cww4kn9wqte4ry70vyfwqyqvpswksna27rtxd8vty6c74era8sdcw83a goes on podcasts and presents a nuanced economic narrative, and then the video title extracts the most sensational lines out of context. There are exceptions of course (Michael Mann should die of gonorrhea and rot in hell for example) and the politicization of the system eliminates viewpoints that don't support global socialist takeover of the economy - but I don't think the lack.of nuance on the part of climate scientists is a significant part of the problem.

This is largely an artifact of the fact that temperature proxies are natural low pass filters. CO2 has increased faster than this several times during volcanic outbursts. People using the contrast between smoothed archaic curves and sharp modern curves and saying this has never happened before are either disingenuous or don't understand basic data analysis. Either way, proceed with caution!

You left out the part where they murdered a quarter of the population then utterly bankrupted the country by running an economy based on political favors for 3 generations. But yeah for brevity's sake I guess "lost faith" sums it up.

But is it mostly peaceful or an insurrection?

This is why some intelligent people are able to leverage their work ethic in great things, while some chronically underachieve. The ability to fashion a game for oneself out of an arbitrary playing field is simply not taught, and it is possibly *the* critical life skill.

Tempting to think we are in the Commodus years. I doubt it. If we are Rome this is Sulla vs the Gracchis (Trump). A populist goes against leviathan and goes down in a blaze of glory, cementing a toxic oligarchy that leads to a populist coup a generation later.

On the other hand, if you buy that Brittania was Rome and America is Byzantium, then the 20th century looks a lot like the 6th, a geographic lob of the dying culture to a more defensible location under one last great dynasty. The dynasty is steadily chipped away over dozens of generations as bureacrats, gangsters, allies, and enemies all extract pounds of flesh from the decadent corpes until eventually, they cannot even afford the obvious new weapons to defend themselves.

I see more clear parallels in the latter.

Replying to Avatar Lyn Alden

It’s not so common that I go to bat for Elon Musk, so listen up.

People are too tribal. They can’t separate individual things from broader things. Specifics matter for credibility.

For example, I am often critical of Musk on Tesla or Twitter, but way less so against SpaceX. Details matter.

I think Musk is greatly dishonest, lacks integrity, is more of a hypeman than an engineer himself, his Tesla promises are literally all like a decade late and thus directly harm their buyers, etc. Kind of a cult, but it keeps the market cap up and enables financing. I’ve called him a cuck for dictators and I stand by it.

But I rarely say anything against SpaceX, other than to remind people that it’s largely government funded, so you know who he reports to as he builds that amazing company out. But it’s a good thing.

Musk cucks for dictators on Twitter to happily take down their opposed comments at a higher rate than pre-Musk Twitter did, as long as they have big markets for Teslas and SpaceX rockets, and as long as he can market himself as the “free speech guy” in the US while we don’t pay attention to where he helps dictators clamp down harder.

And yet, the Tesla pay package that was agreed on is what it is. Sure, he hyped up the equity, but he did it at such a successful scale that the fundamentals were impacted positively as well. He successfully memed Tesla into solvency. To backtrack on that pay package would make no sense. I would support the pay package while disagreeing elsewhere. Rule of law matters.

The Tesla permabears, like Jim Chanos (Diogenes) in the recent tweet below sort through any news item for a bearish comment. I see others do it for bitcoin or Nvidia all the time.

Am I bearish on Tesla? Kind of. Relative to bitcoin in the long run, absolutely.

But imo, fade the permabears. Find people who can’t separate various specifics, and disregard them.

Be someone who can be bullish on one thing and bearish on another, even from the same person. Dislike someone, and rule in their favor out of objectivity when it is right. Like someone, and yet rule against them when it is wrong.

Anyway, good evening.

I have worked for him. He is an Edison-level engineer. I've seen him make incredibly ballsy calls based wholly on arcane technical details in extremely emotional situations. Having observed for a couple decades and been in the belly of the beast for more than half that I may be biased... but I think that is what detractors miss. They assume he is Richard Branson, but he is much more like Bill Gates or Steve Jobs. You basically need to corrupt and undermine all of a society to stop that kind of force.