What future will you choose? đ
https://blossom.primal.net/d70626a56b6cc57bf0ff1ef9978200bf18d12aae22be0b7e4ea3b120e7a99a85.mp4
What world will you choose?
https://primal.net/e/nevent1qqsx36lzmujfj2pxykf2c54s82ay6zu8r2v0zw973cfg7vhflluxs7s0569cf
Two passengers. Two windows. Two worlds. https://blossom.primal.net/5bd0a469d773d6c38106ca39d79f752835f27e039318c36bcef2cec006bd6529.mp4
https://blossom.primal.net/b95b93d6411f7d914e34798b6cd0042842c38efc7927a177f7d142b8b0184526.mp4
Picking up the tools for the information arms race
Engaging with AI tools today. nostr:nprofile1qy0hwumn8ghj7cnfw33k76twd4shs6tdv9kxjum5wvhx7mnvd9hx2qg4waehxw309ajkgetw9ehx7um5wghxcctwvsqzq3e0gs8jnmued6f2rp4c6vs07xqvs4vs8zpwt82smcdch4txjvq76kl2yj nostr:nprofile1qyt8wue69uhh2mtzwfjkctnvda3kzmp6xsurgwqpz4mhxue69uhk2er9dchxummnw3ezumrpdejqqgxy3c5lqj6g9nqpeg0ea7xgdmurrrq9nc8fx5er2930pq8jdc2vzyu7yza6 nostr:nprofile1qyx8wumn8ghj7cnjvghxjmcpz4mhxue69uhk2er9dchxummnw3ezumrpdejqqg9lydmwz7ayasnf6y8uext2gartg5g4905sx8ay3e6920w725ntecs6fw7u nostr:nprofile1qy2hwumn8ghj7mn0wd68ytndv9kxjm3wdahxcqg5waehxw309ahx7um5wfekzarkvyhxuet5qqsw4v882mfjhq9u63j08kzyhqzqxqc8tgf740p4nxnk9jdv02u37ncdhu7e3 nostr:nprofile1qyt8wumn8ghj7ct5d3shxtnwdaehgu3wd3skueqpz4mhxue69uhk2er9dchxummnw3ezumrpdejqqgzr08nkh7nk4q9cmw02wkfprkgtk0n8kgszlzyqe384ll3qv5rp453f6g5h nostr:nprofile1qyv8wumn8ghj7urjv4kkjatd9ec8y6tdv9kzumn9wsq3vamnwvaz7tmjv4kxz7fwwpexjmtpdshxuet5qqsqfjg4mth7uwp307nng3z2em3ep2pxnljczzezg8j7dhf58ha7ejgqgzx3h nostr:nprofile1qyxhwumn8ghj7mn0wvhxcmmvqyehwumn8ghj7mnhvvh8qunfd4skctnwv46z7ctewe4xcetfd3khsvrpdsmk5vnsw96rydr3v4jrz73hvyu8xqpqsg6plzptd64u62a878hep2kev88swjh3tw00gjsfl8f237lmu63q8dzj6n
Scene 9: The Breaking Point
Lucas had texted Thomas that morning.
Can we walk today? Iâve got something to tell you.
Thomas replied with a time and a meeting spot at the park.
Lucas moved quietly through the cityâcollar up, hands deep in his coat pockets, wind cutting between buildings.
Danielâs words from the day before still hung in his headâthey were hard to shake. Daniel wasnât blind to the cracks in the system. Heâd seen volatility, downturns, panicsâand kept going. Built a life, bought a duplex, rode the market.
He called it adaptation.
Said inflation could be outrun. That if you owned assets, stayed invested, trusted the arcâyouâd be fine.
And maybe he was right.
If you owned enough.
If you were already in.
Lucas passed a man curled under a thin blanket outside a shuttered corner shop. A sign rested beside him: "Still Looking for Work. Still Hoping."
Farther down, a young woman argued quietly on a cracked phone, a toddler on her hip and a grocery bag at her feet. Her voice was stretched, not angryâjust worn.
How were they adapting?
They werenât rebalancing portfolios.
They were just trying to hold on.
The billboard above the park entrance flashed bright and confident: âExperience More. Pay Later.â
Lucas didnât even look up.
