Replying to Avatar Geist

Well, in this single instance no, Putin is interested in this not spiraling out of control. But, what would it take for that no to become a yes? Its not clear. How far would Ukraine go to provoke Putin? Its not clear. How would Russia respond? Its not clear. We had a pretty good deal with the Minsk accords, now we are locked in perpetual violence with no clear objective, timeframe, way out, or limit. In the mean time, the proxy war has spread to Sudan, the risks of a very bad incident between the US and Russia grow.
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Geist 2y ago

Err, yes, I would be surprised, no I don't think Russia will. But its like, surprised if bitcoin dips below 20k next week, not outside the realm of possibility.

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Mike Dilger ☑️ 2y ago

That was what I thought at first, that they wouldn't escalate that far. If there were enough NATO supplied military assets within Ukraine, they would strike those first because it would get the same benefit (reduction of the enemy's military assets) while being less provocative. I guess I've changed my prediction.