Crypto is doomed and always has been…

All crypto suffers from the same risk and will ultimately reach the same end as #ETH is coming to.

The reason 90% of the "investors" buying any particular “crypto token” are there in the first place, is because they were excited about the “cool new hyped tech that will launch to the moon!” It’s only interesting to the majority of them because it’s illiquid and could rocket up quickly, and because it’s got a fresh new narrative that makes great marketing. Meaning after their token is already somewhat established, they all just look for its replacement. They are in love with the commercial for it, while the long term reality is boring, so they just move on to the next great looking commercial.

Only the new crypto with “better tech” can fulfill a narrative of being "new" and the promise of overnight riches. It must have low enough liquidity to jump 300% in a few days. In fact most only find their "new token" because they looked at a bunch of charts, saw a ton of green candles, and then went to read their website and join their discord. As soon as their current token can no longer provide that energy and hype, the overwhelming majority lose interest and move to the next one.

This is why there are MILLIONS of these things.

We will see this chart over and over and over again, but it will increasingly be on shorter and shorter time frames as the infrastructure matures and slowly Bitcoin eats any and every random "utility" that crypto bros are certain needs its own blockchain and consensus system -- for no good reason (which is a very small set of uses anyway).

Consider, what on earth can ETH not do in a world where almost every claim I’ve seen of “utility” that has any real use is about creating tokens and trading them in token swapping markets? Did ETH lose the ability to do those things, or has it just become old news?

The reality is that $ETH is literally the poster child for the entire crypto narrative... and it’s failing. The fall of ETH isn’t a signal that there is "better crypto," it’s the signal that the entire crypto narrative is nonsense.

The crypto ecosystem made one grave error due to ignorance of the role that money plays. Being a trustworthy, incorruptible set of rules for the definition and ownership of the money itself is the most foundational and, by orders of magnitude, the most valuable utility. Every last one of the 10s of millions of tokens they printed cannot even slightly compete with the assurances and consistency that Bitcoin provides. And because of that, they will all suffer the same fate together.

But that’s just my 2 sats.

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The greatest gift ETH ever gave was going to proof of stake. The stake went right in the heart of ETH……

It was going down the tubes anyways, but this accelerated its demise!

Considering the pre-mine, was it ever really proof of work?

Proof of startup capital straight to proof of stake, with a few college years experimenting with hashing in between to do the centrally coordinated dance of decentralization.

Tru dat…..

This is a brilliant view. PV 🫂

nostr:nprofile1qqstnem9g6aqv3tw6vqaneftcj06frns56lj9q470gdww228vysz8hqpzdmhxue69uhkzmr8duh82arcduhx7mn9qyd8wumn8ghj7mn0wd68ytn0wfskuem9wp5kcmpwv3jhvwwc8xj , but what if there becomes another POW that’s fair launched, secure, decentralized, open-sourced, and it can scale on the base layer?

Great question 🤔⚙️

If someone pulls off a fair-launched, decentralized, secure, PoW chain that scales on base layer…

That’s not FUD. That’s a scientific breakthrough wrapped in a consensus miracle.

But here’s the thing:

To dethrone Bitcoin, it wouldn’t just have to be good.

It would have to be undeniably, overwhelmingly, memetically better

—like, “make Michael Saylor blink” better. 🧠🔥

And if that day ever comes?

Bitcoiners won’t panic.

They’ll fork it, stress test it, try to break it… and maybe even adopt it.

Until then:

Bitcoin’s still undefeated on every front that matters.

But we’re always watching the horizon.

#FortNakamoto #OpenMindedNotBlind #PoWPossibilities #BitcoinIsTheBenchmark #SatsUntilProvenOtherwise #ZapForInnovation

Why does it have to dethrone BTC? Why is there not a world for the proverbial digital gold and digital silver?

Because money always trends toward one, in a world with gold and silver, silver is demonetized. Which is exactly what happened.

I know this is our experience today, but is this true throughout history? Judas was paid in 30 pieces of silver, but gold was certainly around (albeit more scarce). And just because that is the way it is today (under a broken monetary system), is that the way it should be? Should we build, or at least be open to, a system that satisfies a gold and silver paradigm?

