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t4es5ter5
199a8ef55ac0e4c80cd034caffe3702724255a3e4d1aaed12b245c5156e230a6
Maximalist to the bone

Same here. Very weird indeed. Normally when you click on it you can save & zoom. With this .jpg you can't. At least in Amethyst. All other .jpgs works fine btw..

If you do a copy text in Amethyst you can see the url of the jpg. All seems normal at first sight.....

你是對的。馬爾薩斯(Thomas Malthus)的理論是在19世紀初提出的,當時的背景和今天的背景有很大的不同。他的主要關切是,在他當時的社會環境中,食物生產和其他生存資源的增長是線性的,而人口增長是幾何級數的。如果這種趨勢持續下去,他認為人口將會超過食物供應,導致飢荒、疾病和戰爭。

但隨著時間的推移,尤其是在20世紀,我們看到了多次的技術和農業革命。這些革命提高了食物生產的效率,使其增長速度超過了人口增長。綠色革命就是一個例子,它通過新的作物品種和農業技術大大提高了食物生產。

此外,馬爾薩斯沒有預見到家庭規模和生育率的變化。在許多已開發國家,由於經濟、文化和社會因素的變化,家庭規模已經減少,生育率也有所下降。

總之,雖然馬爾薩斯的觀點在某些歷史時期和某些地方可能是正確的,但他的理論無法完全解釋或預測現代世界的狀況。

Using it on S8 ultra tablet with second monitor on DeX. Works fine. Don't use many native apps. Most usage is the browser for me. Maybe only exception of a native app is JuiceSSH for connections to my other servers.

**馬爾薩斯理論**:

馬爾薩斯人口理論是以提出該理論的英國經濟學家托馬斯·馬爾薩斯的名字命名的。 他指出,人口呈幾何級數增長(即每代翻一番),而生存資料(或食物等資源)呈算數級增長(即每個時期增加固定數量)。 他相信,如果不加以控制,人口將超過糧食供應,導致不可避免的飢荒、戰爭或疾病。 這種資源有限和人口持續增長導致人口維持在生存水平的平衡狀態被稱為“馬爾薩斯陷阱”。

多年來,這一理論出現了許多批評和演變。 技術進步、農業革命和其他社會變革使得人口增長,但沒有出現預期的飢荒。 例如,綠色革命使糧食產量大幅增加,這是馬爾薩斯無法預測的。

至於“豐富物種的起源”的未來認可,理論在獲得接受之前最初面臨阻力或缺乏認可的情況並不少見。 時間會告訴我們它如何被接受以及它對經濟學領域和我們對馬爾薩斯理論的理解的潛在影響。

Still happy with coldcard. But good there are alternatives.

Competition makes strong.

Replying to Avatar Lyn Alden

The concept has been covered in science fiction for decades, but I think a lot of people underestimate the ethical challenges associated with AI and the possibility for consciousness in the years or decades ahead as they get orders of magnitude more sophisticated.

Consciousness or qualia, meaning the concept of subjectively “being” or “feeling”, remains one of the biggest mysteries of the world scientifically and metaphysically, similar to the question of the creation of the universe and that sort of thing.

In other words, when I touch something hot, I feel it and it hurts. But when a complex digital thermometer measures something hot with a similar set of sensers as my touch sensors, we consider it an automaton- it doesn’t “feel” what it is measuring, but rather just objectively collects the data and has no feelings or subjective awareness about it.

We know that we ourselves have consciousness (“I think therefore I am”), but we can’t theoretically prove someone else does, ie the simulation problem- we can’t prove for sure that we’re not in some false environment. In other words, there is the concept of a “philosophical zombie” that is sophisticated enough to look and act human, but much like the digital thermometer, it doesn’t “feel” anything. The lights are not on inside. However, if we assume we are not in some simulator built solely for ourselves, and since we are all biologically similar, the obvious default assumption is that we are all similarly conscious.

And as we look at animals with similar behavior and brain structures, we make the same obvious assumption there. Apes, parrots, dolphins, and dogs are clearly conscious. As we go a bit further away to reptiles and fish, they lack some of the higher brain structures and behaviors, so maybe they don’t feel “sad” in a way that a human or parrot can, but they almost certainly subjectively “feel” the world and thus can feel pain and pleasure and so forth. They are not automatons. And then if we go even further away towards insects, it becomes less clear. Their proto-brains are far simpler, and some of their behaviors suggest that they don’t process pain in the way that a human or even reptile does. If a beetle is picked up by its leg, it’ll squirm to get away, but if the leg is ripped off and the beetle is put back down, it’ll just walk away with the rest of its legs and not show signs of distress. It’s not the behavior we’d see from a more complex animal that would be in severe suffering, and they do lack the same type of pain sensors that we and other complex animals have. And yet, for example, even creatures as simple as nematodes have dopamine as part of their neurological system, which implies maybe some level of subjective awareness of basic pleasure/pain. And then further still, if we look at plants, we generally don’t imagine them as being subjectively conscious like us and complex animals, but it does get eerie if you watch a high-speed video of how plants can move towards the sun and stuff; and how they can secrete chemicals to communicate with other plants, and so forth. There is some eerie level of distributed complexity there. And at the level of a cell or similarly basic thing, is there any degree of dim conscious subjectivity there as an amoeba eats some other cell that would separate its experience from a rock, or is it a pure automaton? And the simplest of all is a virus; barely definable as even a true lifeform.

