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This is a bleak snapshot, but I see a lot of opportunity for market correction. There are tens of millions of acres of ethanol corn that can (should) shift to food crops.

That will happen anyway, as electrification of the US vehicle fleet accelerates- there isn’t going to be a magic home for all that ethanol.

The water problem is tougher- there is a bunch of moldy value tied up in irrigated land. The real problem in the water space is that for every significant increase in water use efficiency, there is not a corresponding decrease in water use- the savings get moved over to new acres, and the aquifer keeps getting sucked dry 10-200x faster than recharge rate.

The farm lobby groups are not thinking long term, and haven’t for decades. The grower groups think (at most) in 5 year farm bill cycles. For all the talk about passing the family farm on to the next generation, there is little that makes me believe this generational bridge is thinking broadly about the reality of it.

Nicholas Bartlett 2y ago

I just got onto nostr to tag you since I wanted your input on this picture 😂. I see several farmers making more ponds around me, thats what Joel Salatin recommends people do. Im still in deep debt - dont know if we will survive the season as popcorn sellers - we have until Aug 1st to turn it around 🤷‍♂️, but there are family properties that I could go work if it comes to that. Unfortunately ponds are pretty difficult to make 😂

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Discussion

Lyle 2y ago

Ponds aren’t tough to make- depending on topography and size they can be pretty easy.

A small Cat like D4 or D6 will make a pond in short order.

Saluting is right- every time we slow the water cycle on the ground surface we create a system larger than the sun of its parts.

Build the pond(s), plant some cattails and trees, introduce fish- you are well on your way to a solid system.