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Would love to have that conversation when you’re ready.

I’m personally ultra conservative. The view bitcoin as our hope to replace central banking. I realized a while back that the math would not permit everyone in the world to have their own UTXO and make everyday transactions on the base chain.

We could make compromises to allow more people to have their own UTXO and have cheaper transactions (by increasing the blocksize, etc) but we can’t solve that problem completely.

I’m unwilling to make those compromises because I want to maximize decentralization and make it as difficult as possible for governments to capture and censor the network.

Again, focused on the goal of eliminating central banks.

Please listen to Livera’s podcast with NVK. It’s not possible for everyone in the world to have their own UTXO and use it for everyday transactions. It never was possible. This “dream” — that people have that everyone can be self sovereign — is sold by folks who are idealistic but haven’t done the math.

I would love it too if everyone could be self sovereign. It’s just that I understand the limitations and I’m not willing to chase an impossible dream and compromise the decentralization of the protocol.

If you disagree, do the math. Show me how everyone in the world can have their own UTXO and make everyday transactions on L1 with self sovereignty.

Our objective is to replace central banks. Unfortunately most people in the world will be using bitcoin ecash. It’s not true self sovereignty with their own UTXO but 1000x better than the current system where central bankers control our money and print it at will.

nostr:note18w5gf2f84k4zfazs6hscr2n7tt2f85xt8ycdeedgjhchnz88rlds04q4fl

Yes, the blocksize was deliberately kept “small” to allow the greatest number of nodes to download and verify the full chain. The goal was increased decentralization.

Since the original 1 MB block size, it had been increased to ~4 MB. This is definitely making it more difficult to run a node.

So if ETFs are raking in huge volumes, why isn't the price higher? Parman's take...

1. BlackRock buys spot bitcoin with new customer dollars. Customers receive ETF shitcoin in return (never redeemable for bitcoin, only government money). This has upward pressure on price.

2. At the same time, BlackRock could (and probably is) opening a short position, using customer bitcoin as collateral. This has equal and opposite price pressure to #1

3. A combination of #1 and #2 causes a soaking up of dollar demand via the ETF, while increasing open interest, and increasing the risk to BlackRock - because BlackRock is massive, and may have some secret access to printed $, the risk is manageable, while attacking Bitcoin, making NGU fail, and making bitcoin adoption seemingly boring. That could be their strategy.

Solution - accept that ETF demand does not contribute to bitcoin price or adoption, and expect some of that interest will be converted to genuine bitcoin buying. When we have nearly all the bitcoin in self custody, the ongoing spot demand will cause the spot price to decouple from ETF price. This will destroy them, but it means we have to be patient. Instead of expecting to see the price track up as we collect all the bitcoin, expect nothing to happen, then one day, expect everything to happen all at once.

Like a sponge that you add drops of water to, one at a time, the sponge collects all the drops, but then at some point, it begins to leak.

During this time when the sponge is collecting all the drops (ie we buy all the bitcoin without seeing price appreciate), the attackers are hoping our interest dwindles, we develop high time preference and sell/enjoy life, instead of fight in the revolution.

Stay strong. I'm dying on this hill.

https://armantheparman.com/futures

The BlackRock shorts are covered by customers' bitcoin, so they can never get liquidated.

And customers can never demand their Bitcoin - they can only sell their ETF to some other bozo.

Black Rock would never have to give any dollars back to ETF clients (I think). Clients just sell to other buyers.

When BlackRock are exposed, all that will happen is the ETF price will be different to the Bitcoin spot price. BlackRock is not at risk.

Now exactly who is performing which action can be different - All they need to do is collaborate (conspire)

It seems like the only way they can keep the suppression going is if they can put bitcoin futures (paper bitcoin) into their spot fund.

Really enjoyed this podcast. Thought it covered the issues very well. nostr:note18w5gf2f84k4zfazs6hscr2n7tt2f85xt8ycdeedgjhchnz88rlds04q4fl

It should be the latest episode at the top of this page. If you don’t see it, let me know.

https://stephanlivera.com/

Next year should we all celebrate Faketoshi day? Too much attention to a fraudster, or a celebration of removing the scourge of the last epoch?

Replying to Avatar Melvin Carvalho

Thanks for posting, this is the kind of discussion we need to see more of.

Bitcoin has a social contract to its user base. 10s of millions of people view it as a form of money that is better than what they have today. That could grow to 100s of millions. Nobody expected this when bitcoin was created, but that is a sign of incredible success. Protecting those users that have put their trust in bitcoin is obviously something we should do.

