Replying to Avatar DefiantDandelion

I think the prediction markets are the best way to evaluate the immediate outcome of the debates in terms of did either candidate do what they wanted to do. Especially before the spin takes hold. However I don’t know if debates will affect long term. #debates #politics #grownostr
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jb55 1y ago

Prediction markets had hillary 9:1 to trump in 2016. Made tons of money on this.

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BitBees 1y ago

Yeah. Polls schmolls. Loada crap.

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DefiantDandelion 1y ago

I don’t know if they work for predicting the actual election but as a measure of change from before a debate to after a debate I think it’s probably a good way to evaluate debate performance.

And I think prediction markets have wider use now than 2016. More diverse opinions being represented now than before.