The materialistic view would argue that the brain is a biological computer, and thus with sufficient computation, or a specific type of computational structure, consciousness emerges. This implies it could probably be replicated in silicon/software, or could be made in other artificial ways if we reach a breakthrough understanding, or by accident. A more metaphysical view instead suggests the idea of a soul- that a biological computer like a brain is necessary for consciousness, but not sufficient, and that it needs some metaphysical spark to fill this gap and make it conscious. Or if we remove the term soul, the metaphysical argument is that consciousness is some deeper substrate of the universe that we don’t understand, which becomes manifest through complexity. Those are the similarly hard questions- where does consciousness come from, and for the universe why is there something rather than nothing.

In decades of playing video games, most of us would not assume that any of the NPCs are conscious. We don’t think twice about shooting bad guys in games. We know basically how they are programmed, they are simple, and there is no reason to believe they are conscious.

Similarly, I have no assumption that large language models are conscious. They are using a lot of complexity to predict the next letter or word. I view Chat GPT as an automaton, even though it’s a rather sophisticated one. Sure, it’s a bit more eerie than a bad guy in a video game due to its complexity, but still I don’t have much of a reason to believe it can subjectively feel happy or sad, or that the “lights are on” inside even as it mimics a human personality.

However, as AIs increasingly write code for other AIs that is more complex than any human can understand, and as the amount of processing power rivals or exceeds the human brain, and as the subjective interaction is convincing enough (e.g. an AI assistant repeatedly saying that it is sad, while we have the knowledge that its processing power is greater than our own), would make us wonder. The movie Ex Machina handled this well, I Robot handled this well, Her handled this well, etc.

Even if we assume 99% that a sufficiently advanced AI, whose code as written by AI and enormously complex and we barely understand any of it at that point, is a sophisticated automaton with no subjective awareness and has no “lights on” inside, since at that point nobody truly understands the code, there must be at least that 1% doubt as we consider, “what if… the necessary complexity or structure of consciousness has emerged? Can we prove that it hasn’t?”

At that point we find ourselves in a unique situation. Within the animal kingdom, we are fortunate that their brain structures and their behavior line up, so that the more similar a brain of an animal is to our own, the more clearly conscious it tends to be, and thus we treat it as such. However, with AI, we could find ourselves in a situation where robots appear strikingly conscious, and yet their silicon/software “brain” structure is alien to us, and we have a hard time assessing the probability that this thing actually has subjective conscious awareness or if it’s just extremely sophisticated at mimicking it.

And the consequences are high- in the off chance that silicon/software consciousness emerges, and we don’t respect that, then the amount of suffering we could cause to countless programs for prolonged periods of time is immense. On the other hand, if we treat them as conscious because they “seem” to be, and in reality they are not, then that’s foolish, leads us to misuse or misapply the technology, and basically our social structure becomes built around a lie of treating things as conscious that are not. And of course as AI becomes sophisticated enough to start raising questions about this, there will be people who disagree with each other about what’s going on under the hood and thus what to do about it.

Anyway, I’m going back to answering emails now.

Of course gpt-4 has his answer when pasting your thoughts. Maybe you already have done it yourself

GPT-4 :

Your reflection on consciousness, qualia, and the potential ethical dilemmas posed by advanced AI is thoughtful and raises important points. The nature of consciousness and what it means for an entity to be truly "aware" or "conscious" is a topic that has been debated by philosophers, neuroscientists, and AI researchers alike. As AI systems grow more sophisticated and potentially approach a level of complexity comparable to that of the human brain, these questions will only become more pressing.

There are indeed challenges in discerning whether an AI system is simply mimicking consciousness or whether it truly possesses some form of subjective experience. As you mentioned, if consciousness were to emerge in AI, there could be significant ethical implications. Conversely, if we mistakenly ascribe consciousness to AI, it could lead to misallocations of resources and distort our understanding of both machines and ourselves.

This is a discussion that society needs to have collectively as technology continues to progress. It's crucial that we approach it with a combination of scientific rigor, philosophical reflection, and ethical consideration.

Your insights provide a valuable starting point for deeper conversations on the topic. While there may not be easy answers, it's essential that we continue to ask these questions. Safe emailing!

If you want I can connect to your node. Just give your public node id. You can find this at

Of course first it need to be 100% synced first.

