> If a man declares in a recording from April that he saw the numbers in a dream and they will come up before November... Then numbers come up...

Yea you're right this is a good analogy.

In this case, the guy got some of the lottery numbers right, some were wrong, and some of the numerals were a little blurry. If it really were the lottery, he wouldn't be walking away with the jackpot.

To me, this (getting some of the numbers right) is mildly interesting but not a clear/obvious case. And given the major loftiness of the claim being made (the implications are: god is real, god gave me a vision, god is on trump's side, god protected trump, trump is going to come around to being some kind of soldier for jesus, etc. etc. a massively consequential set of conclusions), personally I'd want a LOT more accuracy and less room for chance in order to accept such enormous claims.

You have a different set of priors (half of the implications above you probably readily accept), so the situation looks very different for you. Seems reasonable to me.