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Was watching Vivek Ramaswamy's take on Russia - China in his talk with Cuomo. It seems like this time, the presidential election is centered around the policies related to Russia. His take is that once the Russia - Ukraine war ends, he wants to severe ties between Russia and China, and remain foe with China. He also believes in backing Taiwan, until, US is self sufficient in its semiconductor production.

There are a few things I don't see eye to eye.

1. Russia - China tie is not a flimsy relationship. It was rough many decades ago due to the differences in communism ideology but it has progressed over time Their ultimate goal is to remove dependency on the US currency. Brics now has 30% of global share, backed by largest global industries. Russia wont severe it's ties just because US wants to be friends again.

The best neutralising factor for all globally will be Bitcoin

2. To say that US would only back Taiwan until they are semicon self sufficient is rather mean and self centered, albeit the honest truth. But having said that, tech progresses forward. Semiconductor industries outsourced to Asia for over 20+ years for cost-effective solutions while the US maintained high-tech innovation. Supply shortage post Covid was hell for everyone but rebuilding fab empires and retraining workers would require a significant long-term investment, resulting in higher product costs

The question is, whats next for the US and how is US moving towards that

John Chambers, Cisco's Chairman Emeritus, discussed unions in 'Connecting the Dots.' He emphasized worker rights and wages. But sometimes, you can't hold on to jobs as tech changes with time, and if you do not progress with tech, the state of economy gets left behind.

I love the confidence he exudes but for both these topics, RFK makes better arguments. He has been consistent on establishing and maintaining global peace. Not because US needs silicon chips etc - but for the benefit of everybody globally. Its win win. And he has been open is exploring capital growth and tech progression. Added to that, he understands the importance of Bitcoin.

Its interesting to see the debates unfold. I just hope it won't be a Biden-Trump rerun. I like that Vivek is open about who actually runs the United States. Both left and right are openly talking about this.

RFK - Vivek would be interesting to watch.

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Discussion

bitjoon 2y ago

Severing ties with any country is a rookie move. The US should have as healthy as possible relationships with all countries. China, Cuba, Iran, etc.

But , I agree he has blown open the Overton window.

💜

deleted 2y ago

I fear it is definitely going to be Trump / Biden and it will be awful beyond our wildest imagination, imo

😔

mykopikid 2y ago

Regarding the matter of protecting Taiwan till they are semicon self sufficient sounds so selfish, some may even call evil. But, should the leader of any country not be narrowly focus on being selfish it protecting their own country? Should they put others interest ahead of their own citizens?

On the other hand, keep supplying arms to Ukraine so that they can fight to the last soldiers HEROICLY against their own enemy sounds really evil.

unclebobmartin 2y ago

Both China and Russia are on the verge of demographic collapse. Their workforce, including their military, is ageing out quickly, and there are vastly too few young people to replace them. This will cause China's current economic collapse to worsen for decades. It will also deplete their military to the point of ineffectiveness. They have less than a decade before their military and economic power are irrelevant. And that means they are desperate.

Russia is facing similar military and economic collapse. They have a military that they cannot sustain because there are far too few young soldiers to replace those who are retiring (or being killed). Thus their ability to defend their already indefensible borders will only decrease; leaving them impossibly vulnerable. Like China, they likely have less than a decade.

The war in Ukraine has exposed the weaknesss of the Russian military in ways that nobody expected. The curtain has been pulled back, and the guy behind it doesn't look much like the great and terrible OZ.

Vivek is a smart kid; but his youth is a big problem. He is NOT going to waltz into Russia and convince Putin to break ties with China. I mean, what IS he smoking?

RFK is an interesting character; but the DNC won't allow him to run. They'll break any rule or law to ensure his candidacy comes to naught.

It's not clear to me what the democrats are going to do about Joe -- and especially about Kamala. If they could talk Michelle into running I think they'd happily push Joe off a cliff; but I don't think Michelle is going to take the bait. Newsome? After running California into the ground I don't think he'd be likely to win against his dog -- if he has one. Whitmer? She has a greater ability to induce cringe than Hillary does. Eeewwww!

I think the democrats are in a box (of their own making) and will simply have to hope and pray that Trump is the GOP nominee and that Joe stays alive for another six years. They care about Joe's pulse and couldn't care less about his brain.

Will Trump be the nominee? Frankly, I think everything turns on that boolean variable. If yes, the democrats win. If not, they lose.