Anyone claiming to have a 95% likely infinite money printing machine is selling you a bridge.
Discussion
do you think it's 95% likely that a billion dollars today could buy you a sandwich a day for 15 years?
15 years is not "indefinitely."
A billion dollars beating out devaluing of the currency and buying you a sandwich a day on top of that indefinitely, with 95% certainty, no, and anyone that can promise you that with 95% certainty is lying to you. Spending a little piece of that billion a day for a sandwich, losing some purchasing power over time, sure, but now you're just talking about spending the money. Anyone can spend little pieces of a billion dollars and not really feel it, quantify it and you'll find something different.
add purchasing power growth to the "spending little pieces" picture (and keep the spending under the growth).
To maintain purchasing power, best case scenario, you have to beat out the "risk free rate." Of course, it isn't actually risk free, so you have to go further than that in reality. And then, on top of that, you have to gain purchasing power to afford your sandwich, indefinitely, with a 95% guarantee, that is, with almost no risk at all.
What you're essentially saying is that bitcoin is immune to risk. You're describing a perpetual motion machine.
I'm not saying that. I'm talking about probabilities and historical performance.
You're talking about a >95% guarantee of a 2% average monthly return on something indefinitely, on capital that isn't producing economic output. On top of that, it's just chatgpt telling you that. I'm just pointing out that one ought to be highly skeptical of such a claim.
At best, bitcoin can preserve purchasing power indefinitely. In the short term, it can siphon wealth off late adopters as hard money, or give the older a cantillion effect like benefit in times of population growth. It cannot (and nothing short of a fleet of robots that make you everything you desire and maintain their own fleet can) preserve it's purchasing power and give you an additional return, especially not of 24% annually (ignoring compounding for simplicity) indefinitely.
