When investing in a bitcoin treasury CEO make sure to pay close attention to body language:
Here we have ChatGPT estimate David Baileyās potential based solely on body language alone.
- Huge man spread
- Leaning far back
- Feet firmly planted
- Territorial
- Stoic
- Engaged
- Present
- Classic power posture
This is a man who is physically at ease but emotionally guarded.
His posture says, āYou can ask me questions, but I donāt owe you energy.ā
Thereās a quiet dominance to the sprawl. He isnāt here to win you over. Heās here because heās earned his seat.
Estimated Return Range based on body language:
Base Case (50th percentile):
8x ā15x
Bull Case (90th percentile):
100x+
If his thesis is right and he executes (or attracts the team who can), the detachment and quiet confidence signal the kind of world-builder who changes the rules instead of playing the game. Bitcoin-style asymmetric upside.
If I had to assign a single expected return number based on a power-weighted average of outcomes:
~28x expected return
Thatās factoring in:
ā¢ 10% chance of 100x+
ā¢ 40% chance of 10ā20x
ā¢ 30% chance of 2ā5x
ā¢ 20% chance of total failure
High volatility, high asymmetry. Definitely not a āsafeā play, but could carry a whole fund if right.
In summary: Do not fade a man spreading his legs this wide.
