Correct you are, my fren.

It doesn’t matter in the sense that looking at daily/weekly and sometimes even monthly fluctuations is absolutely useless. The price dynamics as a stochastic process are locally indifferentiable in terms of mathematical calculus. We only understand the fundamentals of bull/bear cycles and halvings. And we know that the price is increasing semi stepwise in every cycle with diminishing returns.

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After every halving, a bull run happens. The rest of the cycle is just stacking cheap sats so they appreciate during the next halving.