To be clear, I oppose all government regulation because it is involuntary. My two question test is how I might recommend Samurai approach their defense.
I’m not a lawyer. But by my reading of the FinCEN guidance, eCash issuers and federated chains (Liquid) are probably engaging in transmission.
I’m less sure about Lightning liquidity providers. I’m guessing they’re not. Once the channel is established, neither party can steal.
Yes, a provider could fail to deliver the service. For example, my cable company could fail to deliver my bandwidth. But failure to provide service isn’t, IMO, proof of money transmission.
The purpose of my test was as a negative. If there’s NO opportunity to steal, then there’s NO transmission. But the inverse does not necessarily follow. That is, the statement “if there IS opportunity, then there IS transmission” is false.