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Wicked
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My name's Wicked ✌️🍎🍻. I'm an apple who loves art, math, programming, and Bitcoin. Exit fiat, save in bitcoin, and take it into self custody. Learn UTXO mgmt. https://wickedsmartbitcoin.com/

I wish I could lock in a 1,000 sats/dollar exchange rate for all future earned dollars.

For the first time ever in Bitcoin's 16 year history, the epoch-over-epoch (EOE) growth has fallen below +100%. Pack it up, fellas. https://m.primal.net/OEka.mp4

At least for now...when on chain fees get crazy again, it'll be pretty difficult/expensive to maintain self-custodial Lightning channels and I'm guessing most will once again opt for cheaper custodial wallets.

Replying to Avatar Lyn Alden

One of the crazy things about AI and robotics is that in the year 2025, most people still don't use Roombas or other robotic vacuum cleaners.

They're useful in many contexts, but they're not clearly better across most metrics than a human with a vacuum cleaner yet. They've been out for a very long time, gradually improving. And that's one *very specific* task with pretty clear visualization requirements and floor mobility requirements and pretty low safety thresholds with high repetition levels, and yet that market isn't dominated by robotics yet.

That's an example of why I continue to view white collar computer-work AI as being *way* ahead of in-the-field blue collar robotic AI in terms of competing with human jobs.

The moment where it's a joke to buy a human-powered vacuum instead of a robot vacuum, rather than a debatable trade-off, is kind of the canary in the coal mine moment for consumer robotics. We can't even nail that yet, but once we do, it's kind of a floodgate moment, considering how long that task has been in the works for, and it will probably quickly expand to other areas following that moment.

That's kind of my basic test for robot hype. Yes, they're getting better and better. Yes, they do backflips now. Yes, it's a big deal. But in-the-field blue collar skilled work is a really high bar, and we haven't fully cleared the "vacuum carpeted areas of the same house floor area over and over" stage of that yet.

Everything is kind of hype until that stage is fully breached. Then it's off to the races.

What's your view of that heuristic?

Honestly, I don't think it'll make sense until it's reliably self cleaning or until you've got another general robot around that can clean it. The maintenance requirements of these machines is a major hindrance to their adoption.

"Bitcoin can't work as money because it's inelastic and people won't spend it"

Meanwhile plebs on nostr are regularly zapping each other sub-penny amounts of sats just for posting retarded memes.

It's never too late to start saving in bitcoin.

$50 Weekly DCA: NASDAQ vs Bitcoin https://m.primal.net/OATI.mp4

This chart explains a lot. Up until a few months ago, XRP DCAers were significantly underperforming bitcoin DCAers. But with the recent pump, they're finally break even, incredibly bullish, and convinced the pump will continue...but it's more likely XRP reverts to the mean.

One of my nostr core memories is when everyone was first joining and posting memes nonstop many of which were getting100k sats zaps from nostr:npub1sg6plzptd64u62a878hep2kev88swjh3tw00gjsfl8f237lmu63q0uf63m. Crazy how time flies. Tick tock, next block.