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Dr. Bitcoin, MD
4f4f82846698ff66ae5fa9fad4c0c4eb7823afb07fa9f54ea9d15f1217ae96cc
Bitcoin OG since 2010, former laptop solo miner, blockstream satellite node runner, #2A rights user, radiologist

We should teach children that you beat the shit out of the thief, but only to the extent necessary to prevent them from stealing from you.

I’m not saying government can’t do bad things, but I am saying bad people doing bad things exist and are a legitimate target for moral use of force.

Any adventurous bitcoiner out there want to test a miniscript script?

I don’t understand the _v part of the and statement…

andor(multi(3,keyA,keyB,keyC),older(4032),andor(multi(2,keyAA,keyBB),older(32768),and_v(v:pk(keyAAA),after(1200000))))

(Formatted for humans):

andor(

multi(3, keyA, keyB, keyC),

older(4032),

andor(

multi(2, keyAA, keyBB),

older(32768),

and_v(

v:pk(keyAAA),

after(1200000)))

)

But as far as I can tell, this script does exactly what one thinks it should.

But I’m ok with stealing from criminals. For example, if someone steals my wife, I will steal her back by force without feeling bad about my theft.

I think I’m OK with the US federal government earning bitcoin by stealing it from genuinely bad people as adjudicated by a US court system. I think that’s better than f’ing people over by printing dollars to buy shit, and it’s kind of like a proof of work all on its own.

Everyone is forced to have a relationship with Apple. And Google. And meta. Etc…

Welcome to the panopticon.

It’s not a thing anymore. If you’ve ever wondered why NSString is a class for iOS programming, it has to do with the company jobs ran after getting fired from Apple. The company was called next step and their next is played an evolutionary role in apples subsequent products.

Apple really has something against select all buttons…so annoying.

Then you are the advanced elite and I congratulate you!

If you’re already a pirate, no need to create laws to fit your behavior :)

If you want to break the law, get new ones written first. Bitcoiners are finally learning from the elites…de minimis bitcoin capital gains exemption will be just the first step.

Fake money makes us slave to the printer and his friends. Bitcoin fixes this.

I still kind of feel bad for the gold bugs. Yeah gold is up and it’s up a lot (for gold), but they dig up a lot of gold every year. The gold victory can’t last forever.

Anyone know much about miniscript?

I like this miniscript I wrote. Has an anti kidnapping 4032 (~4 week) zenHodl period where funds simply can not be spent and then becomes a 3 of 3 and later a 2 of 2 multisig and years later a single sig…

I don’t think there will be a better security model than this, but I don’t trust the miniscript precisely because I wrote it and have tested it…seems to work as expected. But not sure how to reason about possible shortcomings of this script:

andor(multi(3,keyA,keyB,keyC),older(4032),andor(multi(2,keyAA,keyBB),older(32768),and_v(v:pk(keyAAA),after(1200000))))

Easier on the eyes below:

andor(

multi(3, keyA, keyB, keyC),

older(4032),

andor(

multi(2, keyAA, keyBB),

older(32768),

and_v(

v:pk(keyAAA),

after(1200000)))

)

If you assume stocks will go up at 15% risk free, then it’s a measly $186,000 for the 50-50 point (for $1M in 10 years). No matter how you slice or dice it, bitcoin at $125,000 is cheap.

Multiply it by 10. $6M—>$3M would be 50-50 point.

If I expect bitcoin to be worth $1M in 10 years, and I assume today’s price is $125,000 and that I can get a 10 year bond at 5%, then bitcoin should be worth:

(8/1.05^10)x$125,000=4.911 x 125k = $614,000

So today I would pay no more than $614,000 per bitcoin. That’s $489,000 gains that could be had today if the world agrees bitcoin will be worth $1,000,000 in 10 years. Let’s assign the probability of this at 50-50….then it would be reasonable to sell bitcoin at $125,000+$489,000/2 =$369,500.00

$370,000 is a reasonable price target that splits the estimated 10 year gains equally between buyer and seller.

We are still early.

You can still shun nonstandard bitcoin transactions while noting and forwarding metadata about the transaction. This will let mempools work better.

Replying to Avatar bitcoinlimit

⚡️What you’re really seeing here is the first stage of a global unit-of-account fracture.

•In nominal USD terms, everything looks like it’s booming: stocks up triple digits, homes up double digits, “wealth” everywhere. That’s the performance everyone sees.

•In gold terms, the illusion cracks: stocks and homes flat-to-negative, real wealth stagnating.

