I'm only 18 minutes in, but this guy is right on target with everything, so far! 👀 This makes me so worried about Gen Z's future. And the coming generation, as well.
Discussion
"There are decades where nothing happens; and there are weeks where decades happen." - Vladimir Lenin
Lenin was spot on. 👌
Just wrapped it 
Gonna order this now. Appreciate it.
Basically it’s gonna get a lot worse in the short term.
Then by 2030 we should start to change course and things get better.
But the dining era will mean
More gov, less privacy, more group shame, less individualism, more collective values Circa 1950s
Personally, I think all of this will happen well before 2030. Wouldn't shock me if most of it happens during the next election. Technology seems to be significantly speeding up the process. You're definitely correct about things getting worse in the short-term. No argument there.
In the book he says the cycles are growing longer because generations age slower today.
I like that aspect of counter-intuitive-ness to the theory.
Just finished the interview. Great interview. Neil was right about most things, imho. But hear me out; this is why I think this new cycle will occur sooner than expected:
1. Technology has been speeding up the process of progression at an immensely fast rate in MANY different markets. Just do some research on the biotechnology, AI, energy, auto, and advertising markets. Even warfare (yes, war is a market. Let's not deny that).
2. Obviously, global economic crisis has reached a boiling point. It's at a point of no return and the global population is certainly aware of that. The COVID lockdown only sped up the process.
3. Personally, I don't believe that the current world leaders have faith in themselves. They keep telling the public these dreadful truths, and I don't see why they would make these known if their goal is to gather support from their national population. It doesn't make sense. For example, look at what the President of Egypt recently told the public.
The saeculum is a product of generations and their interplay, overlap and interaction.
It’s slowing because lifespans are getting longer, which means the relationship between generations elongates.
If this were the 1850s most boomers would all be dead and millennials would have their wealth. That’s not the case tho because even the generation preceding boomers is still very much alive and even still holding onto positions of public power.
Biden is a late stage silent gen member.
I think next we elect a true boomer- be it trunp or RFK jr
And we ride into all out global war being led by a boomer, and fought by millennials. Whoever becomes Prez next will be perceived very differently after the crisis that they lead us through, if it is successfully navigated.
I agree with you on certain points. Yes, a saeculum is most certainly a by-product of various forms of generational interaction. No doubt. I do think a boomer will be elected as the next president, and arguably the last of their generation. I don't think the military body count will be very high during the next global war. Drone tech has made it far too easy to cause mass damage.
It's as Nikola Tesla said:
"The loss of life will become smaller and smaller, and finally, the number of the individuals continuously diminishing, merely machines will meet in a contest without blood shed, the nation's being simply interested, ambitious spectators. When this happy condition is realized, peace will be assured."
And this is exactly what we're seeing now.
He talks about the unique relationship boomers have with millennials-
Boomers developed the cultural values in the 60s and 70s that millennials are now championing today. Climate change, social justice, etc.
Now boomers are old and in positions of power, and beneath them are a generation of young voters eager to make their visions of utopia a reality.