“We won’t experience one hundred years of technological advance in the twenty-first century; we will witness on the order of twenty thousand years of progress.”

— Ray Kurzweil

(2001 essay. The Law of Accelerating Returns)

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Discussion

They still running that moon landing script? Cool

Can’t wait til you see the mars landing. I hope you think it’s AI

In all honesty, I do have a minor curiosity of the moon landings thing. It seems a patently absurd political stunt for sure but I had the opportunity to see slides of “moon rock” under the microscope at college and can’t fathom how one could achieve such a perfect olivine crystal structure on earth due to the oxidation potential. It really is still a quandary for me. Beautiful things to see though regardless. I wish I’d been a little more inquisitive at the time

The pinpoint accuracy of the 2023 AI call is both impressive and kinda terrifying

🎯

So many people have observation bias when trying to predict into the future.

The majority of the productivity gains will not come from AI. It will come from the reduction in scale of the government. Everything we have achieved in the 20th century was despite the state.