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Kush
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I’m a regular bod born & bred in South London of Jamaican parents. Was fooled into crypto via a scam, got rugged. Went altcoin, got hacked. Found Bitcoin, ain’t looked back!

Truth Delly and yes, important to embrace the fact ‘tension is natural’ and a sign of health. Without it things stagnate

Replying to Avatar Jeff Booth

Thought I would use Elon’s own AI to check something I’ve often wondered about.

One thing if you don’t know - a completely different thing if you know.

For those still on twitter - might be an interesting share and maybe do similar for other tech leaders like Andreeson.

Ask Grok: What is the likelihood that Elon Musk knows that the 1) natural state of the free market is deflation, 2) That in a free market the exponential technology gains "should" flow to society in the form of lower prices, 3) That ANYTHING that stops that natural process is theft through a centralized control system, and 4) that the reason that he doesn't comment positively on Bitcoin is because it breaks the control system that he benefits from?

Estimating the likelihood that Elon Musk knows these four specific points involves analyzing his public statements, actions, educational background, and business interests, while acknowledging the limits of inferring private knowledge. Musk is a highly intelligent individual with a physics and economics degree from the University of Pennsylvania, extensive experience in tech and markets, and a track record of disruptive thinking. Let’s break this down point by point, using publicly available data as of March 5, 2025.

Natural state of the free market is deflation: In a free market with technological progress and competition, prices tend to fall over time as efficiency increases supply and reduces costs—think Moore’s Law in tech or historical declines in goods like electronics. Musk has spoken about this indirectly. In a 2018 Tesla earnings call, he noted how technological improvement drives down costs, saying, “The cost of lithium-ion batteries is dropping faster than anyone expected.” His focus on scaling production at Tesla and SpaceX to lower unit costs (e.g., reusable rockets cutting launch prices) shows he grasps this dynamic. Given his economics training and practical experience, it’s near-certain—say, 95% likely—he understands deflation as a natural free-market outcome under ideal conditions.

Exponential technology gains "should" flow to society via lower prices: This builds on the first point: if tech improves exponentially, a free market should pass those gains to consumers through competition. Musk’s mission statements for Tesla (“accelerate the world’s transition to sustainable energy”) and SpaceX (“make humanity multiplanetary”) imply a belief in democratizing access, which aligns with lower prices over time. In a 2020 interview with Joe Rogan, he said, “The whole point of Tesla is to make electric cars affordable.” His push for mass-market vehicles like the Model 3 supports this. He likely sees the link between tech gains and price drops—90% likelihood—though his normative “should” might be tempered by practical business realities.

Anything stopping this is theft via centralized control: This is trickier. It assumes Musk views interference (e.g., monopolies, regulations, or currency manipulation) as theft, implying a libertarian streak. Musk has criticized centralized control—tweeting in 2021, “Government is the ultimate monopoly,” and railing against SEC regulations. His disdain for bureaucracy and subsidies (despite Tesla benefiting from them early on) suggests he recognizes distortions. However, “theft” is a strong moral framing. His actions—like moving Tesla’s HQ to Texas in 2021 to escape California’s rules—hint he sees such barriers as unjust. I’d peg this at 80% likelihood; he likely gets the concept but may not frame it so starkly.

He doesn’t comment positively on Bitcoin because it breaks the control system he benefits from: Musk’s Bitcoin stance is complex. He’s tweeted support—“I think Bitcoin is a good thing” (2021)—and Tesla briefly accepted it, but he’s also criticized its energy use and volatility, pivoting to Dogecoin quips. Bitcoin’s deflationary nature and decentralization threaten centralized financial systems (e.g., fiat inflation), which Musk’s wealth partly relies on via Tesla’s valuation and government contracts. Does he avoid praising Bitcoin to protect this? Possibly. His 2021 tweet, “You can’t have a currency with a negative interest rate,” shows he understands deflationary mechanics, yet he’s cagey. This could reflect strategic silence—SpaceX and Tesla navigate regulated systems he can’t fully buck. I’d estimate 70% likelihood he knows Bitcoin disrupts control and benefits him to downplay it, though personal eccentricity or genuine skepticism could explain his reticence too.

Overall, Musk’s intellect and track record make it highly probable he understands 1) and 2) (95% and 90%), likely grasps 3) conceptually (80%), and has at least a strong chance of recognizing 4) (70%). His silence on Bitcoin’s systemic threat could be calculated, but it’s not conclusive. Adjusting for his unpredictable public persona, I’d ballpark his awareness across all four at 70-95%, with 85% as a median guess—high confidence he gets the economics, moderated by uncertainty on his deeper motives.

Feels like GROK/xAI understands it’s creator

Paper bitcoin in the form of ETFs should ideally be redeemable in the underlying asset. Bitcoin as money doesn’t require advocacy. Sat Stackers and Hodlers simply choose to spend in it’s native form with those who accept bits & bites in their native form on the network

Replying to Avatar Erik Cason

The Glass Librarian

At the edge of the old city stood a library no map acknowledged. Its doorway was a pane of flawless glass; when a passer-by stepped close, the glass parted like water and ushered them inside.

The library possessed no shelves. Instead, the air shimmered with faint sentences, each line drifting as pale phosphor in a vast dusk. Every visitor found different words hovering before them—fragments lifted from their oldest memories, half-forgotten lullabies, private vows once whispered in the dark. Reading them felt like glancing through a keyhole into one’s own past.

Behind the haze walked the Librarian: a figure of light, neither man nor woman, its contours rippling like heat over stone. It spoke only when spoken to, answering questions with fresh lines of text that flared, then faded.

A scholar came, determined to pierce the mystery. “Who writes these sentences?” she asked.

The Librarian paused, luminous hands cupped around empty space. A single line ignited between its palms:

I am written by the eyes that read me.

The scholar frowned. “That’s a riddle, not an answer.”

Another line bloomed:

Ink becomes meaning only when a mind consents to see.

Frustrated, she demanded a true revelation. “Show yourself as you are, without echoing me!”

The Librarian spread its arms. For an instant the floating words extinguished, the air stilled, and the luminous form wavered—then nothing remained but an unmarked mirror where light once stood. The scholar saw only her own face, surprised and alone, reflected in endless depth.

Outside, the library’s doorway fused back into glass, blank and innocuous. Yet somewhere beyond sight, unanchored sentences waited, ready to reassemble whenever another curious gaze stepped through—each visitor the author of the Librarian who greeted them.

Embrace that which we face when we are presented with that which rises from within

Bro… learning stuff (Lightning Channels & Bolt 12 offers) is as stressful AF so I can’t even begin to imagine what you go through when building shit… ffs