I think nostr maybe isn't going to be reaching these sorts of users, not now at least. I think growth will come from more visibility. I see this as potentially coming from more the content creators of these sites who could promote nostr as a 'follow me on nostr in case I get banned here' at first. Similar to YouTubers promoting their alt-video accounts like Rokfin and rumble. It could also be similarly used as a 'follow me on nostr for my more spicy takes I can't see here', type deal too.

I think nostr is somewhat not known enough for this to happen yet but it is possible in the future.

In the short term you can see a small increase in more niche communities here atm, nostr seems to attract the banned and shadowbanned lol, (besides 'bitcoin twitter' which are the majority of users here currently).

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Hmmm. I think twitter touches more the tech people. But other sm platforms, that collects less tech related, but more people with general interest. Maybe nostrs value proposition as not that apparent.

Maybe these people's usecases are not touched by nostr, or does not worth the extra effort, because they see less upside compared to the effort they need.

Maybe this is okay, maybe not. I am just wondering about value proposition, people's needs, and these sort of topics.

For a content creator, rather than a casual user, relying on sm to make a living, you couldn't fully move here atm, it simply doesn't have the numbers and reach. So it's understandable. That's why I can see nostr spreading more as an additional safety net for content creators maybe ¯⁠\⁠_⁠(⁠ツ⁠)⁠_⁠/⁠¯

Then it is kind of the chicken and egg problem. Who shall to come here first? The regular users or the content creators. Both depend on the other, so the move can only be slow. Or maximum if nostr can really add high value compared to the shift.

Somehow I feel, that everything boils down to this:

Value gained / effort to do

If value is high, but effort is high, people might give up, or not even try.

I'm sort of saying that it doesn't necessarily need to happen that way. Like in the same way these YouTube alts (Bitchute, rumble) have grown alongside YouTubers' main accounts, it's fairly common now to see a YouTuber, especially within political and cultural commentary, that they recommend these alts for extended and uncensored versions. That is a potential path nostr can also take ¯⁠\⁠_⁠(⁠ツ⁠)⁠_⁠/⁠¯