Turbulent Times: German Businesses Brace for Surge in Insolvencies

Germany's economy is facing a perfect storm, as a long-standing downturn and soaring costs push more companies to the brink. Recent data from the Leibniz Institute for Economic Research Halle (IWH) shows a "sharp" increase in German business insolvencies in October, reaching the highest level in 20 years.

Researchers point to a combination of prolonged economic weakness and skyrocketing expenses as the driving factors behind this troubling trend. The impending election of Donald Trump as US President is also seen as a potential catalyst, with the German economy deemed highly vulnerable to the ramifications.

As the manufacturing sector struggles, with a significant decline in auto production, experts warn that the situation could deteriorate further. Companies across various industries are feeling the strain, underscoring the urgent need for policymakers to address this growing crisis.

Some data:

- German business insolvencies spiked in October, reaching 1,530 - the highest level in 20 years

- German manufacturing production fell 2.5% in September compared to the prior month

- Automotive production dropped 7.8% month-over-month in September

- Experts cite a prolonged economic downturn and soaring costs as the driving factors

- The impending Trump presidency is seen as a potential catalyst for further economic vulnerability

Germany is becoming a textbook example of what happens when interest rates suddenly rise after a long period of zero interest rate policy and interest rate manipulation. The economy, which was bred as part of the Green Deal fashion, is in collapse.

#Germany #Economy #Insolvencies #BusinessFailure #Trump #ampel #recession #greendeal #eu

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Discussion

a friend in Germany tells me that she's worried about the direction of the country because far right wing forces are becoming more powerful. She even mentioned 1945:

"a new party has been established here that is clearly right-wing, that makes no secret of it and describes itself as right-wing radical. It is partyly being monitored by the Federal Office for the Protection of the Constitution. It's a party that wants Germany to leave the EU, in which no foreigners are tolderated. Germany had something like that before, until 1945."

are these just scare tactics of a left-leaning media/government who are losing power?

Yes.

Thank you, I'll tell her not to worry then :-D

Honestly, I don't think it works. If she is in Germany, she will be physically immersed in the propaganda with little to no recourse to clean sources of information that allow her to change her mind.

True

I always thought it was cool how people still read the Sueddeutsche Zeitung in 2015. I used to deliver it to people's houses at 4am. Even young people used to read the paper.

Maybe that's not so great anymore...

Crazy how much influence money can buy. And people just tacitly understand the demands.

Yep