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Electrician pleb. Curious fella.

TODAY IS nostr:npub1qny3tkh0acurzla8x3zy4nhrjz5zd8l9sy9jys09umwng00manysew95gx'S BIRTHDAY SO I’M GIVING AWAY A TEE TO CELEBRATE STAYING HUMBLE, STACKING SATS, AND POSTING IN CAPS.

ALL YOU GOTTA DO IS REPOST AND WISH HIM A HAPPY BIRTHDAY IN THE COMMENTS.

ONE LUCKY WINNER WILL BE SELECTED AT THE END OF THE DAY AND CAN CHOOSE BETWEEN TWO DESIGNS. ✌️

Happy Birthday @ODELL, thanks for all the dispatches.

Feeling like a movie villain when the DCA hit this morning:

"Yes, my sweet things.

Come and sell me your coins.

It won't be hard, just let them slip out of your weak little hands.

You wouldn't know what to do with those anyways."

True, because today is the only day to buy bitcoin ever.

#juststack

Replying to Avatar Lyn Alden

One of the crazy things about AI and robotics is that in the year 2025, most people still don't use Roombas or other robotic vacuum cleaners.

They're useful in many contexts, but they're not clearly better across most metrics than a human with a vacuum cleaner yet. They've been out for a very long time, gradually improving. And that's one *very specific* task with pretty clear visualization requirements and floor mobility requirements and pretty low safety thresholds with high repetition levels, and yet that market isn't dominated by robotics yet.

That's an example of why I continue to view white collar computer-work AI as being *way* ahead of in-the-field blue collar robotic AI in terms of competing with human jobs.

The moment where it's a joke to buy a human-powered vacuum instead of a robot vacuum, rather than a debatable trade-off, is kind of the canary in the coal mine moment for consumer robotics. We can't even nail that yet, but once we do, it's kind of a floodgate moment, considering how long that task has been in the works for, and it will probably quickly expand to other areas following that moment.

That's kind of my basic test for robot hype. Yes, they're getting better and better. Yes, they do backflips now. Yes, it's a big deal. But in-the-field blue collar skilled work is a really high bar, and we haven't fully cleared the "vacuum carpeted areas of the same house floor area over and over" stage of that yet.

Everything is kind of hype until that stage is fully breached. Then it's off to the races.

What's your view of that heuristic?

I agree with the conclusion that robots being able to accomplish generalized high-skill trades work is a long way off, however, I think the heuristic doesn't work. There Roomba is like a narrow intelligence, say Deep Blue playing chess. Deep Blue beat Kasparov in 1996. Going on 20 years and still no AGI. So, I don't think that if someone solves for a great Roomba that signals tradesmen robots are around the corner.

I think about this a lot. I am an electrician, mostly working on residences. I would love to be able to hire an assistant bot. But the amount of adaptation that is needed for the specific puzzle of each job seems tough to solve for on the cognitive side. Even more so, the physical side, moving through crawl spaces and crawling over attic rafters, seems very far away for robots. Maybe bots that work in commercial settings building conduit in warehouses that are wide open, but homes have some tight spaces that wires run through!

The difference between Twitter and Nostr is like the difference between Crypto and Bitcoin: only one of each pair will give you freedom.

A bunch of stuff happened the last few days. Let me check...

Do I have more sats today than yesterday?

Yes!

Time to sleep easy.

I'm not sure where anything I have will go in the future. I have to think about that.

It sounds like you believe children are the only way to contribute forward. Is that the case? Why is money moving forward the only aspect you bring up? Plato, Davinci, Newton, Whitman, Poe... none had children, but wouldn't you agree that their contributions still echo through history? Tesla died penniless and never had a child, yet you are likely sitting in a building lit and heated by his legacy.

I'm not saying I am even close to the level of those people, but I do think there are plenty of other ways to use a life to be of service to others and contribute things that will last far beyond my years.

Hi probability you get one. I've got my popcorn out to watch the fallout as people realize Trump is just another self-serving politician. Guaranteed to disappoint.

I mean, come on, he is literally pumping his own meme coin. Easy to see through the smoke and mirrors.

From the Saturday morning hike with the missus.

Good on you both for doing that. You know why it is important.

I was not saying kids and caring are incompatible. I was saying that we have been able to fill a role that not only helps our parents, but also eases the burden on my siblings. Kids were not part of my life trajectory, but family has still been a source of deep meaning.

I agree, it does have more weight if you start your own family. But not everyone takes that route, and that is okay too. Not every person has the same path to meaning. I think the important thing is that as someone without children, I recognize and honor those who do, as they are doing something beautiful. It wasn't my path, but I support it. I'm not one of those idiot DINKs on social media trying to brag about how smart and free I am for not having kids. Those people are truly childish.

My wife deals with some tough anxiety issues, especially around taking care of pets, food prep, etc. So that was one thing that made us reluctant.

We also spent years working as leaders at an at-risk youth program. We met some parents who definitely were the reason their kids were struggling, but we also met really good parents who were dealt an incredibly rough hand. I think that put us off the idea of kids, just knowing that you could get a life-wrecking experience even if you did everything right.

I'll be honest, I do wish I had children sometimes. My niece is an incredible source of joy in my life, and I can't imagine how much greater that joy would be if I had a child of my own.

But, we are in our late forties, and that window has passed us by. I try to find other ways to be of service to others to find that meaning. Isn't that the real reason kids are so amazing? Being presented with a ton of motivation to give of yourself on their behalf... having something more important than yourself? I have to find that in other ways. It's tough, but doable.