The probability of a random civilization anywhere in the universe becoming intergalactic is astronomically lower than the probability of that same civilization being wiped out by a cosmic event like an asteroid hit. I’ve been thinking about this and I believe the reason we’ve never been contacted by any alien civilization, and never will be, is because intelligent life tends to vanish long before it ever gets the chance to reach out. It’s the default outcome. Survival to the interstellar stage is impossible. This Milky Way’s little planet called Earth will have the same fate. We might colonize Mars and become interplanetary but we will never become intergalactic. We’ll be gone long before that taken out by a similar cosmic event that erased many others before us.
Discussion
10/10 Random thought
I think you meant to say intragalactic interstellar. But no, we will likely become interstellar when we are more mature.
Yes, becoming intergalactic is impossible not just today, but also in the future. Milky way is roughly 100k light years in diameter, so light traveling at 186k miles per sec would still need 100k yrs to go from one side to the other. So yeah, we’re not leaving anytime soon 🤣
I believe that there is a great filter preventing civilizations from reaching the stars, and that great filter is debt. Financial debt, information debt, innovation debt and trust debt. If we could change our foundations to wealth based, we would have a much better chance.
I'm not quite so pessimistic as that. I do think it's going to take us a lot longer than people realize to become intergalactic, but as a Christian who leans post-millennial these days (but still believes pre-mil/pre-trib are possible), I do think we will reach the intergalactic stage at some point. I also leave the possibility that the Second Coming might cut that short, but I also consider the possibility that we could be around for millennia still. Then again I'm kind of in between on eschatology, so I can't say I'm certain of either coming first.
All I know is that I definitely do not believe that this planet will be wiped out by some sort catastrophic event. I am a firm believer that, whether the kingdom comes before or after the Second Coming of Christ, there is a purpose for this planet that will last for eternity. Some say I might be naive or overly optimistic, but I can't find myself coming to believe anything else.
I simply see the wonders that we already know about, and see the way that they expose glory. That leads me to believe there are future glories to be found.
Tonight when we are in the hot tub, looking at the stars, I'm gonna recite what you have said to see what the response is..
haven't been contacted because they are already here an in contact. and stuff.
idk.
🤔
Maybe the simulation runs until intergalactic travel is possible because the species hosting the simulation are searching for the solution to intergalactic travel themselves. Maybe, our entire lifetime plays out to about a hundred trillionth of a second in their lifetimes because we are in a simulation and we perceive time differently than the actual time it takes to compute.
I like this thought