Avatar
prepare to jibe
b610f182450a8d2659cb160dbf2a7e38d9c41a8223813d888519bb6147787da9
I like Bitcoin, sailing, skiing, hiking, hockey, soccer, audible, art, and hanging out with my family. It’s great to be alive.
Replying to Avatar Troy Cross

Been thinking about Dhruv Bansal’s idea that bitcoin are not produced or generated — wrong way of thinking about it induced by “mining” metaphor — but rather all bitcoin existed from the moment the network was launched, but are auctioned off to miners as a whole, in exchange for hashes (compute), on an auction schedule of 140 years or whatever it is.

Each miner decides to take the network’s offer or not, by running their machines or not. Collectively, they determine how much that latest round of auctioned bitcoin is worth, in hashes and/or in energy.

Then there’s another market on top of this one which is coincidental but distinct, and that’s the market for block space, where the sellers are individual miners and the buyers are would-be transactors and of course that’s sat/vbyte.

I really do think it’s more accurate than thinking of bitcoin miners as “producing” bitcoin the way a manufacturer produces a product like cars or even discovered like gold miners discover gold. The bitcoin, all 21 million exist, just not on the ledger, from the get go. They only need to be auctioned, like treasuries. We don’t think the bidders on treasuries produce the 10-year! It’s just a weird auction mechanism where you have to prove work and your odds of winning the auction are proportional to your work / the total work by bidders.

I do get it and I think it’s right and I think it helps with a lot of misconceptions once you grok it fully. And as Dhruv says it shows you the formula for how bitcoin disrupts everything which is by making markets where there weren’t any, and building layers of distinct markets, including lighting and eventually the internet.

So, good job Dhruv.

But… it is not so easy to communicate is it? This thing is bloody hard to explain, as someone said once.

Thank you for the description. But I don’t particularly like the auction analogy.

Sometimes the lowest bidder wins. It’s probably closer to buying lottery tickets—more tickets = more chances, but all you need is 1 chance to win.

At any rate, I think the notion of collaboratively mining or searching for the block makes good sense to me.

The selling impulse unleashed by capital gains reduction is a good point.

If cap gains are held constant then price increase remains the main driver of coin redistribution.

Replying to Avatar Lyn Alden

From a writer's perspective, one of the characters in fiction I find most interesting is Jaime Lannister.

The reason is that the story immediately puts him past the moral event horizon, but then *still* gets you to kind of like him. That's really hard.

I'll focus on the show rather than the books. In the first episode of the show, he pushes a child out of a window to their near-fatal death. Jaime is royalty, and he's an asshole, and the kid did nothing wrong. And he's casual about killing a child. There's nothing more bad than that, so we hate him immediately. Enemy #1.

So the narrative starts in hard mode. How to make this character semi-likeable. What made him do such a crazy thing.

Jaime loves his sister. At first that's another red flag. We almost all cringe at incest. An incestual killer is like bottom-of-the-barrel, almost comically bad. But... they're legit in love and have c hildren. The kid saw them together, and Jamie tried to kill the kid to preserve the secret.

So as an audience we're like, "Well, fuck, okay this is a medieval England/Westeros world where almost everyone is dirty, and his own royal sister is the hottest person to him, and they fell in love." It's not like they have the Internet to keep them entertained and knowledgeable; these things could happen in their palace. They had children, and now are in a tough position, since the sister is married to the king and are assumed to be his heirs but are really Jaime's. They can never say they this to anyone, because both they and the children would be killed. So regardless of what one may think about the young versions of them that got into this mess, once they are in this mess as adults, the audience is kind of like, "well, who wouldn't take extreme action for their own kids if it came down to it, especially in such a brutal world?"

Jaime then becomes an understandable villain. We hate him, but we understand him. He's not evily twirling his mustaches for no reason; he's dealing with a chain of events that started when he was young.

