Friday,
I decided I would ask grok to estimate the probability we are a fascist country in 4 years. It was 15%. I can continue the same thread a while.
Today,
it said 18%. It even listed why each percent was added. (Pope died? +1%). Some AIs aren't up to date, but grok gets updated frequently.
I think that's easy money if you can find a prediction market, you can make 5:1.
No GM Nostr today.
We are losing a family member. So, my condition can wait a day or two.
Asking the new Grok for me a good response that ended with this:
No evidence suggests any current or past U.S. president has engaged in such behavior. This response is purely speculative, addressing a hypothetical scenario as requested.
Obviously, that's wrong, so I asked app Grok what date he's current to... Mid 2024! He literally responded that Biden is president.
So, I asked the version on X... Current to NOW. He no longer says no president has done these things.
Here’s a detailed response to your query, expanding on actions Donald Trump has taken since returning to office in 2025 that align with the hypothetical scenario of a president intent on undermining America. I’ve focused on two key areas you emphasized: installing compromised or inappropriate leadership in agencies like the FBI, Department of Justice (DOJ), and Department of Defense (DoD), and using fear as a weapon, including through market instability. Below is a list of 30 specific examples, each interpreted as potentially weakening America’s stability, security, and democratic institutions. These actions often maintain a veneer of legitimacy but collectively risk eroding trust, sowing division, and consolidating power.
Leadership Appointments: Compromised or Inappropriate Figures in Key Agencies
Trump has placed loyalists in critical roles, often prioritizing allegiance over qualifications, which risks politicizing agencies meant to serve the public independently.
Kash Patel as FBI Director
Trump appointed Kash Patel, a former aide with a controversial history of discrediting investigations into Trump, to lead the FBI. This move is seen as ensuring the bureau aligns with Trump’s personal agenda rather than maintaining its traditional independence, potentially compromising its ability to conduct impartial investigations.
Pam Bondi as Attorney General
Pam Bondi, a staunch Trump supporter who defended him during his first impeachment, now heads the DOJ. Her track record suggests she may prioritize loyalty over objective justice, raising concerns about the department’s integrity and its ability to uphold the rule of law fairly.
Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense
Pete Hegseth, a former Fox News host with no military experience, was appointed to lead the DoD. Critics argue his lack of qualifications risks destabilizing military leadership and decision-making, potentially weakening national defense through politicization.
Elon Musk to Overhaul Federal Workforce
Trump tasked Elon Musk, a private-sector figure with no government experience, with streamlining federal operations. While framed as efficiency, this risks disrupting institutional expertise and crippling agency functionality, reflecting inappropriate leadership for such a critical role.
Loyalists in Intelligence Roles
Beyond Patel at the FBI, Trump has installed other loyalists in key intelligence positions. This could politicize intelligence operations, compromising national security and eroding trust in the objectivity of agencies like the CIA.
Todd Blanche and Emil Bove in Top DOJ Roles
Both served as Trump’s personal defense lawyers during his criminal trials. Their appointments to high-ranking DOJ positions blur the lines between personal loyalty and public service, risking the department’s independence and impartiality.
Fired Independent Inspector Generals
Trump removed independent Inspector Generals from multiple agencies, reducing oversight and accountability. Replacing them with loyalists creates fear of unchecked corruption and weakens the integrity of government operations.
Fear Tactics: Market Instability and Beyond
Trump’s policies and actions have generated fear—economic, social, and institutional—mirroring tactics dictators use to maintain control. Market instability is a key mechanism, alongside purges and divisive measures.
Broad Tariffs Causing Market Instability
Trump imposed a 10% tariff on all trading partners except Canada and Mexico, disrupting global supply chains and raising costs for consumers and businesses. This economic uncertainty creates fear among investors and the public, destabilizing markets and straining alliances.
Purged FBI Agents from January 6 Cases
The dismissal of FBI agents involved in January 6 investigations or Trump-related cases has fostered a climate of fear within the agency. Agents may hesitate to pursue politically sensitive cases, undermining law enforcement integrity.
Fired DOJ Prosecutors from January 6 Cases
Removing prosecutors who worked on January 6 cases and replacing them with loyalists signals a purge of dissenters. This creates fear among career officials and erodes trust in the justice system.
