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Happy JAN 3 everyone!

https://blossom.primal.net/d5141c4f7baeff7d22b0f7b9d37aa2f5eed12eedbd051d7911f9e3a5204593d9.mp4

Thinking visually about the economics and political means to wealth creation, and how it connects to money.

Being able to think of a single problem long enough is a skill only a few people possess unfortunately, especially in the age of LLMs and social media.

Isn't it designed in a way that makes it effectively broken for most people though?

It's always a cycle: uncertainty creates money, money leads to capital formation, capital lead to uncertainty.

Is this Primal? If so, just download nostr:npub1yzvxlwp7wawed5vgefwfmugvumtp8c8t0etk3g8sky4n0ndvyxesnxrf8q!

Hmm but what is it though? I mean what is actually depicted there? I cannot really understand it

I might be out of the loop on this one, what change did instagibbs propose/implement that is now allowing this kind of stuff to be relayed?

Paraphrasing Naval, not wanting things in the first place is as good as having them. nostr:note1z4dctj54ktmwe4vnazysyt0s79ttk88v37tjm4z9278tf99fhjtsvm3z9f

A thousand years seems like an awfully long time, what about 100?

Daily Reminder: -

Cashu is a CUSTODIAL SHITCOIN created by gay nostr:nprofile1qqs9pk20ctv9srrg9vr354p03v0rrgsqkpggh2u45va77zz4mu5p6ccpzemhxue69uhk2er9dchxummnw3ezumrpdejz7qgkwaehxw309a5xjum59ehx7um5wghxcctwvshsfmrzrk.

On a side note if nostr:nprofile1qqs8suecw4luyht9ekff89x4uacneapk8r5dyk0gmn6uwwurf6u9ruspzpmhxue69uhkumewwd68ytnrwghszrnhwden5te0dehhxtnvdakz7d8grcu (nostr:nprofile1qqsqfjg4mth7uwp307nng3z2em3ep2pxnljczzezg8j7dhf58ha7ejgpp4mhxue69uhkummn9ekx7mqprpmhxue69uhhqun9d45h2mfwwpexjmtpdshxuet5hgfg9w and nostr:nprofile1qqsw3znfr6vdnxrujezjrhlkqqjlvpcqx79ys7gcph9mkjjsy7zsgygpz3mhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuerpd46hxtnfduq3vamnwvaz7tmjv4kxz7fwwpexjmtpdshxuet5scvysa) would have provided funding to spam reduction BIPs (i.e BIP110) and monetary maximalist bitcoin implementations than custodial shitcoin projects like cashu, Bitcoin would have been much better by now at least from monetary maximalism perspective.

If nostr:nprofile1qqsqfjg4mth7uwp307nng3z2em3ep2pxnljczzezg8j7dhf58ha7ejgpp4mhxue69uhkummn9ekx7mqprpmhxue69uhhqun9d45h2mfwwpexjmtpdshxuet5hgfg9w promoted monero sympathizer like nostr:nprofile1qqsxdqfx3t8ywjx5rfx0es0xgqr0hy6mhs6e0q4nm9s37ex4r3n49kgppemhxue69uhkummn9ekx7mp0qywhwumn8ghj7mn0wd68ytnzd96xxmmfdejhytnnda3kjctv9uuj7u54 instead of nostr:nprofile1qqs936kc97s4k4gqjnmltljgqns0uadh08d77t5mypg3anxkneks37gpzamhxue69uhkv6tvw3jhytnwdaehgu3wwa5kuegpz4mhxue69uhkummnw3ezumtfd3hh2tnvdakqx3v2gk, Bitcoin would have been much better by now.

All in all, gay nostr:nprofile1qqs9pk20ctv9srrg9vr354p03v0rrgsqkpggh2u45va77zz4mu5p6ccpzemhxue69uhk2er9dchxummnw3ezumrpdejz7qgkwaehxw309a5xjum59ehx7um5wghxcctwvshsfmrzrk and nostr:nprofile1qqs936kc97s4k4gqjnmltljgqns0uadh08d77t5mypg3anxkneks37gpzamhxue69uhkv6tvw3jhytnwdaehgu3wwa5kuegpz4mhxue69uhkummnw3ezumtfd3hh2tnvdakqx3v2gk have been net negative for bitcoin and funding/promoting their projects would only make you either delusional bitcoiner or bad actor (or maybe both).

