I better have a very small chance of being robbed in one of my channels because of my own mistakes, than a chance of monero holding being diluted by a fork or just in general go down in price (because all supplimentary monetary assets go down compared to main asset, because of system effects - look at EUR/USD or silver/gold).

Yes, you can not force privacy on bitcoiners who don't want it, neither on anybody. Such folks can store monero in custodial exchange with full kyc and transfer it between each other without privacy. While those who want privacy, will find a way in both BTC and monero.

Don't confuse privacy and small payment scenarios of LN. Those who use it for small payments, don't necessarily want privacy and it's fine. They don't need to move it back onchain, because that is not their goal. The advantage over monero is still that we who want privacy can hide between many folks who use it for small payments and fee reductions. And if asked why we use LN, we can always say that it is for fee reductions. So it has more potential of being listed in major exchanges. Good coverage. Remember that the best privacy is steganography, when you hide not only the essential information, but also the fact, that you have stollen it.

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There has been no contentious forks. All upgrades revolve around efficiency or privacy because Monero has clear goals. Monetary policy is not touched. But if that is your concern, don't save in Monero. Use it. A medium of exchange. Save in Bitcoin. Best of both worlds.

If I hand you cash is that "forcing" privacy on you? Makes no sense.

You can choose to make all your transactions public with your viewkey on Monero. The difference is it is your choice to reveal this just like with cash.

The custodial KYC exchange argument applies ten fold to Bitcoin because many more CEXes offer Bitcoin as Monero is being delisted everywhere. And Monero users are more likely to be privacy conscious. Its also worse when you do withdraw with Bitcoin because the average person can and will be traced.

Yes, you can plead fee reduction, but they can see and ask why you made certain choice. Such as CJing or not routing thru a centralized node would be contradictory to saving in fees.

A more honest thing to say is all of them have tradeoffs, not that Lightning is a replacement for Monero. Which is my whole point of contention.