Thomas was waiting, hands clasped behind his back. They started walking without a word.
After a few minutes, Lucas said, âI got laid off.â
Thomas slowed. âIâm sorry.â
âThey said it wasnât performance. Just headcount. Realignment.â He gave a bitter half-smile. âYou know the language.â
âI do,â Thomas said.
âI always figured if I worked hard, kept my head down, Iâd be fine. But suddenly... Iâm not essential anymore.â
Thomas didnât respond. He let the quiet fill in the rest.
âIâm not panicked,â Lucas added. âNot yet. Iâve got some savings. Iâll figure it out. But stillâyesterday Iâm debating Daniel about the structure of the system. Today Iâm outside of it.â
Thomas raised an eyebrow. âWhat did Daniel say?â
Lucas shrugged. âThat the system worksâflawed but functional. That weâve been through worse. That inflationâs bad, but manageable if you own assets. The usual stuff. That sound money sounds good until you hit a crisis and need the Fed to step in.â
They reached a bench and sat.
âSounds like a man whoâs never missed a paycheck,â Thomas said.
Lucas didnât reply.
Thomas leaned forward. âIâve heard it all. I believed it for years. But that âflexibilityâ they praiseâitâs not flexibility. Itâs moral hazard dressed up as pragmatism. Every downturn becomes a license to print more money, push more debt. The system doesnât save people. It saves asset prices. And people who donât own those assets get left behindâquietly, but predictably.â
Lucas said nothing.
âYou didnât lose your job because of performance,â Thomas continued. âYou lost it because risk and consequence no longer live in the same place. The systemâs built to offload cost and concentrate reward. Thatâs what fiat enables. Not resilience. Transfer.â
A breeze passed through the bare trees.
âDanielâs not wrong to want stability,â Thomas said. âBut what he calls evolutionâI call erosion. Since 2020, real wages are down. Stocks are up. Housingâs up. Groceries are up. But the people doing the work are standing stillâor slipping.â
He paused.
âWhen the Fed prints, it enters at the topâthrough credit, through banks, through capital markets. The bottom gets inflation. The middle gets squeezed. Thatâs why the 401(k)s look okay and groceries look like theft.â
He let that sit.
âFiat doesnât just warp the economyâit warps trust. It rewards proximity to capital and punishes patience. It breaks the link between effort and reward. Quietly. Systematically.â
Lucas stared at the ground. He felt the truth of it, not as a theoryâbut as a pressure behind the eyes.
Thomas leaned back. âAnd deflation? Thatâs just prices falling because productivity improved. It rewards savers. It makes things cheaper. Thatâs not chaosâitâs sanity. But they fight it because the system runs on debt, and debt canât survive falling prices. So they inflate. Always.â
Lucas looked down at the path. âSo what do I do?â
Thomasâs voice softened. âFirst, stop waiting for the system to recognize your value. It wonât. It canât. Learn how the rules work. Then step outside themâbit by bit.â
Lucas didnât nod. But he didnât argue either.
Thomas looked at him more gently now. âLook. Iâve spent most of my life as a one-legged man in an ass-kicking contest. Made every mistake twice. But the marketâitâs a truth machine. Eventually, it teaches you. If youâre willing to listen.â
They sat in silence.
Lucas wasnât sure what he believed anymore.
But the cracks in his old framework were no longer theoretical.
They had found him.
Scene 8: Two Worlds - Systems Evolve. Or Erode.
Lucas and Daniel grabbed a table by the window at a cafĂŠ near the officeâtwo trays, burgers, fries, and two waters.
Daniel took a bite of his burger and grinned. âCatch the game last night?â
Lucas nodded but was slower to eat, distracted. His thoughts had been elsewhere all morning.
After a few minutes of small talkâproject delays, a new hire melting down over the ticketing systemâLucas shifted the conversation.
âHey,â he said. âCan I ask you something a little weird?â
Daniel leaned back, amused. âSure. Thatâs never stopped you before.â
Lucas hesitated, then pushed a fry through ketchup. âIâve been meeting with this guy I found through a Meetup. Heâs been walking me through... well, how money actually works.â
Daniel raised an eyebrow. âYou mean like investing?â
âNo, more foundational than that. The whole systemâhow moneyâs created, who controls it, why it keeps expanding.â
Daniel set his burger down and wiped his hands, his tone shifting from casual to curious.
