I think the prediction markets are the best way to evaluate the immediate outcome of the debates in terms of did either candidate do what they wanted to do. Especially before the spin takes hold. However I don’t know if debates will affect long term. #debates #politics #grownostr
Prediction markets had hillary 9:1 to trump in 2016. Made tons of money on this.
Yeah. Polls schmolls. Loada crap.
I don’t know if they work for predicting the actual election but as a measure of change from before a debate to after a debate I think it’s probably a good way to evaluate debate performance.
And I think prediction markets have wider use now than 2016. More diverse opinions being represented now than before.
Yeah I think that’s probably a biased sample as the proliferation of media options forced cable news outlets to differentiate to specific viewership segments, Fox got team red.
https://electionbettingodds.com/President2024_4hr.html
The detail of where the screenshot originated from if you’re interested.
I thought Haley dropped out of the race months ago and I had no idea that Michelle Obama was running.
I live in a bubble and I don’t waste my time watching the evening news but a few times a year. 😂
Yeah there are some people who lean into some unlikely theories and they believe it so much they put their money up.