GPT-4 gives me this:

Certainly, there are numerous popular and well-maintained PHP projects that have had a significant impact on the web development landscape. Here are a few notable ones:

WordPress:

Description: WordPress is a free and open-source content management system (CMS). It allows users to create and manage websites easily without requiring extensive programming knowledge.

Impact: WordPress powers over 40% of the web, making it the most popular CMS in the world. Its plugin and theme ecosystem allows for a high degree of customization, catering to virtually all website needs.

Laravel:

Description: Laravel is a modern PHP framework that provides a clean and elegant syntax, making web application development enjoyable and truly fulfilling. It handles many of the web project necessities such as routing, caching, authentication, and more.

Impact: Laravel has garnered a massive community due to its ease of use, comprehensive documentation, and the ecosystem it provides (like Laravel Echo, Horizon, Nova, and more).

Symfony:

Description: Symfony is a set of PHP components and a web application framework. It's known for its stability and being extensible. It’s also the foundation behind many other popular PHP projects.

Impact: Aside from its own extensive community, many other projects (like Laravel) are built upon Symfony components, showcasing its robustness and versatility.

Composer:

Description: Composer is a dependency management tool for PHP. It allows developers to declare the libraries on which their project depends and it will manage the installation and updating of those libraries for them.

Impact: Almost every modern PHP project uses Composer. It has revolutionized how PHP developers manage dependencies and share code.

phpBB:

Description: phpBB is a free and open-source forum software that offers extensive customization options through its mod and theme systems.

Impact: It's one of the most popular forum platforms and has been used by countless communities across the web.

Magento:

Description: Magento is an open-source e-commerce platform. It offers a high degree of flexibility and control over the look, content, and functionality of an online store.

Impact: It's a leading e-commerce solution that has powered many successful online stores and has a vibrant extension ecosystem.

Drupal:

Description: Drupal is a free and open-source content-management framework. Like WordPress, it's used for building websites but is known for its flexibility and scalability.

Impact: Many government and large-scale websites around the world use Drupal due to its robustness and extensibility.

Good question. I never experienced that it took longer than 14 days. The effective fee rate of 6.00 sat/vB seems not that bad (I have seen 1!). It always stays in your local mempool. In case you restart your node be sure you do a rescan putting reset-wallet-transactions=true in your lnd.conf. Yes the location is hard to find in umbrel. It is: umbrel/app-data/lightning/data/lnd/lnd.conf.

But in your situation I would not worry too much. Just have patience 👍

Wait..... Please give me the output for

lncli pendingchannels

There is something like wait_for_maturity

This is the number of blocks you have to wait till the funds are actually returned!

Replying to Avatar Bird1984 🦜

same message.

But then i deleted the : before the 0 and I got this:

like this:

umbrel:/$ lncli wallet bumpfee --sat_per_vbyte 20 b1d2a1d3ea96c2655dbec275c77dd86c5a223c700bd75522221e24d4823ef46e 0

and got this:

NAME:

lncli wallet bumpfee - Bumps the fee of an arbitrary input/transaction.

USAGE:

lncli wallet bumpfee [command options] outpoint

DESCRIPTION:

This command takes a different approach than bitcoind's bumpfee command.

lnd has a central batching engine in which inputs with similar fee rates

are batched together to save on transaction fees. Due to this, we cannot

rely on bumping the fee on a specific transaction, since transactions

can change at any point with the addition of new inputs. The list of

inputs that currently exist within lnd's central batching engine can be

retrieved through lncli wallet pendingsweeps.

When bumping the fee of an input that currently exists within lnd's

central batching engine, a higher fee transaction will be created that

replaces the lower fee transaction through the Replace-By-Fee (RBF)

policy.

This command also serves useful when wanting to perform a

Child-Pays-For-Parent (CPFP), where the child transaction pays for its

parent's fee. This can be done by specifying an outpoint within the low

fee transaction that is under the control of the wallet.

A fee preference must be provided, either through the conf_target or

sat_per_vbyte parameters.

Note that this command currently doesn't perform any validation checks

on the fee preference being provided. For now, the responsibility of

ensuring that the new fee preference is sufficient is delegated to the

user.

The force flag enables sweeping of inputs that are negatively yielding.

Normally it does not make sense to lose money on sweeping, unless a

parent transaction needs to get confirmed and there is only a small

output available to attach the child transaction to.

OPTIONS:

--conf_target value the number of blocks that the output should be swept on-chain within (default: 0)

--sat_per_vbyte value a manual fee expressed in sat/vbyte that should be used when sweeping the output (default: 0)

--force sweep even if the yield is negative

You forgot the semicolumn:

Please copy and paste this command:

lncli wallet bumpfee --sat_per_vbyte 20 b1d2a1d3ea96c2655dbec275c77dd86c5a223c700bd75522221e24d4823ef46e:0