âLet me guessâhe thinks inflation is theft, the Fedâs a scam, and we should all be stockpiling gold and bitcoin?â
Lucas looked up, surprised. âYouâve heard this before?â
Daniel nodded. âOh, yeah. Iâve read the sound-money stuffâprobably more than most. Listened to a few Ron Paul speeches in the car back in the day. I get the arguments. I just donât buy the conclusions.â
Lucas leaned forward slightly. âWhy not?â
Daniel took a breath. âBecause Iâve lived through four recessions, two wars, a global financial crisis, and a pandemic. And the systemâflawed as it isâheld. While the doomers waited for collapse, I watched people who stayed invested quietly build real wealth.â
He tapped the side of his water cup.
âIâm not saying itâs fair. Iâm saying itâs functional. Every system has trade-offs. Go back to a sound money standard, and you get rigidity. No flexibility in a crisis. Massive deflation when things go wrong. Sounds clean on paperâuntil your paycheck gets cut in half but your mortgage stays the same.â
Lucas frowned. âSo we just choose the slow bleed over the sudden collapse?â
Daniel shook his head. âItâs not a bleed. Itâs evolution. Yeah, the dollarâs lost valueâbut my portfolioâs up over 200% since 2020. My house has doubled in price. Thatâs not magicâitâs credit expansion, productivity, asset inflation. If you sit in cash, you get burned. But if you participate, you benefit.â
Lucas didnât respond, but the silence wasnât disagreementâit was friction. He was processing.
Daniel leaned in. âI donât ignore the risks. I just donât think weâre teetering on the edge. People have been betting against the dollar since Nixon closed the gold window. And yetâhere we are. The dollarâs still the global safe haven.â
He pushed his tray aside.
âJapanâs at 250% debt-to-GDP and still chugging along. Europe had negative rates. Chinaâs a mystery box. Weâre not thriving because weâre flawlessâweâre surviving because we can adapt.â
Lucas turned to the window. A bus lumbered through the intersection, trailing a ribbon of gray exhaust.
Daniel glanced over, then added, âYou know, my dadâhe wasnât a finance guy. Worked with his hands. Saved what he could. Didnât overthink it.â
He gave a small shrug. âI guess Iâm just trying to do the same. Buy index funds. Own a duplex. Keep showing up. Nothing heroic. Just... pragmatic.â
He looked back at Lucas.
âMost peopleâsound money guys includedâjust want a fair shot. A chance to save, maybe leave something behind. Thatâs not ideology. Thatâs survival.â
Lucas studied him. For the first time, he saw the scaffolding beneath Danielâs worldview. It wasnât blind faith. It was inherited pattern. A quiet belief that the future might still rhyme with the pastânot because of theory, but because it always had.
Danielâs voice softened. âI get why youâre drawn to it. The critique feels clarifying. The systemâs brokenâso burn it down. But what if this is just one of those awkward, transitional decades? What if we fix itânot all at once, but piece by piece?â
Lucas said nothing.
Daniel shrugged. âYou donât have to think everythingâs fine. But believing itâs all doomed? Thatâs a luxury, too.â
Lucas took another sip of water. It felt colder than before.
Outside, people hurried byâheads down, faces lit by phone screens, pulled along by the pulse of the city.
Lucas sat back, the weight of the conversation settling in.
Not because Daniel was clearly wrong.
But because he might be right.
Scene 7: The Missing Piece: How inflation erodes the value of money
Thomas bent down, picking up a small stick from the side of the trail.
He scratched a small circle in the dirt.
âThis circle is your money.â
Then he drew a larger circle around it.
âAnd this is the total money supply. Your money is one small part of the whole.â
Lucas smirked. âYeah, a very small part.â
Thomas tapped the stick lightly against the ground.
âNow imagine someone adds more money. A few digital keystrokesâpoof.â
He scratched out the first outer circle and drew a much bigger one.
âYour piece didnât change," Thomas said, tracing the inner circle again. "But compared to the whole, it's worth less. You hold the same handfulâbut it buys you a lot less.â
Lucas stared at the simple drawing, feeling the weight of it settle in.
