Tl;dr: Price doesn't matter
Discussion
Correct you are, my fren.
It doesn’t matter in the sense that looking at daily/weekly and sometimes even monthly fluctuations is absolutely useless. The price dynamics as a stochastic process are locally indifferentiable in terms of mathematical calculus. We only understand the fundamentals of bull/bear cycles and halvings. And we know that the price is increasing semi stepwise in every cycle with diminishing returns.
After every halving, a bull run happens. The rest of the cycle is just stacking cheap sats so they appreciate during the next halving.