AI is both a scam & PSYOP:

✅LLMs are way, way overvalued

✅They will use the fear/unknown to *crises print*

Major human flourishing/productivity gains must be analog: real work in the real world.

Parabolic AI advancement will be when the robots can do more than vacuum a flat room.

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Discussion

I think they have some interesting use cases, but as for now I mostly am unimpressed by them. Don't get me wrong, the technology is incredibly interesting and it's one of those things that makes me marvel at what the engineering mind can do, but how much more productive is the average software developer as a result of LLMs? It feels to me that quantity of code has never been a bottleneck anywhere

Yes. LLM‘s are fast and look good on the surface; but real lasting progress is systems that are 100% reliable. Think about high stakes environments like: life-saving operations, nuclear reactor safety systems, engineering, bridges. There’s a premium on getting it right, not fast. Or fancy. Just get it right. LLMs can’t do this humans can.

That's true