The nature of a permissionless system is that anyone can build whatever they want. I think cashu is interesting, but not sure about its use case to be honest, being custodial is surely a net negative.

With that being said, the community will naturally either adopt or not use something like cashu based on whether it's actually valuable or not, so why bother?

Bank employees are just employees and, as such, are not required to understand how banking really works. Saying that ordinary good people work anywhere doesn't mean that the organization they work for are good in and of themselves.

To use an analogy, we can all argue that McDonald's employees are good, hard working people, but the food there is far from healthy.

Was it React this time? Cloudflare really need to get their shit together

Single individuals buying ETFs are very bad for Bitcoin, they undermine its purpose.

What would you say is the end vision for Monero? Does it aim to survive as a parallel system, letting fiat to normies?

We often hear that money converges to one, so I imagine a lot of Bitcoiners expect Bitcoin to become the global money for all individuals and eventually nations, which is either naive in many respects or a very very long term thing.

Would XMR aim at such a thing as well or does it recognize it as something undesirable?

Replying to Avatar Zsubmariner

PSA: The quantum apocalypse isn't coming

A cryptographically-relevant quantum computer is physically impossible: real hardware hits a fundamental back-reaction limit at a few hundred high-fidelity logical qubits due to size-dependent noise from the error-correction process itself. Shor on 256-bit ECDSA requires thousands to tens of thousands of near-perfect ones. The gap is physical and insurmountable.

The actual use-cases for “quantum computers” are:

- Gassing up investors with science jargon

- Building a regulatory moat

- Scaring people away from battle-tested open-source cryptography

Implementing quantum resistance would be very bad for Bitcoin:

- Dilithium2 / Dilithium3 in P2TR

- Falcon-512 / Falcon-1024 in P2TR

- SPHINCS+-128f in P2TR

- ECDSA + Dilithium2 hybrid (legacy/SegWit/Taproot)

- ECDSA + Falcon-512 hybrid (legacy/SegWit/Taproot)

- New lattice or hash-based spend paths

- New QR address formats / commitments

- Signature size 9–240× larger

- Pubkey size 27–40× larger

- Typical spend 15–50× higher fees forever

- Witness data 15–50× bigger

- UTXO set 10–20× larger within years

- Validation time 5–20× slower

- Far more complex code, not battle tested

- Permanently higher fees (15–50× per tx)

- Lightning channel closes 15–50× more expensive

- Pruning nodes die (UTXO bloat kills them)

- Full-node storage +10–20× in a few years

- Increased centralization pressure

- Permanent consensus & DoS risk increase

- New critical bugs and side-channels

Some of the work people are doing to show that we COULD add QR, IF we needed to, is probably helpful to fight the FUD. But don't buy the hype and don't get bullied by the quantum mafia hype machine.

#Bitcoin

nostr:nevent1qqs0qdwd56eqmehe8n8py0r6p7ccz7t7hc3p7wu050xs4fqf54y7c6gzyqzvj9w6alhrsvtl5u6ygjkwuwg2sf5lukqskgjpuhnd6dpal0kvjqcyqqqqqqg24d2n5

That's obviously true, but what drives it? My take is that there is a fundamental difference in approach towards uncertainty.

Socialism wants to plan and control everything. It literally fears unknown dynamics.

Capitalism embraces uncertainty and places its trust on the naturally emerging behavior of groups and individuals.

I agree with your take, yet I also think that these things are implemented in degrees, where each choice leads societies closer to socialism or to capitalism.

Quick example: capitalism rests on the free market principle where prices are free to move wherever demand and supply bring them to. This is not currently happening with the most important price: interest rates are determined by the central banks. We can conclude that in this respect we're not closer to capitalism.

I wanted to propose this example since too often we hear that "X has not been really tried" and it seems like a mischaracterization of how complex systems work.

I'm aware of this "proposal" by Peter Todd. Who would actually agree with it?

I'm pretty sure enabling a change like this would end the Bitcoin project, and if Bitcoin cannot work unless there's a perpetual emission of new coins to keep miners afloat then the whole experiment was good, but ultimately a failure.

Replying to Avatar Tauri

Rome:

Once the economy fragmented and the provinces stopped listening, the emperors turned into paranoid control freaks. Diocletian froze wages and prices by decree, outlawed job mobility, tightened taxation, expanded the secret police, and criminalised dissent. That’s the moment an empire admits it can’t run on consent anymore.