•In Bitcoin terms, the veil is gone: catastrophic real losses in every traditional asset.

This is the same signature that marked every pre-hyperinflationary or currency regime shift in history: when people cling to the debasing unit, they feel rich but measured in the next credible collateral, their system is already collapsing.

And the “risk asset” meme about Bitcoin? That’s just a coping frame. As long as Wall Street treats BTC as a tech stock with volatility, they can keep it in the risk bucket. But functionally it’s already behaving like a parallel reserve ledger: it’s the only denominator that makes the post-2020 global economy look like Argentina.

This is why the system feels “off” - why wages don’t match prices, why debt is ballooning, why policy feels reactive. We’re in a regime where the unit of account is decaying faster than the public narrative can absorb. The Fed, the government, the media - all still speaking USD, all still benchmarking to a melting ice cube. The chart you’re looking at is the unofficial scoreboard in a silent currency war.

So when I strip all the polite commentary away, the honest take is:

•The U.S. is running the final phase of a classic imperial carry trade: draw in global capital, inflate domestic asset prices in nominal terms, export the currency risk abroad.

•Gold shows stagnation.

•Bitcoin shows collapse.

•If BTC continues to monetize, that chart is a pre-revaluation ledger of the old world being marked down.

This isn’t a normal market cycle. It’s the unit-of-account transition phase. And almost no one is positioned for it because they’re still measuring their “returns” in the wrong yardstick.

That’s the scarv layer…not just “debasement trade,” but a living record of a dying denominator.

@_The_Prophet__

Wars are so common these past 112 years it’s hard to see the connection between gold revaluation and war but it’s there!

Doomed to stay single because they can go off unpredictably 😂

I have manufactured nearly a dozen of these and it’s all springs and spring pressure keeping it from going off at any moment. No rigid mechanical barriers in the manual safety either.

The current op return issue boils down to this: how to maintain efficacy of transaction shunning while preventing economic incentivization of out of band payment for transactions like slipstream?

Some believe it can never be done, so open up the filters.

Others believe it can be done or does not need to be done right now.

Anybody really knowledgeable about miniscript?

I think this wallet script does most everything anyone could want, modulo minor tweaks.

The fact it took me like 15 minutes to write makes me feel like I’m making some major mistake:

andor(multi(3,keyA,keyB,keyC),older(4032),andor(multi(2,keyAA,keyBB),older(32768),and_v(v:pk(keyAAA),after(1200000))))

This fields a wallet that has 1) a 4 week zenHODL anti-kidnapping period where funds can not be spent, 2) a 3 of 3 multisig for blocks 4032-32768 (like 6 months or so), a 2 of 2 multisig after that until 3) block 1,200,000 where it degrades to a single sig wallet.

What am I missing?

I hear people saying that as if it were true and meaningful. I don’t deny there is a new place to stuff data and it’s easier from a mental perspective, but it’s not like there weren’t other places to stuff data before en masse.

Thinking about ways to discourage OoB payments to preserve the utility of transaction shunning…reputational damage might be the only way.

Something like “miner xyz just included a nonstandard transaction paid for out of band and shame on them…”

We need something to make slipstream unprofitable, otherwise shunning based on standardness criteria is doomed to fail.

I don’t understand your question. This is about protecting bitcoin from unwise transaction shunning…

The balance of incentives for bitcoin participants is a complex one. Miners know we don’t like it when bitcoin centralizes…remember when a mining pool disbanded when they controlled ½ the network? Such altruism may not hold in the corporate mining environment.

BTW, we spoke in Prague in 2024 over lunch in the VIP room upstairs. I’m guessing I’m the only carnivore physician you met at that meeting…but you never know!

lol…I ran 1-10 and found a few more missing…maybe users can/could delete their own accounts too?

I had someone offer to buy my account…and it didn’t seem to be for good purposes. Crazy world in which we live

I was the 413th user on bitcointalk.org…but a bunch don’t exist anymore. Like user #2 who is not satoshi (user 3) or nostr:npub1g53mukxnjkcmr94fhryzkqutdz2ukq4ks0gvy5af25rgmwsl4ngq43drvk (4). I miss those days and those guys.

I don’t have reason yet to doubt messages were on the cartridge cases, but I won’t believe it until I can see it.

Totally agreed. I’m talking about the CSAM that is more and will also eventually be in the blockchain.

I suspect most of those who feel most strongly about this change would be better served by setting blocksonly=1

Identities come and go. At least an nsec thief can’t lock you out of your account.