Sounds like you're waiting for the top to get most of your loan. There's only down from there for 4ish years after.

Whatever you do, have enough collateral for a 80% drop plus consider that the fees and interest is always dropping your LTV and then be prepared to deposit that collateral as you start with 50% LTV which protects for up to <40% drop in price (I think).

Good news is I guess you don't need to worry too much about rehypothecation, so you just need to focus on your own risk management.

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80% drop means you need a 5x to recover.

Numbers and percentages are always misleading. Unit bias is real.

-80% down = +400% up. Or is it +500%?

Whatever, just be craeful.

Likewise, 5x increase followed by a 80% drop = no profits.

Its mad to get your head around how smaller numbers can wipe out bigger looking numbers. It just isn't intuitive.