The value is in the permissionless dev enviroment tho, so nostr will win, just a classic fossland adoption slump.
Those leaving x didn't have anywhere to go, now they have Bluesky, and it's pretty popular. Shame our game wasn't ready for exodus, I think less bitcoin centric client onboarding, better 1st impressions (I shoulder the blame for nostr dot com not being good enough for that).