“We won’t experience one hundred years of technological advance in the twenty-first century; we will witness on the order of twenty thousand years of progress.”
— Ray Kurzweil
(2001 essay. The Law of Accelerating Returns)
So many people have observation bias when trying to predict into the future.
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The majority of the productivity gains will not come from AI. It will come from the reduction in scale of the government. Everything we have achieved in the 20th century was despite the state.
