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Trying to spice things up here by being contrarian in threads where everyone just agrees with each other in an online yawn fest for the ages. Pure sport. High chance I don't really care about what I'm arguing for.

The Japanese-speaking community on nostr is the best community here, they don't talk about the same boring stuff as the english-speaking community.

But I was responding to the note in English about the petition. They are not going to be reading that note (well I'm guessing most aren't). I think they stick to themselves pretty much. Power to them.

Well yeah. I'd say this methodology filters out a lot of the bots, but certainly not all. If you account for remaining bots, and remove Japanese and other more isolated groups, this is a very small bubble.

Jack invested like in late 2022 so 3 years ago, and I think that was when nostr was 2 years old already and had indie traction.

Pablo could get a lot of money for the highlighter.com domain, he should sell that and pull a MySpace Tom.

To be fair, there are a lot of good ideas in nostr, I think in the end the basic signed-event concept will spread. This kind1 bubble-world is kinda dying though.

To shir shit up and pass the time while I wait for stuff to render.

Nobody stirs shit up here, it's all LFG and GM, very boring.

Someone's gotta make an effort.

Time preference in context of sustained negative growth is meaningless.

Nostr is fading, numbers are at their lowest in 3 or 4 years, and continue to steadily decline. Unless something changes, increase the "time preference" and the numbers just go down even further, nostr just fades out even more.

Yes but nostr is fading over time. User numbers are at their lowest in 3.5 years, content is getting sparser and sparser.

The long-term project thesis only works if numbers are going up, even gradually. If numbers are going down then if you extend the term they just go down further!

Such a thing as foresight too.

Many a trader has used a little bit of it to do better than stubborn holders.

Some people say you should treat the ideas as having emerged from some platonic space and it doesn't matter who went into that space and plucked them out, you should judge the ideas on their merit alone.

I think the opposite, Timothy C May and Noam Chomsky both sound like total douchebags in real life, I'm happy to ignore anything they've said based solely on the fact that they seem like total douchebags. Other people who don't seem to be total douchebags have put the same general ideas in other words, I'm happy to take their phrasing instead.

I don't understand this loyalty to just one thing.

If you sold your bitcoin earlier in the year, bought silver, and then the other day sold your silver and bought back bitcoin then now you've got much MORE BITCOIN than if you'd just held.

Same as if you had 100 bitcoin ten years ago, sold them all and bought ETH, then today, ten years later, sold your ETH and bought back bitcoin, you'd have MORE (lots, lots more).

Trading is the way.

Ideologically-driven bear-hugging of any one instrument is just silly.

I'm glad I'm not a bot. Seriously though, it's raw physics when you break it down.

I’ve heard a lot of this “in theory nostr will scale horizontally forever” but, having worked in gaming with hundreds of thousands of concurrents this is the equivalent of “in theory if all the cars start moving right when the light turns green then there won’t be a delay for the cars further back”. Yeah in theory that's true.

Put another way, relying on “naturally occurring” load balancing is about as ambitious as doing away with airplane tickets and just having everyone come to the airport to try to board planes like they’re public busses.

Relays will only scale horizontally in mythical-world conditions that will never happen in the actual world. This is a mythical world where everyone and their sister is running a relay (an impossible relay:user ratio), where everyone adds just the right combination of relays so when one is maxed out vertically it falls back to another that isn’t maxed out (and that isn’t everyone else’s fallback), where high-horsepower relays (whatever distributed SQL monsters) just happen to be scattered around to just the very right places, where nothing on nostr requires ultra-low latency (waiting for the straggler relays), where no one single person has a reason to subscribe to events from more than a couple hundred others, and so on.

And that's just the relays, when you get to the blossom servers, CDNs, etc., and then the interplay between the relay side and the media side, it's just blood out of both nostrils.

If you've scaled anything then you can see from a mile away that nostr will not scale. You need centrally-orchestrated load balancing and a hundred other things akin to a human central nervous system.

Hot take: inflation doesn't really mean anything.

50 years ago, if you wanted the following:

-1 flight Los Angelus to New York

-1 basic television

-100 large pizzas

-100 litres of coke

You'd have had to work twice as many hours as today. That's certainly not inflation in terms of hours worked. But you could easily make a list of things for which you'd have worked far fewer hours for 50 years ago.

It depends what you value. If you just want to live in a van, watch TV, eat pizza drink coke and fly around the country then you haven't been affected by inflation at all, quite the opposite. But if you want a house in a trendy part of the city then you have been affected a lot.

Inflation only means something in context of hours worked and personal priorities.

Many things like that here. Look here, where nostr belatedly discovers ngrok.

In short, this NWS thing was where a so-called “entry node" captures some web traffic, wraps it into an encrypted Nostr event which is then sent to a relay that holds it until an “exit node” fetches it, decrypts the event, sends it to the local web server, and then sends the response back through the relay the same way.

