On climate change:

* I believe it is happening, based on satellite temperature measurements.

* I believe CO2 is increasing very predictably based on atmospheric measurements.

* I don't believe anybody doing those measurements is intentionally deceiving the world. I'm just not that much of a conspiracy theorist.

* I believe these changes are anthropogenic (human caused)

but

* I think most models and predictions are pretty suss.

* I think selection bias is endemic: in journals selecting papers, in governments selecting who to fund, etc. An extreme bias rejecting "deniers" yields a certain and unscientific (potentially untrue) outcome.

and

* I don't think it's important to stop these changes in the near term

* I think climate change is a net-win currently as Canada, Greenland, northern Russia and maybe even Antarctica are mostly unusable currently; there are far more uninhabitable places due to too-cold than too-warm; far more people die each year because of being too-cold vs too-warm.

* Species will die, but I don't care. Life continues to evolve. There will be new species.

* People will move. But much moreso in the short term, people will adapt.

yet

* Eventually we will have to convert away from fossil fuels that put CO2 into the atmosphere because it is very hard to draw it back down in sufficient quantity.

* We need fossil fuels now in order to innovate the technology needed to not use fossil fuels. We have no hope of doing it on bamboo bicycles.

Reply to this note

Please Login to reply.

Discussion

This is a perfectly reasonable position, and it's one I share. I also think Bitcoin will help a great deal in lowering the price of clean energy so that it's viable to overproduce, so grids based upon intermittent sources are more reliable. Miners in demand response programs help with the peak-shaving and valley-filling of the duck curve, and coupled with load-shifting from storage, indexpensive, reliable, clean energy is within our grasp.

Have you checked at all validity of claim that CO2 causes warming cos this whole drama stands on very ify theory.

Correlation isnt ....what?

Correlation doesn’t imply cause, true. But in this case there’s a simple physical mechanism that would explain the pattern. Correlation + a mechanism is very good evidence.

this seems to me to be a rare, but very reasonable take

Makes sense no matter what the truth regarding CO2 Is. Yes I agree 💯%

Mass formation psychosis

#[0]