Doesn't mean you're not intelligent if your predictions are wrong, you could just be on the cutting edge. For example, someone could hypothesize that a new data structure would be faster to search than an existing one, build it, and then it actually be slowr over sparse data sets or something. But they still invented a new data structure.
Discussion
Interesting yes. But isn’t that semantics?
The inventor of new data structure would be “predicting” his own creation by designing it and then making it real.
Isn’t most success determined by accurate pattern recognition within complex problems?
That person literally predicted the future, was wrong, and would be considered dumb by the definition in trumps post.
Success != intelligence.
I know plenty of successful retards and plenty of unsuccessful geniuses
I mean success in terms of answering an IQ test question
What is your definition of intelligence then
You know things and can use that knowledge. Someone could build a nostr client and no one uses it, doesn't mean they're dumb.
I think the disagreement is semantics
A dev with enough intelligence and skills to create a nostr client needs to “predict” what the code they write is going to do in order to make the new app work