It, err, didn't take off.

So many things like this.

nostr:nevent1qvzqqqqqqypzq5xeflpdskqvdq4swxj59793uvdzqzc9pzatjk3nhmcg2h0js8trqqs9xzrlasmnzyklfsl968cmr53ggua4tagpyhwkh5mypaq3etfwtng5hsejz

There is nothing special in nostr relays is the exact problem. You need something special to scale.

Relays physically cannot scale vertically, even strfry, which I'll be the first agree is tight c++ code, will max out before it supports anything at scale just due to write limits. You'll always hit a write wall on the database, and no code will remove that wall for you.

Relays cannot scale horizontally either (to millions) due to coordination issues, latency issues (especially tail latency), the backplane limit, state bloat quicksand, and also just vertical maxing out of individual relays in the horizontal plane. Again no code will fix this, you're bumping up against hardware and the laws of physics.

Replying to Avatar Mx12art

"Bitcoin has no intrinsic value. Gold does!"

Oh, does it now?

Let me blow your mind: 95% of gold sits in vaults doing absolutely nothing.

It's not powering electronics at scale. It's not being worn. It's just... sitting there. Because humans decided it's valuable.

That's not intrinsic value. That's monetary premium.

The exact same thing Bitcoin has. Except Bitcoin does it better:

• Harder to confiscate

• Easier to verify

• Impossible to counterfeit

• Infinitely divisible

• Moves at the speed of light across the planet

The "intrinsic value" argument is pure copium. If jewelry demand vanished tomorrow, gold would still be valuable—not because you can make circuits with it, but because of its monetary properties.

Just like Bitcoin.

"Gold will be the reserve currency!"

The gold standard failed. You know why?

Because governments couldn't print their way out of wars and welfare programs while on it. So they ditched it.

They called it "flexibility." I call it theft.

"Moderate inflation (~2%) is good!"

Good for WHO exactly?

Not savers. Not workers. Not anyone whose paycheck is denominated in melting currency.

Inflation is a hidden tax. It quietly transfers wealth from you to asset holders and everyone closest to the money printer: governments, banks, the Cantillon crew.

"But 2% is harmless!"

Really? Compound that over 30 years and your dollar loses about 45% of its purchasing power.

But wait, it gets worse.

Real monetary expansion runs closer to 6%. At that rate, your dollar loses HALF its value in roughly 12 years.

Ouch.

#Bitcoin fixes this.

#nostr #gold #power

"It's all in your head" describes all money, ever. Including fiat, crypto and gold in this sitting in a vault sense.

The idea that you can have some form of money that is somehow "more rational" ignores what money actually is.

I think honestly nostr is fading away. I suspect most people here can feel that. The numbers certainly reflect it.

But it shows how a free-floating singed-event based architecture can work, so that's a win.

Replying to Avatar calle

So quiet these days. This is literally the highest trending post on Nostr this hour and it has zero replies.

In 2000, Saddam Hussein did something very few people paid attention to.

He announced Iraq would start selling oil in euros, not U.S. dollars.

Three years later, the United States invaded Iraq.

No weapons of mass destruction were ever found.

But something else happened quietly.

Iraqi oil went right back to being priced in dollars.

Most people call that a coincidence.

I call it a lesson.

In 2009, Muammar Gaddafi proposed something even more dangerous.

A gold-backed African currency — the gold dinar.

It would have allowed African nations to buy oil without using dollars.

In 2011, NATO intervened in Libya for “humanitarian reasons.”

Gaddafi was killed.

The gold dinar disappeared.

Libyan oil? Back to dollars.

Another coincidence.

I’m noticing a pattern.

Go back further.

In 1971, President Nixon took the U.S. dollar off the gold standard.

The dollar was no longer backed by gold — only a promise.

By all historical logic, the dollar should have collapsed.

It didn’t.

Why?

Because three years later, Henry Kissinger cut a deal with Saudi Arabia.

The deal was simple:

Sell oil only in U.S. dollars, and the U.S. military will protect the regime.

From that moment on, every country on earth needed dollars to buy energy.

That wasn’t free-market economics.

That was force-backed monetary policy.

Or, more honestly, a protection racket.

And it works — as long as the military can enforce it.

Watch what happens when countries challenge it.

Russia demands rubles for natural gas?

Sanctions. Escalation.

Syria discusses pipelines priced outside the dollar system?

Civil war intensifies. Pipeline never happens.

Iran tries to sell oil outside the dollar?

Decades of sanctions.

I’m not saying these are good governments or bad governments.

I’m saying watch what happens when anyone threatens the petrodollar system.

Once you see it, the pattern isn’t subtle.

SWIFT is not a neutral payment system.

It’s a weapon.

Get cut off from SWIFT, and you’re locked out of global trade.

Russia.

Iran.

Cuba.

Venezuela.

