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šŸ¦‹ Labs miner, gutter grinder…. Captain of SaTs And Bitcoin
Replying to Avatar Lyn Alden

I spoke at a big bitcoin-adjacent company this week and one of the best questions was from someone who asked what the downsides of bitcoin adoption might be.

I always do appreciate these steelman questions, the skeptical questions, the ones where we challenge ourselves. Only when we can answer those types of questions do we understand the concept that we are promoting.

So the classic example is that in modern economic literature, "deflation is bad". This, however, is only the case in a highly indebted system. Normally, deflation is good. Money appreciates, technology improves, and goods and services get cheaper over time as they should. Price of Tomorrow covers this well. My book touches on this too, etc. The "deflation is bad" meme is still alive in modern economic discourse and thus is worth countering, but I think in the bitcoin spectrum of communities, people get that deflation is fine and good.

My answer to the question was in two parts.

The first part was technological determinism. In other words, if we were to re-run humanity multiple times, there are certain rare accidents that might not replicate, and other commonalities that probably would. Much like steam engines, internal combustion engines, electricity, and nuclear power, I think a decentralized network of money is something we would eventually come across. In our case, Bitcoin came into existence as soon as the bandwidth and encryption tech allowed it to. In other universes or simulations it might look a bit different (e.g. might not be 21 million or ten minute block times exactly), but I think decentralized real-time settlement would become apparent as readily as electricity does, for any civilization that reaches this point. So ethics aside, it just is what it is. It exists, and thus we must deal with it.

The second part was that in my view, transparency and individual empowerment is rarely a bad thing. Half of the world is autocratic. And half of the world (not quite the same half) deals with massive structural inflation. A decentralized spreadsheet that allows individuals to store and send value can't possibly be a bad thing, unless humanity itself is totally corrupted. I then went into more detail with examples about historical war financing, and all sorts of tangible stuff. In other words, a whole chapter full of stuff. I've addressed this in some articles to.

In your view, if you had to steelman the argument as best as you could, what are the scenarios where bitcoin is *BAD* for humanity rather than good for it, on net?

The removal of the ā€œhard asset premiumā€ from residential housing will be incredibly painful for most. The long held theory was buying a house was THE sure fire way to wealth accumulation, via inflation and finite supply.

This repricing to utility value will be a significant shock to most homeowners Coupled with improved internet access to rural areas via Starlink, and the work from home movement, seeing an even great compression of the spread between city v rural dwellings.

It won’t happen over night, but it will happen. Most retirements are based around selling the family home and relocating to a lower priced housing stock, which may not be available. Thus increasing dependency on social security in old age and the tax payer at large.

Not sure either way - screaming into the void, then you get a zap āš”ļø Life is good again. āœ…šŸ˜Ž

nostr:npub1s5yq6wadwrxde4lhfs56gn64hwzuhnfa6r9mj476r5s4hkunzgzqrs6q7z - are you across ā€œsplicingā€ on the LN? Worth looking into……

ā€œSplicing is the act of transferring funds from onchain outputs into a payment channel, or from a payment channel to independent onchain outputs, without the channel participants having to wait for a confirmation delay to spend the channel’s other funds.ā€

šŸ“± Hey iOS users! You might notice a small change in your nostr:npub1hcwcj72tlyk7thtyc8nq763vwrq5p2avnyeyrrlwxrzuvdl7j3usj4h9rq app. The buy & sell with fiat options are no longer in the Apple version, but they're still going strong on the Android version. šŸ¤–

While these options won't be returning to iOS due to certain constraints, we're developing an alternative solution for you. Stay tuned for updates!

Rest assured, all other features of Wallet of Satoshi are working just as you've come to expect. You can continue to send and receive payments without any hitches.

We appreciate your understanding and patience. Keep on stacking those sats!āš”ļø

Matter of time until Apple integrate LN into their native wallet and hold significant Bitcoin on their balance…… when not if.

If you can’t go outside and touch grass….. Touch snow. ā›„ļø

What about those mighty Matilda’s šŸ‡¦šŸ‡ŗ last night……. Coming for you England šŸ“ó §ó ¢ó „ó ®ó §ó æ #womensworldcup

Please! Any Tele-markers at the last one? Free the heel, free the mind.

Hard not to like this guy…. Worth watching.

https://youtu.be/GEAm21alji0

And now all the ports have returned……Touchbar still the greatest waste of space ever deployed.

Mine auto updated somewhere and it’s gone for me…… desktop or Zapplepay. It’s a shame as it was so intuitive and rewarding to flow real value to a total stranger, rewarding there intellectual contribution.