Avatar
lonecoiner
1816102b4e60b0372b5f530679b3310b3622293ec6878cf56e36cb9ade158fe7

I find the Bitcoin Twitter consensus that we are going lower extremely bullish

Anyone have any permanent solutions for a painful bulging disc?

Been losing a ton of weight, stretching, staying hydrated. Marginal improvement, but doesn’t seem to be truly healing.

Considering stem cell injections outside of the US. Any other recommendations?

Why do government employees get back pay after a shutdown ends for the time that they weren’t working? Someone put this in DOGE’s ear please.

Replying to Avatar HODL

Thought experiment.

Option # 1

Let’s say you have 10 bitcoin and we hit 2 million in the next few years.

You’re tempted so you sell it for 20 million dollars.

After taxes you’re be left with 16MM.

Which you use to comfortably generate 1.2MM a year in the tradfi markets.

So you take the money and retire.

Bitcoin crashes 60% back to 800k.

For a few years you feel like a genius. You enjoy your new rich person lifestyle.

You even buy back a few bitcoin. 2 to be exact. 20% of what you used to have.

Then bitcoin rises over the next decade to be worth 50 million per coin.

You’re worth 120 million now. And you decide to sell a little over half a coin and upgrade your lifestyle again to be able to generate an additional 2 million a year.

You’re now on paper worth 120 million, you generate 3.2 million a year (266k a month) and you’ve been largely stress free for the last decade.

Your kids will inherit roughly 1.62 bitcoin from you upon your death.

You have some level of regret about not hodling through, but you’ve been largely stress free and the mental health benefit was worth it in your mind.

Vs.

Option # 2

You have the same 10 bitcoin but you Hodl them.

Your stress levels are persistently higher.

You also decide to retire when Bitcoin hits 2 mil, but you decide to do so in bitcoin terms.

Your plan is to sell a little bitcoin as needed in order to fund your lifestyle.

This is roughly 1-3 million sats a month. Depending on bitcoin price.

Over the course of 10 years you end up selling or spending 2.4 bitcoin and are still left worth 7.6btc when bitcoin reaches 50 million.

Your net worth is 380 million.

You’ve reduced your lifestyle in bitcoin terms down to a million sats a month. (500k) or 6 million per year. You’re 46, Assuming you live until you’re 90 you will pass down 2.32 bitcoin to your kids.

You have no regrets about the way you played it, but your stress was consistently higher and there were a few scary months along the way.

Which option do you choose?

1 or 2?

I think reality is somewhere in the middle for me, but leaning towards option 2.

I’m no mathematician, but there seems to be this anomaly between 3 days ago and 1 day ago with no zaps 🤔

$1M BTC is sat-cent parody.

There’s a splinter in my mind I can’t seem to get rid of…

I don’t think we hit $1,000,000 this cycle. And I do think we have another 60-80% pullback into 2026.

HOWEVER, hard money (gold) went from $1 million in Weimar marks to $1 trillion in Weimar marks in the blink of an eye.

I know that was one country and I know they were under extreme circumstances, but I would also say the entire world being on a fiat standard the last 53 years and mortgages being given out 95% LTV and banks having 0% reserve requirements and the United States’ only export is dollars printed out of thin air are extreme circumstances.

Both situations are Cantillionaire Ponzi schemes. The latter is just bigger and more sophisticated.

This is not my base case, but the chances of these both ending in a similar fashion are not zero.

Now you have the splinter too 😏

Just ordered a 4TB SSD for my node. Will have enough storage for another 900,000 blocks.

nostr:npub1h8nk2346qezka5cpm8jjh3yl5j88pf4ly2ptu7s6uu55wcfqy0wq36rpev GAHD DAMN!! The last 6 minutes of this one are fucking epic!

“And no, we’re not trying to be diplomatic about it… we are trying to put you out of business FOR-EVER.”

https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/bitcoin-audible/id1359544516?i=1000678156459

So how do I break the news to my wife that I put 100% of my retirement accounts into MSTR in late 2022?

I THINK LASER EYES SHOULD BECOME A PERMANENT BADGE FOR ALL OF US WHO STACKED GENERATIONAL WEALTH BELOW 100K.

nostr:npub1s5yq6wadwrxde4lhfs56gn64hwzuhnfa6r9mj476r5s4hkunzgzqrs6q7z - how much did you pay for those $5000 (pre-split) MSTR calls over a year ago? Curious what your % return was.

HOW AM I SUPPOSED TO WORK TODAY?!