My guesses:

1. End with a bang (December).

2. Start with a whimper (January/February)

3. Grind higher (March-May).

4. Beat down (June-July).

5. Go exponential (August-November).

#475k still in play.

——

Just for fun. Seriously.

Definitely just my guesses—which are subject to change—and are absolutely not investment advice for anyone. Don’t @ me when this falls apart.

I enjoy making predictions, then following up to see what I got wrong and what I got lucky.

Reply to this note

Please Login to reply.

Discussion

1. Is a bang to the upside or downside?

Up

Thanks for the view. Appreciated.

Hi Dr Jeff - thank you for the nudge to Nostr and your continued insights.

Curious how you reconcile BTC revisiting 100k in 25, 26 and maybe 27 if, over the longer term, we are likely looking at 1 mill +.

Surely we need to escape the 4 year cycle at some point - especially with selling by miners dwarfed by sales from OG’s (so cyclically less impactful) and the likes of MSTR & ETF’s - and nation states piling in?

Thank you!

Still predicting a deep bear market in 26 Doc?

If all the bullish potential adoption from Trumps SBR to Microsoft and the other huge companies putting #bitcoin on their balance sheet comes to pass had this not changed your forecast?

No change for now. It depends greatly on what happens throughout 2025.

🤝🏻

I just took all of that as infallible prediction advice, thanks!

Its been fun watching you hit these predictions outa the park

UPDATE: Remember this post? đź‘€

"Better to be lucky than good," as they say.

Related, guess #3 is incoming.

nostr:nevent1qvzqqqqqqypzpduedsvruqmd7fuq99zmszaaezct7kt3ke3p4p4lx45uxvs30uraqqswxqzwmuekrq2trx8rtg0npn05ug36c8mysvp5gk60gjwyxq52q3g0r8lwu

And what about bear market. Brutal ? I reckon if we hit 475 we’ll retrace to 100ish

Liquidity pools of paper btc manipulation?

Im not savvy enough to point to proof.

nostr:npub1k7vkcxp7qdkly7qzj3dcpw7u3v9lt9cmvcs6s6ln26wrxggh7p7su3c04l ???

475k? Why so bearish? $1m.

October is harvest time