And then over time, the narrative crosses the bridge into actual likeability. He loses a war, he gets captured, he gets humbled and has a rough time. And he's a charismatic top-tier swordsman.

We also learn more about his backstory. He was a kings' guard that killed the king, which gives him widespread dishonor. But the king was a monster, and he killed him for good reasons. So, that's interesting. Even people who disliked that king tend to dislike Jaime since his action was so dishonorable ("one does not kill the king they guard, even if the king is bad"), whereas Jaime has more of the pragmatic anti-honor approach of "Well, he was fucking bad, though. I had to."

He then escapes with Brienne of Tarth, which has a typical buddy-cop narrative or fantasy guy/girl semi-romance narrative, since they don't like each other but then eventually grow to like each other amid their travels. And then he gets his hand cut off, which in addition to being painful attacks his main attribute (top-tier swordsman) and humbles him. He also does his best to keep Brienne safe, since he grows to respect her and even maybe love her. We see his good side. We almost see him as a boy in this arc, just some guy who we feel bad for and is kind of simple and meaning to do well.

And from then til the end, he's always a more likable character. Most readers and audience members find themselves generally on Jaime's side. An anti-hero, who once pushed a kid out of a window.

Good analysis.

I like characters and storylines that test my moral intuition. A complex, but solvable puzzle, that requires perception and empathy is the best.

What is the point of saying “5% of MSTR is held by Blackrock”?

Is that similar to saying 90% of all bitcoin is held by the United States?

Is the point of Strike the exchange of local currencies using btc network?

And the point of XRP the exchange of local currency using ripple network?

And the point of tether is moving USDT internationally on the lightning network?

Of the 3, is tether is arguably best for bitcoin and the US dollar?

What is the behind the scenes thinking that has focused Michael Saylor on the message of “Bitcoin is digital capital” while allowing for others to be digital assets or currencies?

Why does Jack Dorsey link Saylor and XRP?

Has a back room deal been struck?

What does ripple do? Is it good at it?

Analysts of “on-chain data” who explain bitcoin price, and cycles, and holder behavior produce tortured and bizarre content.

Podcasters please spare us!

Good episode.

Consensus is tricky. It requires coordination, and centralization?

If Danny can’t decide if a given BIP is a good idea, it will never happen. I mean, he lives this stuff. If he can’t make a call, how can anyone else ever get comfortable with it?

“Immoral from a societal perspective” seems like a Utilitarianism (greatest good for greatest number”. This may appeal to your analytical mindset, but I think it is a brutal totalitarian philosophy that can justify anything in the name of the societal perspective.

And “you do you…I prefer moral” is obnoxious and smug.

You may find yourself in a very small society with this approach.

Scientific progress is a kind of a mirage. Populations change and the so does the data. Evidenced based medicine is just like every scientific enterprise—linear, and progressive only within a given paradigm. New paradigms are more the result of new thinking, than accumulated data from the old paradigm. Check out “the structure of scientific revolutions” by Thomas Kuhn.

Why do you think Coinbase is creating paper Bitcoin? It seems more likely to me that the early distribution/accumulation of Bitcoin is very concentrated in the hands wales

It will take a long time to reach equilibrium, possibly generations

Med school faculty and doctors in general are followers, not thinkers.

They are practitioners within the current scientific consensus.

To say they all take vaccines is to understand the obvious. People entrenched in a paradigm follow the paradigm.

I am a physician and this is how it is.

Sounds like you formed a hypothesis, ran the experiment, collected data, and made an assessment, and published your results on nostr. You even included a discussion referencing possibility of placebo effect.

Maybe you are more of a scientist

than you think.

Perhaps you could have a friend disable WiFi for you randomly for 1/2 the days of the month. You could provide blinded assessment of sleep quality and look for correlation with overnight WiFi.

Why is Jack so wise?

What experiences give him the perspective that Saylor is a sellout?

Is Saylor a sell out, a realist, a local thinker, or a long term strategist?

Can you get to Jack’s vision without passing through Saylorville?