There's not really a huge apetite in bitcoin for smart contracts. I have a layer 2 smart contract system MVP working, and there's not a lot of interest in the topic. There is a huge amount of (mind-blowing) potential in using the current (U)TXO system which is completely unexplored. I'm deprioritizing any public roll out of smart contracts over bitcoin taproot and nostr, due to lack of interest. I will use them personally though. I know that this works, and it has been relatively unexplored. This area will get better over time.

Moral responsibilities are tricky things. Everything is evil from someone's perspective, or something's perspective. UTXOs are already powerful, and under utilized. How would you envision making them more powerful when the surface of what they can do has only been scratched?

Be aware that in any project, there are always two groups. One that wants change and one that wants the status quo. Bitcoin is unusual in the fact that stability of the protocol makes it more valuable. Conserving that protocol to date has been done very well, and hard fought, we had to fight 3 civil wars to get where we are today, and the market has responded positively to that.

The biggest threat to bitcoin is not a 51% attack, it's a chain split due to a fork or civil war. We have yet to have a successful 51% attack, and that's not to say it cant happen, but we have had chain splits. Chain splits are potentially fatal to bitcoin, so any protocol changes need to take that into account. It is also easy for bitcoin's enemies to agitate on this front, as we have seen recently and turn or frustrate well meening engineers to be frustrated enough to attack the system.

We do need better ways of discussing the protocol without it becoming dramatic. I still didnt get from your post how you think UTXOs could be made more powerful. Conversations like this are a good start!

đź’Ż

It seems we’re fighting the blocksize wars all over again. It’s like every few years someone thinks bitcoin’s fees are too high and we need to compromise bitcoin’s decentralization to “fix” the problem.

Rusty is making the same arguments the bcashers did. Hopefully the community rejects it a second time.

Changes to the core protocol are always risky. We need to ask ourselves:

1) Can the issue be solved in any other way, other than a change to the core protocol? Have we waited long enough for other solutions to emerge?

2) If we must change the core protocol, what is the most limited change we can make that actually solves the problem?

The irony of that statement is that both Jihan Wu and Rusty want bitcoin to have low fees and be a medium of exchange.

Like Jihan Wu, Rusty is just another bcasher willing to compromise bitcoin’s decentralization.

Bitcoiners rejected that philosophy once because the community realized that bitcoin’s purpose is to replace central banks and not Visa. Let’s hope we reject this philosophy again.

Remember the blocksize wars? The bcashers wanted bitcoin to be internet money and a medium of exchange. They were willing to compromise bitcoin’s decentralization to do that.

This is the same debate all over again. Like those bcashers, Rusty wants low fees and is willing to compromise bitcoin’s decentralization to do it. He’s just a bcasher pretending to be a bitcoiner, using the same tired arguments.

We need to ask ourselves:

1) Can the issue be solved in any other way, other than a change to the core protocol? Have we waited long enough for other solutions to emerge?

2) If we must change the core protocol, what is the most limited change we can make that actually solves the problem?

You can see that Rusty is not thinking about these questions at all.

Bitcoin is our hope for the future to replace central banks. We need to say focused on that goal.

Replying to Avatar Rusty Russell

I listened to the What Bitcoin Did Saylor podcast, and I really want to respond, though that may be unwise. But I want thoughtful, fearless content in my feed, so I should start making some, right?

Firstly, while analogies can provide useful guide rails for understanding, listening to people *arguing* using analogies makes you stupider. Debate the thing itself, not the words about the thing: it hurts my head to even think about doing this, so I won't.

Let's set my priors first: I assume we're talking about technically solid, well-vetted, backward compatible protocol changes: this is the minimum bar.

I don't wholesale agree with Saylor's "don't threaten anyone's investment" hard limit. This has happened multiple times in the past, from the dust limit breaking SatoshiDice, enabling Lightning threatening miner fees (real or not), and segwit breaking stealth ASICBoost. These interests can, and will, stand up for themselves and will compete against other benefits of changes.

To be explicit: I consider any protocol change which makes block space usage more efficient to be a win!

Obviously Saylor is invested in Bitcoin the asset, and can afford to do all his business onchain in any conceivable scenario. His projection of a Bitcoin world in which there are 100,000 companies and governments who use Bitcoin as the base layer is interesting:

1. This does not need "smart contracts", just signatures. By this model, Bitcoin Script was a mistake.

2. It can work if Bitcoin does not scale and is incredibly expensive to spend and hold. By this model, the consumer hardware wallet industry is a dead-end and needs to pivot to something else (nostr keys, ecash?)

