Subnostr

China has 3x the population of the US, but the average age of that population is increasing. They're in a window right now where they have a functioning market economy (at least partially) and a young enough educated population that they can innovate rapidly.

By sheet statistics, something like DeepSeek would seem more likely to come out of China than out of the West, at least in the present moment.

They're headed towards the same demographic cliff as the West is, though, with fertility rates below replacement and a soon-to-be inverted population pyramid. Until then, they are trying to secure their position as a superpower.

Satosha 11mo ago

India has the youngest demographics ..and increasing population despite taking over China in numbers .. plus tech talent ..plus English ..

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MichaelJ 11mo ago

I think India is still in the process of training their population to be innovators, and may be hindered for a time by the legacy of the caste system (please correct me if I'm wrong on this point). Demographically, though, you're right. India and Africa both could become hubs of innovation if they are able to industrialize and educate.

Satosha 11mo ago

Caste system is a thing of past .. as much as color discrimination is thing if past here in US .. politicians still keep on it cuz that's the way to divide ..

India has biggest pool of tech workers .. a single campus in Bangalore hosts upto 30,000 employees ... And there are countless such centers ..

Comparing Africa to India ummmm :-) .... India is fifth largest economy.. just surpassed Great Britain last year ..

https://www.worldometers.info/gdp/gdp-by-country/

Satosha 11mo ago

And they will cross Germany and Japan this year .. if the trends persist .. latest by end 26 ..

MichaelJ 11mo ago

African nations are among the youngest, demographically. They're behind India in industrialization, but I'd expect them to become major players by the end of this century.