Different politics. Same outcome.

They don’t teach this in school because it’s uncomfortable.

We don’t send 18-year-olds to die for “freedom.”

We send them to protect reserve currency status.

Currency funds the military.

The military protects the currency.

That’s how empires work.

Britain learned this the hard way.

The British pound was the world’s reserve currency for nearly 200 years.

After World War II, Britain lost reserve status.

Within two decades, the British Empire collapsed.

Same cycle.

Dutch guilder.

British pound.

Now the U.S. dollar.

Ray Dalio has been warning about this for years.

Late-stage empire looks like this:

• Military overextension

• Rising debt

• Currency weakening

• Rivals building alternatives

China’s Belt and Road isn’t charity.

It’s about creating debt relationships denominated in yuan.

BRICS aren’t talking about alternatives because they’re friends.

They’re building an exit ramp from dollar dependence.

When the dollar loses reserve status — not if, when — the ability to print money without consequences disappears.

- Then the military contracts.

- Then the empire ends.

- You can call this cynical.

I call it financial history.

Every war in my lifetime had a currency angle — if you knew where to look.

“Freedom and democracy” is the marketing.

The actual policy documents talk about

“maintaining dollar liquidity in global energy markets.”

I’m not anti-military.

I’m anti-bullshit.

If we’re sending people to fight…

We should at least be honest about why.

Ray Dalio has been warning about anything you can think of for years. If tomorrow there's an invasion of purple-eyed lizard people from Venus, chances are Ray Dalio warned about that too.

Well yeah, that's also an issue. It's also possible that shor's is realized sooner than we're predicting, and announced suddenly, so before Bitcoin can propagate whatever is selected in the end, and that is the end of Bitcoin more or less, not just nostr. (There is currently a race condition between bitcoin core and a quantum machine that can realise shor's.)

I'm optimistic that a Nostr 2.0 will come out and be much better than this one, but a complete from-scratch do-over.

I'm not optimistic that Nostr 1.0 can be "patched" by just swapping out keys. Every dev here has a sacred list of hard-fork-requiring things that, if there is going to be a hard fork for quantum or whatever else, then those things MUST also be in the hard fork. In other words the next fork might be the only hard fork to ever occurs and those hard-fork requiring things will just have to be in it, now or never.

First, because it’s not a migration in the Bitcoin core sense, or the Signal sense, etc. In nostr the vulnerable key is the absolute end of the line, last station on the subway. Second because a hard fork requires consensus and there is no way to achieve consensus here on something like “just” swapping out the keys, that would require consensus on everything about the hard fork from everyone who is to be a lead participant in it, and in a highly organic and unstructured way, which is the only way nostr has. Which, if you think about it, means starting again from scratch.

It wouldn't work. You in theory ditch secp256k and start over with Crystals or similar (hello 2.5kb signatures). But on Nostr it makes no sense to hard fork and just change the key type, since there are other unresolved technical problems, you'd want to kill as many birds with one stone as you can.

It'd basically be an entirely new protocol. This one written off.

The problem is that it has to be done. I mean it would be quite a feat of engineering if within 3 years there was a quantum computer that can crack secp256k via shor's, in the 2k-6k logical qbit range. But the thing is it's entirely possible, given how AI is supercharging error correction and new advances in qbit types and noise reduction. So if being serious about security you have to assume it will happen in 5 years, and you definitely have to assume it will happen in 10.

Signal started their fix a couple years ago and are basically done, so things like White Noise can be reworked to remove nostr (as we know it now) as the transport layer. But for nostr itself there is zero scope for migration, it's the end of the line.

In a browser context that's just inspection theatre though, more comfort than any semblance of certainty.

Nostr still requires a hard fork though, because of quantum resistance. As it stands now scep256k1 is always the weakest link in the chain, and scep256k1 cannot be a foundation for anything in 2025..

Yes. Open-source code is meaningless in context of web apps, be it loading in iframes or anywhere else. It's never anything more than "I promise that this is the code that is loading there at this time".

Yup, certified not crazy.

That said, I think Cashu is a good way of casino-chip-ifying pretty much anything, if that’s the functionality you’re after. Casino chips are useful—if you're in a casino. (Imagine placing crumpled up dollar bills on every number you want to cover on the roulette wheel.)

As long as you're honest that these casino chips are indeed casino chips. Key caveat.

Pays to remember that someone who has never heard of a key pair before could well need several hours of research to genuinely understand the concept of a private key and a public key and a signature.

And maybe several days, because many will have to circle back to grab a bunch of underlying concepts in math and computation that they don't have pre-packed.

And maybe years—as in they need to catch up on years of missing context before they have the educational foundation to genuinely (key word) grasp what a key pair is and does.

If you go through nStart and other "normie-friendly" onboarding tools, these tools make some ridiculous assumptions about what the average normie has cognitively pre-loaded.