I feel that there are a lot of people in this conversation who would read what I said in the OP and describe that as a catastrophic failure for bitcoin. I think that’s silly, absurd, and actually the kind of thing holding bitcoin back from advancing.
Very little, unfortunately. Hence all the irrational policy preferences.
People need to realize that hyperbitcoinization is largely a political ideology. It's not a thing that's bound to happen "because math". While I appreciate the enthusiasm, I also think advancing bitcoin happens far more effectively when one is dispassionate about such things.
If you are only able to view Bitcoin’s potential for success vis-a-vis the US Dollar, you’re really missing out on most of what bitcoin’s short-to-medium term potential actually is.
Hate me if you want, but I think hyperbitcoinization is currently not in the cards. Never say never. But if that’s what you expect to happen in the coming months and years, I think you’re just completely wrong about that.
At the same time, Bitcoin is going to keep growing and filling in gaps all around the world, where financial access is far more adversarial. It’s also going to revolutionize the reach of global payments, secure identities, and I believe things like Lightning are going to become ways to accept global payments from anywhere in the world for services, tips, and things like zaps!
Many people will convert their payments back into local fiat. Some will save in bitcoin. That’s okay! Measuring Bitcoin’s success or failure in absolute terms just causes serious distraction from what the near-term opportunities are.
I’m not sure I agree any of these things need to be echo chambers.
There are two platforms (tZero and OpenFinance) that are registered with the SEC and the ICOs they've handled were registered securities with the SEC. So I'm struggling with how that's a thing, and how it's being alleged that it's impossible to do.
I still think tokenized securities are kind of dumb. But it's not true that the SEC doesn't allow them. They created registration rules for them in 2019.
What does it even mean to have a security that is beyond the reach of the law? Someone needs to explain this to me. Proving you own a security token means nothing in the real world. Literally nothing.
What's going to happen is you're going to end up in court trying to enforce your contractual right. And you're going to do that AFTER you claimed the whole thing was an extra-legal thing beyond the reach of the state!
Nah. The real world is orders of magnitude more boring than that.
Actually, probably just a kook.
The heuristic "government and institutions have lied to me, therefore I'm going to be inclined to believe random bullshit" is a terrible epistemic framework. I promise people this.
Just because there's some guy claiming the US government is hiding alien spaceships, doesn't mean a conspiracy theory has been proven true. I really hate to break it to you.
If you accept this at face value, this is a serious sign of an undisciplined mind, to say the least.
Now you say, what if it *is* true? How do you know it's not? All I'll say is, if you think the negative has to be proven against any claim, or you're going to be inclined to believe it, you might be a gullible fool.
I also think the libertarian argument that all market regulation is always a net bad is just stupid, quite frankly. The regulation of things like railway gauges, electrical outlets and such, allowed for economies of scale to emerge that would have been far more Balkanized.
Libertarians argue there's no such thing as market failure -- only government failure. This is dumb and wrong.
But to your point, certainly there's a lot of bad regulation. And I rail against bad regulation all the time. In particular, land use regulation and things like NEPA that have allowed NIMBYs to destroy housing affordability in this country.
I'm really enjoying the apoplexy by some people who seem to think that enforcing securities laws against illegal securities is some mind-blowing, unprecedented state overreach.
If you're one of them, just know this: normal people think you're nuts. They don't care about your fantasies of a post-state world where all of your fairs exist in an extra-legal, extra-jurisdictional fantasy world.
You're living a lie!
If you’re defending Binance selling fake securities so corrupt venture capitalists could and can offramp their stupid fake securities tokens on retail investors, because of some knee-jerk anti-government/anti-regulation/market-maximalist nonsense, well … I question whether you’re a serious person.
If you’re referring to the Byzantine Empire, that persisted after the fall of the Western Roman Empire, it persisted for far more than a few hundred years. It lasted 1,000 years!