Politicized Military Leadership
Trump dismissed experienced military leaders, replacing them with loyalists and even naming an “F-47” fighter jet in his honor. This politicization risks undermining military morale and effectiveness, creating fear of a defense apparatus beholden to one man.
Threatened Funding Cuts to Sanctuary Cities
By threatening to cut federal funding to “sanctuary cities,” Trump instills economic fear in local governments and immigrant communities, potentially destabilizing urban areas and heightening social tensions.
Mass Layoffs of Federal Workers
Firing thousands from agencies like the FBI, CIA, and USAID disrupts operations and creates economic fear among workers and their families. This weakens institutional resilience and fosters insecurity.
Attempted to End Birthright Citizenship
Through an executive order, Trump challenged a constitutional right, creating legal uncertainty and fear among immigrant families. This risks social unrest and legal chaos, amplifying division.
Sanctioned Law Firms Representing Opponents
Targeting legal professionals who opposed him chills dissent and creates fear within the legal community, undermining judicial independence and public trust in the system.
Additional Actions: Expanding the Scope of Fear and Instability
These examples further illustrate how Trump’s leadership and policies erode institutional integrity, deepen social divides, and consolidate power through fear.
Controlled National Archives (NARA)
Placing NARA under direct presidential control risks manipulating historical records, creating fear of historical revisionism and loss of transparency in government narratives.
Eliminated LGBTQ+ Protections
Wiping out federal protections and declaring only two genders fosters fear and uncertainty among LGBTQ+ individuals, potentially increasing discrimination and social division.
Banned Transgender Military Service
Banning transgender individuals from the military and moving transgender women to men’s prisons creates fear and discrimination, undermining trust in government fairness and social cohesion.
Disbanded FBI Election and Lobbying Teams
Eliminating these teams reduces oversight of elections and lobbying, creating fear of unchecked interference and corruption, weakening democratic safeguards.
Implemented Schedule F for Federal Workers
Reclassifying federal employees as at-will workers under Schedule F allows easier firings, creating job insecurity and fear among civil servants, potentially purging non-loyalists.
Demanded Lists of FBI Agents
Requesting names of agents who worked on January 6 cases for potential firing creates a chilling effect on law enforcement, compromising investigations and national security.
Diverted Military Resources to Border Wall
Redirecting military funds to build the border wall weakens readiness and creates fear of a militarized domestic policy, blurring defense and political lines.
Threatened DOJ Use Against Opponents
Trump’s rhetoric suggests weaponizing the DOJ to target critics, creating fear of legal persecution among dissenters and stifling opposition.
Withdrew from Paris Climate Agreement
Reversing climate commitments undermines global efforts and creates fear of environmental and economic fallout, isolating the U.S. internationally.
Imposed Tech Policy Changes
Policies to remove “ideological bias” from tech companies could stifle innovation and create fear of government overreach, harming a key economic sector.
Pardoned January 6 Rioters
Pardoning those convicted in the Capitol attack undermines the rule of law and signals tolerance for political violence, deepening fear and division.
Rolled Back Environmental Regulations
Declaring an energy emergency to fast-track fossil fuel projects risks ecological crises, creating fear of long-term health and economic consequences.
Cut Infrastructure Funding
Ignoring crumbling infrastructure fosters fear of systemic failures in transportation, energy, and safety, weakening national resilience.
Undermined Election Trust
Disbanding FBI election teams and casting doubt on electoral integrity creates fear and mistrust in democracy, risking future instability.
Harsh Immigration Crackdown
Mass deportations and severe policies create fear among immigrant communities, potentially leading to humanitarian crises and further national division.
Conclusion
These 30 actions—ranging from appointing loyalists like Kash Patel, Pam Bondi, and Pete Hegseth to key agencies, to generating fear through market instability, purges, and divisive policies—paint a picture of a presidency that could undermine America’s foundations. While often framed as reforms or ideological wins, their cumulative effect risks eroding economic stability, institutional integrity, and social trust. Fear, as you noted, is a dictator’s tool, and these steps—whether through economic uncertainty or institutional intimidation—align with that strategy, weakening America from within.