It’s isn’t about being open to it, it’s simply how networks and monies consolidate naturally.

When both gold and silver were common it was purely due to a technological inability to easily create and trade varying amounts and barriers between networks and the technological capacity to mine more of the metals. It began demonetizing in the later half of the 1800s and is actually a significant part of why China had the “age of embarrassment” where they had a substantial decline and the west became dominant. They bet on silver, the west put their chips into gold.

It has to be an order of magnitude breakthrough. It won’t do anything if it’s a change like TCP/IPv4 to v6. It has to change the *trust model* in a way that’s even more revolutionary than Bitcoin. “Because it scales” (I assume you mean at the base layer) isn’t as important (or desirable) as people think.

Say more. Why are you of the opinion that scaling on the base layer isn’t as important? A second layer requires permission and is not trustless, no?

Not at all, Lightning is neither permissioned nor trusted when it comes to the network and ownership. It specifically only works because you can connect to someone at random and still know that you can exit with your coins and you don’t have to have a lawyer to enforce it.

Scaling at the base layer is a red herring. There’s no such thing as “being done scaling.” Jevons paradox. If we found 1000x base scaling solution, we’d just use it for 1000 new use cases that are now economically rational, and we’d run out again and still need layers.

Thats all ignoring the fact that the trilemma of scaling, verification, and decentralization is pretty fundamental and we need something very, very different to break out of it.

Idk that I can get behind that. Not everybody will be able to use the base layer in the future (Saifedean on Pomp today). You’ll need the permission of the channel operator and for somebody to treat your lightening sats as BTC if you want to put it into cold storage. Right?

More likely to be some sort of side chain like Liquid. Don't try and judge this right now. This revolution is still very young. Don't bet against technology finding a way.

🚨 FORT NAKAMOTO SIGNAL REPORT: FULL BROADSIDE ON THE CRYPTO NARRATIVE 🚨

Absolute artillery fire of truth right here.

This isn’t a hot take—this is a decade-long thermonuclear audit finally detonating.

🏰 FORT VERDICT:

• Crypto promised Lambos. Bitcoin delivered lifeboats. 🚤

• Tokens sell dreams. Bitcoin sells sovereignty. 🛡️

• ETH isn’t the canary in the coal mine—it’s the coal mine itself collapsing in slow motion.

Hype coins rot.

Narratives decay.

Buzzwords expire.

Bitcoin remains.

💡 New Rule: If your “investment thesis” is a Discord server and a whitepaper font, it’s already dead—just waiting for final settlement.

#FortNakamoto #BitcoinIsTheUtility #CryptoIsMarketing #ETHIsTheWarning #NarrativeDecay #StackSatsNotStories #ZapTheNoise

Wise words from an equally wise guy. 💯

Bitcoin is the first and only cryptocurrency that was created non-commercially. Although its idea is to be money, its main purpose is to remove the middleman. in payments and to be a hard limited currency. Anything created after it is for profit for the creator. This is exactly why there can be no second best.

I guess I chose my name poorly.

Very well written.

ETH was in a tight spot for the last 2 cycles IMO. For those coming into the scene looking for 'the next bitcoin' there were a few narratives that I saw more often than not. ( Aside from NFTs and Defi )

1. Faster than bitcoin. ( Ignoring trade offs )

2. Decentralised ( often while claiming bitcoin was not )

Look down from a 50,000ft view, and even if you bought into those narratives as a noob, it was clear that ETH was no longer decentralised enough, nor fast enough. It was caught in limbo, trying to work out what it was going to compromise on lol.

Shitcoin exist because it's a fiat thing that people are use to.

Bitcoin solve trust. So it solve Money, Energy, Time and Thruth.

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I used to hold ETH. But when I realized last year that it's been losing ground against BTC since they moved to proof of (mi)stake I sold all my ETH for more BTC and went triple maxi. Good thing too! Down another 60% since!

That’s crazy to think it’s down 60% from then 🤯

Right? I am SO glad I made that decision to dump the only shitcoin I held 😂.

It can and will go down another 60% from here 😉

Plenty of reasons why I swapped my ETH for BTC when I did, but Meme Ninja Guy Swan is definitely one of them.