One side effect of this system is that the money supply will be elastic, but creating money will require effort. No one would be able to print money. Another will be that the baskets will compete with each other to maintain stable value, which crowd sources the problem of measuring inflation across all the people negotiating employment contracts / wages in those baskets.
I have been listening to your discussion with Pascal on the bitcoin enlightenment. I am in the section about using bitcoin as a ruler and you ask when that will happen. I think once bitcoin checkmates central banks so that they can't print money anymore, there will be a period where the value of bitcoin stabilizes, and other forms of money that require trust rise and start to compete with bitcoin to be used as money. One obvious form of that is tokenized commodities and baskets of commodities chosen to have stable value or chosen to match what people typically consume in a given region (electricity, gas, local apartment rental, food, ...). . Bitcoin would enter that system as one commodity among many, except under jurisdictions whose legal apparatus refuses to enforce the redemption agreements for tokenized commodities. In those, bitcoin would be the only acceptable form of money.
Hope you are feeling better soon, Nat. I *love* your podcast. You bring such joy, enthusiasm, and insight to the space of bitcoin commentary.
What would this world be without arithmetic, but a scene of horror?
I think the timestamp server use case might be very useful in reforming the financial / legal system, by proving who knew (or agreed to) what when. It would both compete with, and support bitcoin's use as a currency.
As you move through your career, you will notice things in your field no one else does. Take on problems that matter that everyone else ignores. This is your Edge. Relentlessly sharpen it.
Agree on the scamming of investors. I think we will make lots of narrow AI systems with very useful capabilities but general AI will not be possible.
How do you think AI tech is going to play out in the coming years? Do you think we will achieve AGI?
The billionaire class needs to stop making outrageous amounts of money from selling onesies with propaganda stenciled on!
They work just fine in terms of satisfying demand for commodities efficiently. They don't work just fine in terms of being usable as a form of money. Which they could if they were tokenized.
There is of you want to create currencies from baskets of commodities (flatcoins). I think those are destined to become units of account, which I don't think Bitcoin is useful for the until after the price stabilizes. And even then, bitcoin is one commodity among many. Would you be willing to hire someone for a fixed amount of Bitcoin as their yearly salary?
Does tokenizing assets and commodities require any more trust than placing an online order with Amazon and expecting delivery? Tokenized commodities will become a significant economic force on the coming years. Those countries that manage this well will even see tokenized commodities compete with Bitcoin for use as medium of exchange and unit of account. Those countries that don't will have to rely on more trust less protocols like Bitcoin.
I think being able to usefully navigate a noisy, cluttered (real world) environment requires a cognitive architecture with a vast number of edge cases. Finding an architecture like that from first principles takes an evolutionary process operating over a vast area (the biosphere of the earth) and time scale. We can discover useful pieces of it if we study how insects are able to operate so well with such small nervous systems and so little power. I predict we won't make much progress in robotics until we take that able seriously.
And income tax is punishing people for being productive. Not sure why cap gains is worse than other taxes like income and sales. I hadn't thought of the inflation avoidance angle before though. So we have a feedback loop between the gvt causing inflation and getting more revenue from cap gains. I wonder if there is a way to modify the cap gains tax to reduce that effect.
My guess is he wants to outlaw open source development. It's too dangerous for just anyone to be allowed to experiment with. Only the blessed shall tinker.
My take on this: be confident in your long game. When people unfairly blame you for things that are not your fault, or think ill of you, they are either not understanding your long game, or they are opportunistically connecting a false set or dots to blame you for their failures. That set of dots will be seen as fraudulent in the long run as your good faith efforts pay off. If you reply to accusations immediately and comprehensively, instead of ignoring them or giving simple short replies, it shows that you don't trust your own long game. If the people blaming you now are working with you in good faith, they will realize they were wrong soon enough and respect you more for being steadfast and not getting excited about being blamed.
Those make sense to me. I wonder if "6102 honeypot" shouldnt be added to the list. He would be such a fat target to a desperate govt when fed printing is checkmated by the Btc omega candle.
What's your objection to how much they are accumulating?



