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Michael Matulef
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Know Thyself | Everything VoluntaryโœŒ๏ธ | Follow the Tao

So, regardless of technological knowledge, real economic growth requires an expansion of savings. An expansion in savings permits an increase in the stock of capital goods, while the increase in capital goods permits an increase in economic growth. Technological knowledge by itself is insufficient.

https://mises.org/wire/does-technical-knowledge-always-lead-economic-growth

https://fountain.fm/episode/9ZoQe6b7yi2JW6a2L4Y6

Prudent individuals and communities should strengthen local networks to weather the coming storm. While the precise timing remains uncertain, resilience comes from laying proper foundations in advance. A key aspect involves increasing involvement with one's local community and forging bonds of cooperation. Joining area organizations and neighborhood groups can foster mutually beneficial relationships and support systems invaluable when the currency buckles. With shared purpose, communities enhance their capacity to withstand the crisis.

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Human interaction is, at its very core, a series of formal or informal credits and debits to others and is organized by rituals and rules that are tied to our evolutionary instincts, our earliest religions, and our earliest governing structures.

However, proponents of the credit theory of money tend to take their concept too far, often disregarding the importance of commodity money entirely, and generally painting too optimistic of a picture of a society's ability to govern a flexible, credit-based ledger at a large scale over long periods of time.

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Money is not an invention of the state. It is not the product of a legislative act. Even the sanction of political authority is not necessary for its existence. Certain commodities came to be money quite naturally, as the result of eco- nomic relationships that were independent of the power of the state.

Carl Menger

Many people consider money to be a shared delusion. In this way of thinking, a society can pick anything it wants as money, as long as most of its members believe in it. Paperclips could be money, for example, if we all agree that they are. While this seems true at first, it's not sustainable. If the supply of that money can be rapidly expanded, then everyone's savings can be rapidly diluted. And a monetary premium provides a lot of incentive for people to make more of it, if possible. Therefore, if a money is not selected wisely within a society, it only takes a small number of individuals to break free from their society's shared delusion to realize that its money isn't scarce, and make a lot more of it to extract value from everyone else. Alternatively, people from a different society can exploit that society's shared delusion. Therefore, the only types of money that can maintain usage in a society for a long period of time are ones with a significant degree of genuine scarcity to them.

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Strength in restraint ๐Ÿ˜…

If you're willing to do the dirty work in the 2020s & 2030s, you might just get PAID.๐Ÿซฐ๐Ÿ’ธ

Here's why.๐Ÿ‘‡

We're starting to see more manual labor, manufacturing, & industrial jobs get BIG pay bumps. The most popular example right now is UPS drivers making $170k. Some work-from-home computer warriors may be upset, but prepare for this trend to potentially continue.๐Ÿคท

Over the past few decades, the incentives in the U.S. have led to an increasing percentage of talent & human capital moving toward software, healthcare & the financial sector. When we zoom out, this is (at least in part) due to American manufacturing & industry becoming less profitable as a result of a perpetually (and artificially) strong $USD โ€” the downstream consequence of a fiat monetary system & USD hegemony (but I digress).

Couple this with the fact that people seem to be startlingly & increasingly lazy. Society was soft before COVID, and the pandemic added even more down feathers to the workforce pillow๐Ÿชถ. Seems like everyone & their cousin's mother wants to sit at home in front of a computer...drinking smoothies, petting their Aussiedoodle, and doing yoga throughout the work day. Nobody wants to get their hands dirty.๐Ÿ› ๏ธ

"The MBA graduate from a mid tier school that's making excel spreadsheets that get read by 2 people and don't do anything....they aren't necessarily providing value."

โ€”@jimmysong

To use firefighting as a labor example, 10 years ago our department had literally 10x as many applicants as are interested today๐Ÿคฏ

There is a shortage of real labor, especially skilled labor, and with US industry & manufacturing desperately trying to reshore & catch up as the world starts to de-globalize, those willing to step up are going to get compensated for it.

Demand for labor is high.

Supply of labor is low.

In today's environment, those who get off their ass may be increasingly rewarded. And in our view, there's a real chance that amidst this low labor supply, unions may actually strengthen considerably. Although computer warriors might b*tch & moan about it...this jealousy from the confines of home offices is likely to continue until the work force improves.

๐ŸŽฏ

A workforce crisis looms in construction as well.

The construction industry faces an impending labor shortage as a generation of experienced journeymen retire without a robust pipeline of new talent to take their place. Companies will be vying for workers from a shrinking pool of qualified candidates to meet project demand. Proactive steps must be taken now to recruit and train the next generation of skilled tradespeople.

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Some believe it is only great power that can hold evil in check, but that is not what I have found. It is the small everyday deeds of ordinary folk that keep the darkness at bay. Small acts of kindness and love.

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