It was like the value was leaking through his fingersâquietly, invisibly, but real.
âThatâs why scarcity matters," Thomas said. "Without it, the other traitsâdurability, transferability, divisibility, recognizabilityâmean nothing. Without scarcity, value slips awayâthe money doesnât move value through time.â
Lucas shifted his weight. âSo thatâs what the Mises quote meant? From the Meetup?â
Thomas nodded, his voice steady.
âYeah. âWhen a government increases the quantity of paper money, the purchasing power of the monetary unit drops, and prices rise. Thatâs inflation.ââ
He stood, brushing his hands off.
âSo when we think about good money,â Thomas continued, âwe want something thatâs: durable, easily transferable, divisible, recognizableâand scarce.â
Lucas stared down at the circles againâthe small piece he thought he held, and the larger world that could shift around him without warning.
He tapped his coffee lid absently, thinking.
âOkay, I get it," he said slowly. "I definitely understand money better now. Why we use something like the dollar instead of... three-eyed fish."
He hesitated, the old logic clashing with something he couldnât yet name.
âBut still... whatâs the point of all this? I mean, I came to you because things feel off. Like what used to work doesnât work anymore. And you take me on this detour into money theoryâŚâ
Thomas didnât interrupt, letting the question hang in the air.
Thomas smiledânot dismissive, but knowing.
âTruth is," he said, "you can't fix a leaking boat until you see where the cracks are."
Lucas said nothing.
He looked again at the simple dirt circles, feeling something tighten inside himâa pressure, a weight he hadnât noticed until now.
As they walked on, the trees around them thinned, and the river widened ahead.
But the ground beneath Lucasâs feet suddenly felt less certain.
Scene 6 â What Makes Good Money?
The river trail was brighter todayâearly sun burning off the last of the mist. Lucas and Thomas walked side by side, coffees in hand, the gravel crunching rhythmically underfoot.
âSo,â Thomas said, breaking the quiet. âNow that you know what money isâa tool to move value across space and timeâletâs talk about what makes bad money.â
Lucas raised an eyebrow. âBad money?â
Thomas grinned. âYeah. Sometimes itâs easier to spot what doesnât work first.â
He took a sip of coffee. âRemember that three-eyed fish we joked about?â
Lucas chuckled. âYeah. That seems like a pretty bad form of money.â
âRight. Why is that? Why donât people use fish as money?â
Lucas thought aloud. âWell... it would be disgusting to carry around.â
âExactly. And impractical. Money needs to be easily transferable. You should be able to move it anywhereâacross town, across the worldâwithout needing an ice chest.â
Lucas laughed. âYeah, not great for Amazon checkout.â
They walked on.
âWhat else?â Thomas prompted.
Lucas considered. âIt would rot. A dead fish doesnât last long.â
Thomas smiled. âTrue. Durabilityâs key. Good money has to survive over time. It canât decay, spoil, or fall apart.â
âAnd?â Thomas pressed.
Lucas glanced at his coffee. âIt should be divisible. I need to pay for small things, like this coffee, and big things, like a car. If you can't split it and combine it easily, itâs not much use.â
âRight. Money needs to scaleâup and downâwith no friction.â
Lucas nodded. âAnd it should be recognizable too. If you had to DNA-test every fish to buy a coffee, no one would bother.â
Thomas smiled again. âExactly. Fast, easy, trusted. Thatâs what recognizability gives you.â
Lucas ticked the traits off in his mind: transferable, durable, divisible, recognizable.
Thomas slowed his pace slightly.
"Now," he said, "think about the dollar for a second. Most of it isnât even paperâitâs just digital. Entries on a bank ledger."
Lucas nodded.
âDigital dollars are very useful as money. Theyâre easy to transferâa few taps and you can send money around the globe. Theyâre extremely durable. They donât rot or corrode. Theyâre easily divisibleâfrom billions down to pennies. And theyâre highly recognizable, even outside the U.S."
Thomas sipped his coffee.
"That all sounds pretty good, right?"
Lucas frowned slightly. âOkay... so if dollars have all that going for them, why does it still feel like somethingâs off?â
Thomas smiled again, like heâd been waiting for the question.
"Because thereâs one more thing to consider."