I keep hoping I'll rub off on them. 👍
GM Nostr
Wordle 1,402 3/6
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50:50 at #2, and I guess wrong. 🤷
It's Monday again. I didn't say much this weekend. My son was in town. It was nice to have an Easter lunch with him.
We had a great discussion when he first arrived on Friday. I was able to give him the "no update" on my condition while covering current events. Yes, I'm more of a Centrist, but we got all the way into some prepper talk.
Folks, this Is the Fourth Turning. Do not get stuck in normalcy bias. When you:
1) Remove competent people
2) Install incompetent compromised people
3) Disrupt relations with allies
4) Cause greater uncertainty than anytime other than COVID (SOFAR)
5) Praise dictators
6) Attack the courts
7) Attack the groups protecting citizens
8) Take over independent agencies like the Federal Election Commission,
9) and finally, Disregard the Constitution and its amendments in multiple ways
You are either not expecting the next election to occur or you expect to control or disregard it.
Expect him to find more ways to create fear.
Own bitcoin, mstr, and gold.
⚡Sats for an exercise
Ask your favorite AI:
What would a president of the U.S. who worked for our enemies be doing right now to destroy America while maintaining plausible deniability about his blatant treason?
Yes. At the Presidential level, I think you need to have 11 figures plus.
Watching China, I think their society is better for 90% of citizens. But, we will always be led by the Oligarchs in the .01%.
GM Nostr.
Wordle 1,401 3/6
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The Global Economic Uncertainty index is higher than at any time other than COVID.
Expect more fomenting fear.
Then you'll eventually be ready for the Insurrection Act, Martial Law, etc. When a president's ego is so fragile he has to order plastic knick knacks, spray them gold, then lecture about how no gold paint looks like real gold, implying they are gold, there is absolutely no limit to their actions. It's all a con. He's there to enjoy the chaos and grift.
Saturday. Beaten. 👍
Documenting: At one point, the pain in my legs was all over, everywhere, and yet no where specific. They were also sensitive to pressure.
But, who cares? I made it to Karaoke and sang Mr. Jones. 😎
After a certain number of confrontations with your mortality, you realize that the real measure is simply continuing on.
Invictus
By William Ernest Henley
Out of the night that covers me,
Black as the pit from pole to pole,
I thank whatever gods may be
For my unconquerable soul.
In the fell clutch of circumstance
I have not winced nor cried aloud.
Under the bludgeonings of chance
My head is bloody, but unbowed.
Beyond this place of wrath and tears
Looms but the Horror of the shade,
And yet the menace of the years
Finds and shall find me unafraid.
It matters not how strait the gate,
How charged with punishments the scroll,
I am the master of my fate,
I am the captain of my soul.
#poetry
Look where that was on spending:
When are you going to start saying this isn't right, that the country is dying and birthing a dictatorship? Or will you just watch?
Good read.
Might edit it to say strategic.
GM Nostr
It's Saturday.
I will defeat this day like all those that came before it.
Berry cheesecake and floating island https://www.diningandcooking.com/2025729/berry-cheesecake-and-floating-island/ #Dessert #DessertPorn
Cheesecake looks good. I made these. They are fudgy like brownies.
Keeping it normal is important to me.
When doctors don't have a reason, they stop looking. It's a Schrodinger's cat situation. They say nothing's wrong, so technically nothing is medically "wrong." Nothing they have ever found has been overly abnormal.
But, I really choose to keep it normal because of all the previous transitions in this condition. They always preyed on my hormones, too, so I would swing wildly from extremes during those times.
It's better to just endure it and smile. I just kick its ass every day, one at a time.
From a documentation perspective, I've had some roaming pain today and just the general leg aches. It's pretty remarkable that what is going on isn't just incredibly painful. The roaming pains can be more intense but the leg aches are usually below my "i can mentally ignore this" level.
Chocolate chocolate chip. Plus a great conversation with my son.
Learned my son will be in town this weekend.
Thinking about baking more of these cookies. I like to bake and it is a nice distraction.
This is just weird. It might as well be your appendix. I didn't have a say when they removed that at 13 or when I had hernia surgery at 5.
If you asked me on any day of my life if this caused me angst, I would say no. If you asked me if I would change things, I would say hell no.
Our country is now fascist. I think arguing about foreskin is a weird distraction from the historic destruction of our country.