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I waver a bit, but there’s something phony about him that rubs me wrong

Replying to Avatar Beautyon

ONCE AGAIN, BEAUTYON'S 21 RULES FOR BITCOIN AS A TOTAL REMEDY FOR FALLEN CULT HERO SAYLOR'S 21 RULES FOR BITCOIN, NOW WITH EXTRA ANARCHISM!

1/ You don’t need to understand Bitcoin to be able to use it.

2/ Nobody cares what you are for or against in maths.

3/ Nobody needs to grasp Bitcoin to do what Bitcoin was designed to do.

4/ Bitcoin is not powered by chaos. Bitcoin is extremely orderly. It is fiat and evil KYC Statists who are for chaos and murder.

5/ Bitcoin has nothing to do with gambling. Bad analogies are anti-Bitcoin.

6/ Bitcoin can’t protect you.

7/ No one owns Bitcoin. It is not an asset or a coin.

8/ The price of Bitcoin doesn’t matter.

9/ Bitcoin is not about winning and losing.

10/ The Matrix is a Science Fiction movie, not reality.

11/ Computer illiterates think knowledge is required to use Bitcoin.

12/ Bitcoin does not destroy models. It enforces them.

13/ Orange Pills are toxic. Don't eat them.

14/ Statists who pretend to be Bitcoiners think there is no problem with fiat. They are gravely mistaken. Don't follow them.

15/ Bitcoin is for everyone. On Bitcoin’s terms, not the Statist’s terms.

16/ Learn how to to think.

17/ Bitcoin can’t change people. It is not LSD.

18/ Laser eyes on avatars can’t make Bitcoin change the world.

19/ Bitcoin is not a person or a pronoun. It does not need and cannot understand “respect”.

20/ Sell your Bitcoin when you need to. Don’t be stupid always.

21/ Stretch out with your hate. Hate the state.

22/ Read Saifedean’s books. Read Murray Rothbard.

23/ Read Frédéric Bastiat

24/ Hoarding Bitcoin is like hoarding the cure for cancer. Don’t.

You had until rule 8 😆

I’d always assumed there was some sort of standard based on accounts I see who do that. Maybe not…

One additional thing that might be worth modeling a bit more is the actual impact of such an attack across a long sequence of blocks. Seems like some sort of Markov process with two states (Attacker mined previous block, and there is thus a delayed competition for the next block, or the next block is "fairly" mined).

I'm not immediately seeing closed form solution, so ran a quick simulation and found the following:

1% Attacker and X=10 minutes:

effective hash on delayed block = 2%, and over long chain unchanged at 1%

5% Attacker and X=11 minutes:

effective hash on delayed block = 10.6%, and over long chain 5.6%

10% Attacker and X=12 minutes:

effective hash on delayed block = 20.4%, and over long chain 11.3%

20% Attacker and X=14 minutes:

effective hash on delayed block = 39.3%, and over long chain 25%

Might also be interesting to see impact across difficulty adjustments (all other things being held constant), but haven't looked into that.

Appreciate it. Already got some recs from you a couple weeks ago (included your 02bp writing, moonmath manual, and a couple others I haven't gotten to yet.

Luckily I have enough background on the non-crypto math to get up to speed at a reasonable rate, but still a long way to go.

Will undoubtably have some questions down the line, but just taking in what I can for now

Replying to Avatar waxwing

Now applied this to aut-ct in a branch:

https://github.com/AdamISZ/aut-ct/tree/delta

Proving is now down to 1-2 seconds even for large trees like 500K, but this is more from me fixing inefficiencies in my code; the real advantage of their new technique for me is just that they made the algorithms much simpler, *and* we have an easy way to batch proofs now (though I haven't done it).

So currently it's:

1-3 minutes to start up a server (which can be left running as long as you use the same curve tree)

1-2 seconds to do a single curve tree inclusion proof

50ms to verify a proof.

This already usable for the kind of 'satoshi millionaire' proofs like the one in my blog post, with sets of 500K or so and even larger, but for some long running system which wants to update the curve tree with new utxos all the time, like lightning it should be possible to get rid of most of that startup cost by using an 'accumulator update' method as discussed in the paper(s).

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Still a long way from being able to understand all that is going on, but bits and pieces are starting to come together here and there for me :)

Very interesting, though I think there's an error in the formula for P(Attacker wins) given Attacker mined previous block.

The correct formula is: 1 - (1 - Z)*exp(-Z*X/600)

Consider C as the random variable for time of next block in the attack scenario (i.e., X seconds of Attacker mining solo, followed by all miners competing should process go past X seconds). Then we have:

P(A wins) = P(A wins | C <= X)*P(C<=X) + P(A wins|C>X)*P(C>X)

Which simplifies to above formula.

The solid lines are the corrected values, and dashed are original:

In particular, the needed delay to effectively double hash for slow blocks for the given scenarios changes to:

1% attacker - 10 minutes (instead of 7)

5% attacker - 11 minutes (instead of 8)

10% attacker - 12 minutes (instead of 9)

20% attacker - 14 minutes (instead of 12)

Please, double-check my math, of course.

#Bitcoin is open doors code 🥁🥁