Scene 5: What Is Money?
The river trail was cool and quiet, the last of the morning fog hanging low over the water.
Lucas spotted Thomas waiting at a bench, two coffees in hand.
Black,â Thomas said, handing one over. âNo cream. I guessed.â
Lucas nodded. âGood guess.â
They started walking, gravel crunching under their feet, the air still and sharp.
Lucas broke the silence. âIâve been thinking about your question.â
Thomas raised an eyebrow. âAbout money?â
âYeah.â Lucas took a sip of coffee. âItâs a tool. For moving value.â
Thomas smiled slightly. âGo on.â
âWell⌠say Iâm at the store. I hand over a few dollars, they give me a loaf of bread. My money carries the value of my work to their counter. It moves value from me to them.â
Thomas nodded. âGood. Thatâs money moving value through space. From one person to another. Across a market.â
Lucas shrugged. âSeemed obvious once I thought about it.â
They walked a little farther, the river flowing steady beside them.
âBut thatâs not all it does, is it?â Thomas said.
Lucas thought for a moment. âNo. I mean, I save money too. I donât always spend it right away.â
Thomasâs expression sharpened. âExactly. Thatâs money moving value through time.â
Lucas frowned. âThrough time?â
Thomas stopped, turning to face him. âYou work today. Earn a hundred dollars. You donât need it right now, so you hold it. Six months from now, you use it to buy something. That money carried your past effort into the future.â
He let the idea hang in the air.
âYou could think of it as... economic memory,â Thomas said.
Lucas repeated the phrase under his breath. âEconomic memory.â
He stared at the trail, feeling the weight of it.
âMoney isnât just a way to trade with other people,â he said slowly. âItâs a way to trade with your future self.â
Thomas smiled. âExactly. Without money, youâre stuck bartering. Hoping you find someone who wants what you have, right when you have it.â
Lucas smirked. âLike trading bread for shoes.â
âRight. And if the cobbler doesnât need bread today? Youâre out of luck.â
They started walking again.
âThatâs why money emerged,â Thomas said. âNot because some king decreed it. But because people needed something practicalâsomething others would reliably accept, across space and time.â
Lucas nodded. âSo moneyâs useful because we trust that itâll work. Someone else will want it, now or later.â
Thomas gave a small nod. âTrust is the foundation. Not magic. Not paper. Trust.â
Lucas sipped his coffee, letting the idea settle.
Thomasâs voice was steady. âThe real question isnât whether money works today. Itâs whether it can carry value forward. Whether it will still be trusted tomorrow.â
They walked on in silence for a few minutes, the sun just starting to burn through the fog.
Then Thomas spoke again, almost casually.
âSo if money is supposed to move value through space and time⌠what makes good money?â
Lucas didnât answer right away.
He wasnât sure he could yet.
Lucas hadnât slept much. His mind was still buzzing from the night beforeâinflation and Spanish gold, that line about what happens when money is easy to make. He wasnât sure what he expected from this walk, but something told him to show up.
Scene 4: Knives, Cars, and Money
The next morning, the river trail was cool and quiet, lined with fog and the faint smell of wet pine. Lucas spotted Thomas waiting on a bench near the water, two coffees in hand.
âBlack,â Thomas said, handing him one. âNo cream. I guessed.â
Lucas nodded. âGood guess.â
They started walking. Gravel crunched underfoot. The morning light filtered through the trees.
Thomas broke the silence.
âCan you tell me what a knife is?â
Lucas looked over. âA knife?â
Thomas nodded. âYeah. What is it?â
âI mean⌠itâs a knife. It cuts things.â
âRight,â Thomas said. âBut more precisely?â
Lucas squinted. âOkay⌠itâs a sharp blade with a handle. A utensil. Or a weapon, depending.â
Thomas smiled. âThose are descriptions. But whatâs it for?â
Lucas paused. âIâm not sure where youâre going with this.â
âA knife is a tool we use to separate things. Thatâs what defines it.â
Lucas took a sip of coffee. âAlright⌠I see.â
âDo you?â Thomas asked. âWhat about a car?â
Lucas furrowed his brow. âThat oneâs easy. A car is... well, itâs a vehicle. With wheels. An engine. You use it to get around.â
Thomas gave him the same look.