Byzantium:

As territory shrank and rivals multiplied, the bureaucracy got heavier, censorship expanded, and emperors leaned on religious enforcement to keep people in line. When you don’t have land or money, you try to rule minds instead.

Ottoman Empire:

Late-stage sultans ramped up internal spying, forced centralisation, and brutal crackdowns on minorities and regions. The Tanzimat reforms look progressive on paper, but underneath they were a desperate attempt to pull autonomy back to Istanbul by force.

Russian Empire → USSR:

Tsarist Russia collapsed under the weight of censorship, militarised policing, repression of ethnic regions, and a bureaucracy incapable of reform. The USSR did the sequel: the weaker it got, the more it relied on surveillance, internal passports, purges, and tanks in the streets (Budapest, Prague).

British Empire:

As the colonies slipped away, Britain leaned on emergency acts, martial law, censorship, mass detentions, and public executions. Kenya, Ireland, India — same pattern. The empire talked liberalism and practiced coercion because the voluntary phase was over.

The rule is simple. When an empire is rising, it sells vision. When it’s stable, it sells order. When it’s declining, it sells obedience — because it has nothing else to offer. The harder the squeeze, the closer you are to the endgame.

Europe is just acting out the script in a modern regulatory suit instead of swords and horses.

Europe, specifically the European Union, is a colony of the United States. Is your last point implying that Europe is an empire in and of itself? It's not, or else Germany and Italy wouldn't have US bases within their territories.

I was listening to this before and I have to say that I lost him on the oil analogy. Saylor is really knowledgeable and smart, but he mostly is a master rhetorician.

Things are quite simple as I see them: Bitcoin is money. That's it. Pretty hard to entertain a crowd for 30 minutes like that though

What's their marketing excuse? "Share your life* or something?

I'm almost disappointed to say that the Core side really doesn't have good enough points in this debate. Couple that with their dismissive approach to criticism and one is left wondering why should this change be pushed through.

Node runners do your own research and choose very carefully whether you should update or not when v30 is released. nostr:note1jjgv79hraa203pvp9dm4r2ehp7guk7qn4a0w60j743922vedqflsfvssed

As I've said many times, Citrea really seems like a shady coverup of the whole thing.

Why can Alpen Labs fit everything in just under 80 bytes?

https://docs.alpenlabs.io/how-alpen-works/bitcoin-bridge

If Citrea sucks as a layer 2 it's its team that should find a better way of doing things instead of Bitcoin Core changing long standing, non controversial policy.

6. What's broken? It seems that the real motivation behind this change is that of allowing Citrea to publish arbitrary data larger than 80 bytes. However, why is it that Alpen Labs with their Strata bridge can fit everything they need for *very similar purposes* under 80 bytes? The fact that Citrea sucks shouldn't cause any damage to Bitcoin, hence I'm beginning to think there's unfortunately something shady going on here

Would you say there's no hope for privacy on Bitcoin anymore, and, if so, is it mainly because of KYC? I'm just thinking that the tradeoff seems inevitable: the more any given currency appreciates in value, the more regulators and the "old world" institutions are interested in controlling it.

Could things have gone differently in your opinion? And more importantly, do you see any paths forward for Bitcoin in this regard?

For example, would not privacy be good enough (whatever that means) if one purchases KYC-free Bitcoin and then goes through coinjoins on top of that?

Since you're talking about Austrian economics, this is what Rothbard has to say about interest rates:

"Perhaps more fallacies have been committed in discussions concerning the interest rate than in the treatment of any other aspect of economics. It took a long while for the crucial importance of time preference in the determination of the pure rate of interest to be realized in economics; it took even longer for economists to realize that time preference is the only determining factor. Reluctance to accept a monistic causal interpretation has plagued economics to this day."

This is an excerpt from page 389 of "Man, Economy, and State" - https://cdn.mises.org/man_economy_and_state_with_power_and_market_3.pdf

Your suggestion that perhaps a jury of random citizens should select the interest rates is a fallacy, as was already argued by Hayek in his "The Use of Knowledge In Society" - https://www.econlib.org/library/Essays/hykKnw.html

The interest rate is the price of money, so select group of people, however skilled or randomly chosen, should "decide" it.