3. You could do this with gold, today? Bitcoin here is simply an incremental, not fundamental, improvement. I think this is suggestive, though: that such a network would not be long-term stable, and very much subject to capture.

4. In this view, Saylor is simply a gold bug with first mover advantage, shilling his bags. That's fine, but it's important to understand people's motivations.

5. This vision does not excite me. I wouldn't have left Linux development to work on making B2B commerce more efficient. I wouldn't get up at 5:30am for spec calls, and I sure as hell wouldn't be working this cheap.

I believe we can make people's UTXOs more powerful, and thus feel a moral responsibility to do so. This gives them more control over their own money, and allows more people to share that control. I assume that more people will do good things than stupid things, because assuming the other way implies that someone should be able to stop them, and that's usually worse.

I believe the result will be a more stable, thus useful, Bitcoin network. I am aware that this will certainly benefit people with very different motivations than me (Saylor).

Thanks for reading, and sorry for the length!

We need to ask ourselves:

1) Can the issue be solved in any other way, other than a change to the core protocol? Have we waited long enough for other solutions to emerge?

2) If we must change the core protocol, what is the most limited change we can make that actually solves the problem?

Bitcoin is our hope for the future. We can’t panic and rush out “fixes”.

It seems like we’re fighting the blocksize wars again. All those Bcashers thought bitcoin should be internet money and a medium of exchange too.

Bitcoin is our hope to replace central banks. We need to stay focused on the goal.

Just another central planner with short term thinking. Thinks it’s ok to gamble with our money. nostr:note1cl40ashke79xeexe59fy54qkna3npwrx08qpl3uylr30arezau5sh4pfjf

I’m all for making efficiency changes, fixing bugs, etc.

However, I don’t think we can claim that the missing op_codes are “broken” functionality or alternatively that those codes were blessed by Satoshi. We actually have no idea why Satoshi removed the codes.

If you recall Livera’s podcast, Rusty only considered the CPU and memory impacts of adding back the codes. He never once turned his mind to the potential for more MEV and miner centralization, or any other 2nd or 3rd order effects. I was shocked when he basically said that he didn’t care about how they might be abused.

If we’ve learned the lesson of inscriptions, we should realize that protocol changes can inadvertently change incentives and encourage centralization.

Bitcoin is our hope for the future. I believe that it’s highly resilient but not invulnerable. Mistakes introduced to the core protocol are one of the few ways that can disrupt it. We need to be careful.

How can anyone say these changes are “safe” if nobody knows how they will be used (or abused)?

I believe that we need to ask ourselves:

1) Can the issue be solved in any other way, other than a change to the core protocol? Have we waited long enough for other solutions to emerge?

2) If we must change the core protocol, what is the most limited change we can make that actually solves the problem?

Do you agree that these are the important questions? If so, I would be interested in your answers to them.

I understand the motivation. I’m upset with high fees too.

However:

+ There is a concept of “induced demand”. It’s like when they add new roads to decrease traffic. It never works for long because people end up moving to the area because of the lower traffic and traffic returns to the original level, or worse.

+ Once we realize high fees will be with us forever, we should realize that we don’t need to rush out a solution to “solve the problem”. We’re not going to actually solve the problem of high fees, except temporarily, and we risk making something worse. We need to be strategic and think long term.

+ In any event, we should NEVER change the protocol in powerful ways where we don’t know how it will be abused. We should limit the scope of new functionality as tightly as possible to reduce the attack surface.

We need to ask ourselves:

1) Can the issue be solved in any other way, other than a change to the core protocol? Have we waited long enough for other solutions to emerge?

2) If we must change the core protocol, what is the most limited change we can make that actually solves the problem?

https://www.wired.com/2014/06/wuwt-traffic-induced-demand/

Agree. Rusty’s proposal on Livera’s podcast sounded incredibly reckless to me. He didn’t seem to care how bad actors would abuse his proposed changes. The fact that he said he was “gaining traction” terrified me even more.

I don’t get the sense that some of these devs view bitcoin as something for 1000 years, as I do. There seems to be a rush to make it like ETH so we don’t lose market share with all of that “innovation”. That’s startup culture. Not appropriate for bitcoin.