Lucas exhaled. âIâm doing it again, huh?â
Thomas nodded. âDescribing how it looksânot what it does.â
Lucas chuckled. âOkay. Enlighten me.â
âA car is a tool we use to move people and things through space. Thatâs its job.â
Lucas smirked. âSo, youâre a philosopher?â
Thomas grinned. âJust trying to see clearly.â
They passed an older couple in matching windbreakers, a golden retriever trotting between them.
Then Thomas said, âAlright. Soâwhat is money?â
Lucas stopped mid-step.
âMoney?â
Thomas nodded again. âIf a knife is a tool for separating, and a car is a tool for moving⌠then whatâs money for?â
Lucas opened his mouth. Closed it.
âI⌠think I know,â he said. âBut I want to get it right.â
Thomas nodded. âTake your time. The answer might be more surprising than you think.â
For those following along, in Scene 3 of the story, Lucas thought he was attending a talk on inflation.
Instead, he found a strange sense of conviction among people who believe monetary history isnât just academicâitâs the key to understanding what comes next. (Guess who plays the inspired speaker at the Meetup nostr:nprofile1qyt8wue69uhh2mtzwfjkctnvda3kzmp6xsurgwqpz4mhxue69uhk2er9dchxummnw3ezumrpdejqqgxy3c5lqj6g9nqpeg0ea7xgdmurrrq9nc8fx5er2930pq8jdc2vzyu7yza6). Here's the scene:
Lucas slipped into the pub just as the Meetup began.
No podiums or projectorsâjust a side room in a local bar. Sticky floors. Dartboards. The faint smell of fryer grease. Scattered tables, nearly all filled.
At a tall table near the wall sat a man in his 30sâgolden hair, calm voice. A laptop was open in front of him.
âThanks for coming,â he began. âTonight, weâre talking about a lecture Mises gave in Argentina in 1959. He believed economics shouldnât be locked away in ivory towersâit should be accessible to anyone who thinks clearly.â
Lucas took a seat along the wall. The lights were low, the room intent. Something about itâthe informality, the focusâreminded him of a scene from a colonial tavern, where restless minds once passed around early drafts of Common Sense. It felt less like a lecture, more like a quiet search for something solid beneath a shifting world.
He glanced at the handout:
Lecture 4: Inflation https://mises.org/online-book/economic-policy-thoughts-today-and-tomorrow/4th-lecture-inflation
YouTube: https://youtu.be/VpvwgDjQLGA?si=jG9gykqBScqaWTmo
The speaker continued:
Mises explained, âWhen a government increases the quantity of paper money, the result is that the purchasing power of the monetary unit begins to drop, and so prices rise. This is called inflation.â
Lucas leaned forward. Maybe the rising cost of living wasnât just supply chains or corporate greed. Maybe the problem ran deeperâmaybe it was the money itself.
The talk moved quicklyâ16th century Spanish gold flooding the Old World, Weimar Germany, modern governments printing what they canât tax.
Same pattern, different century:
When moneyâs easy to make, things start to break.
By the end, Lucasâ mind buzzedâunsettled and overloaded.
He stood quietly, aiming for the door.
âFirst time?â
Lucas turned.
The voice came from a man in a dark jacket. Late 50s, maybe. Worn face, watchful eyes. The kind of presence that didnât ask to be noticed.
âYeah,â Lucas said. âWas it that obvious?â
âNo. Just familiar.â
The man extended a hand. âThomas.â
âLucas.â
They shook.
âSomething youâre looking for?â Thomas asked.
Lucas hesitated. âI⌠Iâm trying to do everything rightâwork, save, investâand somehow I still feel behind. I canât say whatâs wrong, but somethingâs off. Like I missed the part where the rules changed.â
Thomas nodded slowly. âMost people donât notice until itâs already happening.â
There was a pause. Lucas waited for more, but Thomas didnât offer it.
âYou like to walk?â Thomas asked.
âSure.â
âIâm at the river most mornings. Come if you want. Sometimes things make more sense in motion.â
Lucas hesitated, then nodded.
"Yeah, I'd like that."
Thomas smiled. âGood. Just one rule.â
âWhatâs that?â
âNo scrolling.â
Scene 2: Through the Looking Glass
Lucas woke up at 2:13 a.m.
