Help me understand. A hardware wallet generates a seed phrase (random number) via their secure element. What are the chances the same hardware wallet generates the same random number if millions of people buy the same hardware wallet? I get there's 1 in whatever chance of it happening. But with Bitcoin becoming so popular and with people generating hundreds of seed phrases from only 2048 words via software wallets etc. What are the chances?

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It's definitely possible.

Just check out keys.lol

J/k

I remember seeing a video, from a link present in the "21 lessons" by nostr:npub1dergggklka99wwrs92yz8wdjs952h2ux2ha2ed598ngwu9w7a6fsh9xzpc. If I do recall, there was a super nice representation of the immense big numbers there are behind seed encryption, and hiw it is difficult for us to even grasp those immensely big numbers.

I will try to find the link.. but I saw it so long ago 🥲

I understand now. I guess my paranoid brain just thinks "I've created at least 100 random seeds playing around with wallets. Every time I run Sparrow or an app. Times millions of people doing the same. With 8 billion people in the world. It's possible".

There are 1,461,501,637,330,902,918,203,684,832,716,283,019,655,932,542,976 possible Bitcoin addresses. Sure you could randomly guess one. Good luck!

If every grain of sand on earth were another planet Earth, and each of those Earths had as many people as this one, there would be 3.5 billion Bitcoin addresses for each person, which would be 100 addresses for every second of their life if they all lived 100 years.

If you do decide to try and guess an address, please get an evolutionist to help you. They should be game, since they routinely state that equally unlikely things have happened repeatedly in order for life to evolve 🙄