No sound. No reason. Just awake. His body tense, like it had been bracing for impact in a dream he couldnât remember.
He lay still for a while, hoping sleep might return. It didnât. So, against his better judgment, he reached for his phone.
He opened X.
The algorithm delivered its usual midnight cocktail: half insight, half apocalypse.
A thread on the changing world order. A chart explaining the end of the long-term debt cycle. A map of idle ships at port and a graph showing the collapse of global supply chains. He saw a videoâslickly producedâpredicting that white-collar jobs like his would be the next to go. "AI will do your work," it claimed. "Faster. Cheaper. Better."
Lucas scrolled on, not out of curiosity but compulsion. He worked hard. He had a decent job. Above-average income. His investments had done well. And stillâthere wasnât much left at the end of the month. A down payment felt as distant as early retirement. Starting a family? He couldnât imagine how.
It felt like Red Queen economics: all the running he could do just to stay in place. The faster you run, the more the world pushes back.
Another post slid by:
âHistory is the output of the laws of human nature.â Come join us at our local Mises Circle Meetup next week where we discuss current events through history lessons.
He scoffed, then paused. He didnât understand half of what heâd just read. And the half he did understand made him uneasy.
Then came the next post. White text on black. No likes. No comments.
âAction is the antidote to anxiety.â
Lucas stared at it for a long time.
He had heard of Ludwig von Misesâsome economist from a hundred years ago with strong opinions about how economies should workâbut he couldnât say much beyond that.
What should he do?
Just for fun, Iâve started sketching a few short stories about markets and moneyâpart history, part fiction. Theyâre based on real events, with made-up characters and very real emotions. Hereâs the first one:
In March 2020, Lucas was afraid.
The economy was grinding to a halt. Markets were in freefall. In a sweeping response, the Federal Reserve launched an unprecedented interventionâbuying everything from Treasury bonds and mortgages to corporate debt, expanding the money supply by $4 trillion. At the same time, the U.S. government issued over $800 billion in stimulus checks to households across the country.
These extraordinary measures may have averted a wave of business failures and bank runsâbut they came at a cost: currency debasement and rising inflation. Alarmed by the scale of central bank intervention and its consequences for savers, Lucas decided to act.
In a state of mild panic, he withdrew $15,000 from his bank account and bought ten gold coins. Then he took another $10,000 and bought two bitcoins. If the dollar system failed, Lucas wanted something with intrinsic value he could use.
He mentioned his plan to his friend Daniel, who laughed.
âWhy donât you stock up on guns and cigarettes while youâre at it?â Daniel quipped. âThe Fed is doing what it has toâstabilizing the economy in a crisis. Sure, $4 trillion is a lot of money, but it's backed by the most productive economy on Earth. Donât panic. The worldâs not ending.â
To prove his point, Daniel put $25,000 into the S&P 500âright at the pandemic bottom.
And he was right. Literally.
By Spring 2025, the stock market was near all-time highs. The world hadnât ended. The U.S. economy kept moving, more or less as usual. Danielâs investment had nearly tripledâhis $25,000 had grown to $65,000.
But oddly enough, Lucasâ seemingly panicked reaction had been both prudent and profitable.
His gold coins had climbed from $1,500 to $3,300 apieceâa 120% gain. Bitcoin had soared from $5,000 to $90,000, making his two coins worth $180,000. Altogether, Lucasâs $25,000 allocation had grown to $213,000âa nearly 10x return. And his goal wasnât even profit. It was safety.
With that kind of fortune, youâd expect Lucas to feel confident, even serene. He had more than enough to preserve his purchasing power, even in the face of years of inflation.
But in the spring of 2025, Lucas felt anything but calm.
He was uneasyâgripped by a sense that the 2020 crisis hadnât been a conclusion, but a prelude.
In his mind, 2020 was just the latest chapter in a troubling sequence: the Asian financial crisis in 1998, the global financial crisis in 2008, the pandemic shock of 2020. Each crisis had been more sudden, more sweeping, and more dependent on emergency measures than the last.
And Lucas couldnât shake the feeling that the next actâwhenever it cameâwould be more disruptive, more severe, and far more damaging.
